State Revenue System Shifts Saudi Arabia to Governance and Sustainability

The Saudi capital, Riyadh. Reuters
The Saudi capital, Riyadh. Reuters
TT

State Revenue System Shifts Saudi Arabia to Governance and Sustainability

The Saudi capital, Riyadh. Reuters
The Saudi capital, Riyadh. Reuters

Saudi Arabia's financial system has entered a new phase of structured governance following the Cabinet's approval of the updated State Revenue System during its recent session chaired by Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman.

The legislation represents a fundamental shift in the economic philosophy of public finance management, moving beyond the traditional concept of fee collection to establish an integrated framework for strategic planning and comprehensive financial governance.

The significance of the new system extends beyond its regulatory function. It serves as a safeguard for medium- and long-term fiscal sustainability by comprehensively regulating every stage of public revenue management - from initial forecasting and estimation through to final settlement.

Expanding Coverage and Governing Sovereign Revenue Flows

The updated system places all public financial inflows under a unified regulatory framework, expanding the scope of state revenues to include a comprehensive range of structural and sovereign income sources.

These encompass natural resources and national assets - the country's most significant sovereign wealth - as well as fees, taxes, financial charges, and service revenues, which constitute the primary sources of non-oil government budget financing.

The framework also introduces proceeds from privatization and public-private partnerships (PPPs) as a distinct revenue category, aligning closely with the objectives of Saudi Vision 2030, which seeks to increase private sector participation in the national economy.

In addition, the system regulates revenues generated from state-owned assets through sales and leasing activities, financing and investment returns, as well as other sources including fines, penalties, compensation payments, donations, grants, bequests, endowment (waqf) income, zakat funds, and any additional revenue channels approved by the Cabinet.

Ten-Year Revenue Forecasting

One of the system's most significant structural reforms is its long-term forecasting approach, shifting budget estimation from annual planning to a broader strategic horizon.

The Ministry of Finance is now legally authorized to forecast government revenues for periods of up to ten fiscal years, relying on data, projections, and development plans submitted by various government entities.

The framework also provides flexibility for the Ministry to periodically review and revise these forecasts whenever significant domestic or international economic or financial developments occur, improving forecasting accuracy and reducing estimation gaps in the national budget.

The system further regulates revenue collection procedures by requiring government entities to collect revenues when due, record them within the relevant fiscal year, and transfer all collected revenues to the Ministry of Finance's account at the Saudi Central Bank according to timelines established in the implementing regulations.

Government Debt Collection

The system requires government entities to notify debtors on the first working day following the debt's due date. If payment is not made within 45 working days from the notification date, legal collection procedures must begin.

The legislation also introduces flexibility in handling government debts by allowing collection to be postponed for up to one year in exceptional circumstances. It affirms that government debts enjoy priority status and are not subject to statutory limitation periods.

Rules governing debt exemptions and installment arrangements have also been established. Debts not exceeding SAR1 million may be partially or fully waived under specific conditions, including verification that the debtor is genuinely unable to pay. Debts exceeding SAR1 million require approval from the Prime Minister based on the recommendation of the Minister of Finance.

The system also allows debts of up to SAR1 million to be repaid over periods of up to five years, while larger debts - or repayment terms exceeding five years - require approval from the Minister of Finance or an authorized delegate, with installment plans not exceeding 25 years.

The Saudi Cabinet was chaired by Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman on Tuesday. SPA

From Revenue Collection to Revenue Management

Experts interviewed by Asharq Al-Awsat described the new legislation as a major transformation in government resource management, shifting the focus from simply collecting revenues to establishing an integrated system covering forecasting, planning, collection, receivables management, and oversight, thereby strengthening public finance efficiency and supporting Saudi Arabia's fiscal sustainability objectives.

Dr. Abdullah Almeer, Assistant Professor of Economics at King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals, said the legislation represents a transition toward a more comprehensive model of government revenue management that begins with revenue forecasting and planning, continues through collection, and concludes with debt management and performance oversight.

He explained that the updated system shifts from a model focused primarily on revenue collection to one that manages the entire government revenue cycle - from estimation and planning to collection, debt management, receivables administration, and performance monitoring.

According to Almeer, one of the most significant reforms is the move toward strategic revenue management. While the previous system emphasized identifying revenue sources and collecting outstanding debts, the updated legislation introduces medium- and long-term financial planning.

He noted that allowing government entities to forecast revenues over ten-year periods - with periodic reassessments in response to economic changes - will improve revenue forecasting accuracy, enhance medium- and long-term budget preparation, and strengthen the government's ability to manage fiscal risks.

Improving Fiscal Efficiency

Almeer added that the new system is expected to improve financial efficiency by narrowing the gap between projected and actual revenues while enabling faster collection of government receivables immediately after they become due.

He noted that government entities are now required to participate in revenue forecasting and establish specialized revenue development units where needed, increasing accountability for financial resource management and improving collection efficiency.

Regarding non-oil revenues, Almeer expects the legislation to have a positive impact because it assigns government entities direct responsibility not only for collecting revenues but also for developing them.

He emphasized that increasing non-oil revenues depends not only on introducing new fees or revenue streams, but also on improving the management of existing revenues, strengthening collection mechanisms, and enhancing receivables management.

He also pointed out that government entities must now conduct studies and analyses before proposing any new fees, financial charges, or taxes, helping strike a balance between revenue growth and economic development.

Additionally, he observed that recognizing privatization proceeds as a separate revenue source is fully aligned with privatization and public-private partnership initiatives under Saudi Vision 2030.

Clearer Responsibilities and Stronger Governance

Financial and economic consultant Dr. Hussein Al-Attas described the updated legislation as a qualitative shift from revenue collection to integrated government revenue cycle management, covering revenue estimation, recording, monitoring, collection, and the treatment of overdue accounts.

According to Al-Attas, the system clearly defines the responsibilities of government entities and standardizes procedures, reducing inconsistencies in implementation while improving collection efficiency. He expects these reforms to enhance financial planning, reduce revenue leakage, and strengthen fiscal discipline.

He also stressed that strengthening non-oil revenues depends not only on creating new income sources but also on improving the management of existing revenue streams. Better collection procedures, reduced payment delays, and more effective management of government receivables will support sustainable revenue growth.

Al-Attas added that clearly defined responsibilities among government agencies improve transparency and accountability, facilitate performance measurement, and strengthen financial governance through standardized practices for revenue estimation, collection, and receivables management.

Greater Flexibility in Managing Government Debt

Regarding government debt management, Al-Attas said the legislation strikes a balance between improving collection efficiency and considering taxpayers' circumstances by allowing structured repayment plans and installment arrangements under clearly defined rules. These measures are expected to encourage voluntary compliance while reducing defaults and disputes.

He explained that the system also provides flexibility in exceptional cases by permitting temporary deferrals of collection, as well as partial or full debt waivers under specific conditions, including verification of a debtor's ability to repay before exemption decisions are made.

Al-Attas added that the new legislation represents a modern model for government revenue management by strengthening the state's ability to collect its financial rights, reducing the accumulation of public debts, preserving economic activity, and supporting the continued growth of Saudi Arabia's non-oil economy.



Saudi Arabia Offers 100% Social Insurance Debt Waiver to Businesses That Have Exited Market

Officials from the General Organization for Social Insurance at an earlier meeting with businessmen and businesswomen at the Riyadh Chamber (SPA)
Officials from the General Organization for Social Insurance at an earlier meeting with businessmen and businesswomen at the Riyadh Chamber (SPA)
TT

Saudi Arabia Offers 100% Social Insurance Debt Waiver to Businesses That Have Exited Market

Officials from the General Organization for Social Insurance at an earlier meeting with businessmen and businesswomen at the Riyadh Chamber (SPA)
Officials from the General Organization for Social Insurance at an earlier meeting with businessmen and businesswomen at the Riyadh Chamber (SPA)

Saudi Arabia's General Organization for Social Insurance (GOSI) has made businesses that have ceased operations and exited the Saudi market eligible for a 100% waiver of outstanding social insurance debts, subject to approved conditions, Asharq Al-Awsat has learned.

The move aims to address accumulated financial obligations, help businesses settle their accounts and close outstanding cases, and support stability in the Kingdom's private sector while resolving financial difficulties faced by companies that have left the market.

The measure is part of a broader package of improvements GOSI is implementing to enhance services for employers and businesses, in response to feedback and suggestions gathered during direct meetings with officials and business owners, in cooperation with chambers of commerce.

Taking Economic Conditions into Account

The initiative has economic and regulatory implications beyond debt relief, seeking to address financial and administrative liabilities left behind by businesses that have exited the market and facilitate the formal closure of their records in accordance with regulations.

Its main significance lies in striking a balance between protecting the rights of the social insurance system and its contributors, on the one hand, and taking into account the economic circumstances of businesses that have ceased operations, on the other.

It also reinforces regulatory flexibility in the business environment, ensuring that accumulated obligations do not become a permanent obstacle to the settlement of financial and administrative affairs.

Enhancing Market Attractiveness

The initiative reflects a more flexible approach to dealing with business distress, focusing on resolving outstanding liabilities rather than allowing them to remain a continuing burden on business owners.

This approach is expected to strengthen confidence in regulatory procedures and enhance the attractiveness of Saudi Arabia's business environment.

The move is particularly significant given the changing nature of the business sector, with new companies entering the market each year while others cease operations because of competition, rising costs, or shifting market conditions.

Settling the social insurance accounts of businesses that have exited the market could ease the administrative and financial burden on their owners, help them reorganize their financial affairs and potentially pave the way for a return to commercial activity in the future, without old liabilities remaining an obstacle, subject to applicable regulations.

According to information obtained by Asharq Al-Awsat, GOSI has notified all companies and establishments of improvements introduced to its business services, including the debt waiver.

The measure is designed to enable businesses that have ceased operations to resolve their outstanding social insurance obligations and complete the regulatory procedures associated with closing their operations, easing the financial burden on owners whose businesses are no longer active.

Service Improvements

In a related development, GOSI's improvements include upgrades to services for registering businesses, terminating their activities and managing ownership records, alongside efforts to resolve recurring technical problems and improve the quality of digital services.

The changes are intended to improve the user experience and accelerate transaction processing.

GOSI has also expanded electronic payment options through its GOSI Business app, allowing employers to pay amounts exceeding 30,000 Saudi riyals ($8,000) in multiple installments.

The measure aims to make it easier for businesses to meet their financial obligations while providing greater payment flexibility.

The updates also include measures to increase transparency in transaction processing by clarifying the reasons for rejecting occupational injury claims and contributor-related transactions.

Notifications have also been introduced through the GOSI Business and Tawakkalna apps to inform users when applications are received, accepted, returned, or rejected.

Together, the improvements reflect GOSI's efforts to modernize its digital services, simplify procedures for employers and improve the management of social insurance obligations.

The measures are also intended to support the business environment and help resolve outstanding financial and administrative matters involving businesses.


From Aramco's Profits to State Budget Revenue: How Do Oil Proceeds Reach Government Coffers?

A general view shows Ras Tanura's oil production plant near Dammam in Saudi Arabia's Eastern Province (AFP)
A general view shows Ras Tanura's oil production plant near Dammam in Saudi Arabia's Eastern Province (AFP)
TT

From Aramco's Profits to State Budget Revenue: How Do Oil Proceeds Reach Government Coffers?

A general view shows Ras Tanura's oil production plant near Dammam in Saudi Arabia's Eastern Province (AFP)
A general view shows Ras Tanura's oil production plant near Dammam in Saudi Arabia's Eastern Province (AFP)

Saudi Aramco's financial results and Saudi Arabia's third-quarter budget performance report, released on the same day, revealed a divergence between the company's rising profits and declining government oil revenue recorded in the state budget.

While Aramco's net income rose 34.2% during the first nine months of 2026 to SAR 380.6 billion ($101.5 billion), government oil revenue fell 1.3% over the same period and declined approximately 23% in the third quarter alone.

Comparing the two indicators does not necessarily imply a direct relationship between the company's profits and the revenue flowing into government coffers. Corporate earnings are recognized under different accounting principles from those governing the calculation and collection of government revenue.

The financial relationship between Aramco and the government also involves multiple channels, including taxes, royalties, dividends and offsetting settlements, each with its own payment and collection schedule.

Aramco's Profits and Cash Flows

Aramco reported net income of SAR 380.6 billion ($101.5 billion) for the first nine months of 2026, compared with SAR 283.6 billion ($75.6 billion) in the corresponding period last year, an increase of 34.2%.

Adjusted net income reached SAR 368.9 billion ($98.4 billion), up from SAR 302.3 billion ($80.6 billion) a year earlier.

However, the increase in earnings was not accompanied by a comparable rise in cash generated by the company's operations, according to its financial report.

Cash flow from operating activities totaled SAR 355.8 billion ($94.9 billion), compared with SAR 357.6 billion ($95.4 billion) in the same period last year, remaining largely unchanged.

Aramco attributed this to changes in working capital, which refers to funds tied up in day-to-day operations, including outstanding sales receivables, inventories and amounts owed to or by the company.

These movements limited the extent to which higher earnings translated into operating cash flow.

Meanwhile, free cash flow increased to SAR 221.6 billion ($59.1 billion), compared with SAR 217.3 billion ($57.9 billion) a year earlier.

This metric measures the cash remaining after capital expenditures are deducted from operating cash flow. It benefited from a reduction in capital expenditures to SAR 134.2 billion ($35.8 billion), from SAR 140.3 billion ($37.4 billion) in the comparable period.

Oil Revenue in the State Budget

On the other side of the equation, Aramco's earnings growth was not mirrored by a corresponding increase in government oil revenue.

Ministry of Finance data showed that oil revenue fell 23% year on year in the third quarter to SAR 116.5 billion ($31.1 billion), compared with SAR 150.8 billion ($40.2 billion) in the same period last year.

Over the first nine months of 2026, oil revenue totaled SAR 446.3 billion ($119 billion), down from SAR 452.4 billion ($120.6 billion) in the corresponding period of 2025, representing a relatively modest decline of approximately 1.3%.

By contrast, non-oil revenue increased 8% during the nine-month period to SAR 412.5 billion ($110 billion), helping lift total budget revenue by 3% to SAR 858.9 billion ($229 billion).

In the third quarter alone, non-oil revenue rose 20% to SAR 142.6 billion ($38 billion).

The growth in non-oil revenue therefore helped cushion the impact of declining oil revenue on the government's overall income.

Third-quarter expenditure totaled SAR 343.4 billion ($91.6 billion), against revenue of SAR 259.1 billion ($69.1 billion), resulting in a quarterly budget deficit of approximately SAR 84.3 billion ($22.5 billion).

Why Don't the Figures Move in the Same Direction?

Part of the divergence between Aramco's financial results and government budget revenue stems from the different nature of the figures themselves.

The company's profits are recognized according to its accounting results, while budget figures reflect government revenue actually collected during the reporting period.

Moreover, the government's financial returns from Aramco's operations flow through several channels, including taxes, royalties and dividends, with differences in when these amounts become due and when they are paid.

Accounting profits do not necessarily translate into cash inflows during the same period. Liquidity is affected by the timing of receivables collection, inventory movements and operating payments.

This distinction is also evident in financial transactions between Aramco and the government, which are not limited to direct cash payments but include the settlement of certain mutual obligations through offsets.

For example, Aramco's cash income tax payments fell to SAR 2.8 billion (approximately $747 million) in the third quarter, compared with around SAR 51 billion ($13.6 billion) in the second quarter, as amounts due to the company from the government were settled by offsetting them against its tax obligations.

Under this mechanism, amounts owed to one party are deducted from what that party owes the other, rather than transferring the full amount in cash.

Such offsets affect both the volume of cash payments and the timing of financial transfers between Aramco and the government.

Consequently, government oil revenue does not necessarily move in the same direction as Aramco's financial results, since each is influenced by different factors and accounting mechanisms.

While the company's profits reflect its financial performance during a given period, government revenue recorded in the budget depends on the taxes, royalties and dividends due to the state, as well as the timing of their collection and settlement.

Aramco's profits may therefore increase during a period when government oil revenue is declining.

Overall, the results demonstrate Aramco's continued ability to generate strong profits and maintain substantial cash flows, supporting its capacity to sustain investment and distribute dividends to shareholders, foremost among them the Saudi government.

At the same time, growth in non-oil revenue underscores the importance of diversifying budget income sources to mitigate fluctuations in oil revenue, broaden the sources supporting public finances and advance the Kingdom's economic transformation.


Crypto Dips on Democrat Midterm Wins, Binance Hack Dents Optimism

Representation of cryptocurrencies are seen in this illustration taken September 10, 2025. (Reuters)
Representation of cryptocurrencies are seen in this illustration taken September 10, 2025. (Reuters)
TT

Crypto Dips on Democrat Midterm Wins, Binance Hack Dents Optimism

Representation of cryptocurrencies are seen in this illustration taken September 10, 2025. (Reuters)
Representation of cryptocurrencies are seen in this illustration taken September 10, 2025. (Reuters)

Cryptocurrencies briefly dipped on Wednesday as Democrats won majorities in both the Senate and House in the US midterm elections, a potential blow to an industry that has pushed for faster deregulation for digital assets.

The sector has spent more than $300 million backing crypto-friendly Democrats and Republicans in roughly equal measure during the current and previous election cycles, hoping to pass legislation US crypto companies say will ‌put them on ‌a solid legal footing and allow them to thrive.

Bitcoin ‌briefly ⁠touched a six-week ⁠low before recovering to trade roughly flat by 0715 GMT at $78,070. Ether traded at $2,292, up just 1%.

Bitcoin has fallen by around 41% since hitting record highs above $122,000 in October 2025, bringing the value of the broader crypto market to around $2.61 trillion, according to CoinMarketCap.

The market has lost some $300 billion in value in the last month alone, as deepening concern about future returns from AI and the ⁠strain of rising borrowing costs pushed investors into less risky ‌assets such as government bonds and ‌safe-haven currencies.

Sentiment has also been hurt by the $6 billion hack of the Binance platform last ‌week, the largest heist in history.

On Tuesday, Binance customers had withdrawn ‌a net $4.72 billion from the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange since it reopened following the hack at the weekend.

"The market may be re-evaluating the risk-reward profile of crypto assets. On one hand, the string of security incidents is forcing investors to re-examine the ‌industry's security infrastructure and custody risks," Tim Sun, senior researcher at HashKey, said.

"On the other hand, potential shifts in ⁠the US political landscape ⁠could stall the progress of structural crypto legislation and institutional framework development. All of these factors leave the crypto market facing strong headwinds," he said.

US President Donald Trump, who vowed to make the United States the "crypto capital of the world" during his 2024 presidential campaign, has made his own forays into digital assets, with the launch of his "Trump" meme coin, plus his family's World Liberty Financial crypto platform, among other ventures.

The sector has seen sweeping reforms in the almost two years since Trump returned to office, including lighter enforcement and the creation of a strategic bitcoin reserve.

Washington has also allowed for easier access to banking and exchange-traded products and passed a federal stablecoin law that could help these assets move into the mainstream payments and money transfer systems.