State Revenue System Shifts Saudi Arabia to Governance and Sustainability

The Saudi capital, Riyadh. Reuters
The Saudi capital, Riyadh. Reuters
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State Revenue System Shifts Saudi Arabia to Governance and Sustainability

The Saudi capital, Riyadh. Reuters
The Saudi capital, Riyadh. Reuters

Saudi Arabia's financial system has entered a new phase of structured governance following the Cabinet's approval of the updated State Revenue System during its recent session chaired by Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman.

The legislation represents a fundamental shift in the economic philosophy of public finance management, moving beyond the traditional concept of fee collection to establish an integrated framework for strategic planning and comprehensive financial governance.

The significance of the new system extends beyond its regulatory function. It serves as a safeguard for medium- and long-term fiscal sustainability by comprehensively regulating every stage of public revenue management - from initial forecasting and estimation through to final settlement.

Expanding Coverage and Governing Sovereign Revenue Flows

The updated system places all public financial inflows under a unified regulatory framework, expanding the scope of state revenues to include a comprehensive range of structural and sovereign income sources.

These encompass natural resources and national assets - the country's most significant sovereign wealth - as well as fees, taxes, financial charges, and service revenues, which constitute the primary sources of non-oil government budget financing.

The framework also introduces proceeds from privatization and public-private partnerships (PPPs) as a distinct revenue category, aligning closely with the objectives of Saudi Vision 2030, which seeks to increase private sector participation in the national economy.

In addition, the system regulates revenues generated from state-owned assets through sales and leasing activities, financing and investment returns, as well as other sources including fines, penalties, compensation payments, donations, grants, bequests, endowment (waqf) income, zakat funds, and any additional revenue channels approved by the Cabinet.

Ten-Year Revenue Forecasting

One of the system's most significant structural reforms is its long-term forecasting approach, shifting budget estimation from annual planning to a broader strategic horizon.

The Ministry of Finance is now legally authorized to forecast government revenues for periods of up to ten fiscal years, relying on data, projections, and development plans submitted by various government entities.

The framework also provides flexibility for the Ministry to periodically review and revise these forecasts whenever significant domestic or international economic or financial developments occur, improving forecasting accuracy and reducing estimation gaps in the national budget.

The system further regulates revenue collection procedures by requiring government entities to collect revenues when due, record them within the relevant fiscal year, and transfer all collected revenues to the Ministry of Finance's account at the Saudi Central Bank according to timelines established in the implementing regulations.

Government Debt Collection

The system requires government entities to notify debtors on the first working day following the debt's due date. If payment is not made within 45 working days from the notification date, legal collection procedures must begin.

The legislation also introduces flexibility in handling government debts by allowing collection to be postponed for up to one year in exceptional circumstances. It affirms that government debts enjoy priority status and are not subject to statutory limitation periods.

Rules governing debt exemptions and installment arrangements have also been established. Debts not exceeding SAR1 million may be partially or fully waived under specific conditions, including verification that the debtor is genuinely unable to pay. Debts exceeding SAR1 million require approval from the Prime Minister based on the recommendation of the Minister of Finance.

The system also allows debts of up to SAR1 million to be repaid over periods of up to five years, while larger debts - or repayment terms exceeding five years - require approval from the Minister of Finance or an authorized delegate, with installment plans not exceeding 25 years.

The Saudi Cabinet was chaired by Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman on Tuesday. SPA

From Revenue Collection to Revenue Management

Experts interviewed by Asharq Al-Awsat described the new legislation as a major transformation in government resource management, shifting the focus from simply collecting revenues to establishing an integrated system covering forecasting, planning, collection, receivables management, and oversight, thereby strengthening public finance efficiency and supporting Saudi Arabia's fiscal sustainability objectives.

Dr. Abdullah Almeer, Assistant Professor of Economics at King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals, said the legislation represents a transition toward a more comprehensive model of government revenue management that begins with revenue forecasting and planning, continues through collection, and concludes with debt management and performance oversight.

He explained that the updated system shifts from a model focused primarily on revenue collection to one that manages the entire government revenue cycle - from estimation and planning to collection, debt management, receivables administration, and performance monitoring.

According to Almeer, one of the most significant reforms is the move toward strategic revenue management. While the previous system emphasized identifying revenue sources and collecting outstanding debts, the updated legislation introduces medium- and long-term financial planning.

He noted that allowing government entities to forecast revenues over ten-year periods - with periodic reassessments in response to economic changes - will improve revenue forecasting accuracy, enhance medium- and long-term budget preparation, and strengthen the government's ability to manage fiscal risks.

Improving Fiscal Efficiency

Almeer added that the new system is expected to improve financial efficiency by narrowing the gap between projected and actual revenues while enabling faster collection of government receivables immediately after they become due.

He noted that government entities are now required to participate in revenue forecasting and establish specialized revenue development units where needed, increasing accountability for financial resource management and improving collection efficiency.

Regarding non-oil revenues, Almeer expects the legislation to have a positive impact because it assigns government entities direct responsibility not only for collecting revenues but also for developing them.

He emphasized that increasing non-oil revenues depends not only on introducing new fees or revenue streams, but also on improving the management of existing revenues, strengthening collection mechanisms, and enhancing receivables management.

He also pointed out that government entities must now conduct studies and analyses before proposing any new fees, financial charges, or taxes, helping strike a balance between revenue growth and economic development.

Additionally, he observed that recognizing privatization proceeds as a separate revenue source is fully aligned with privatization and public-private partnership initiatives under Saudi Vision 2030.

Clearer Responsibilities and Stronger Governance

Financial and economic consultant Dr. Hussein Al-Attas described the updated legislation as a qualitative shift from revenue collection to integrated government revenue cycle management, covering revenue estimation, recording, monitoring, collection, and the treatment of overdue accounts.

According to Al-Attas, the system clearly defines the responsibilities of government entities and standardizes procedures, reducing inconsistencies in implementation while improving collection efficiency. He expects these reforms to enhance financial planning, reduce revenue leakage, and strengthen fiscal discipline.

He also stressed that strengthening non-oil revenues depends not only on creating new income sources but also on improving the management of existing revenue streams. Better collection procedures, reduced payment delays, and more effective management of government receivables will support sustainable revenue growth.

Al-Attas added that clearly defined responsibilities among government agencies improve transparency and accountability, facilitate performance measurement, and strengthen financial governance through standardized practices for revenue estimation, collection, and receivables management.

Greater Flexibility in Managing Government Debt

Regarding government debt management, Al-Attas said the legislation strikes a balance between improving collection efficiency and considering taxpayers' circumstances by allowing structured repayment plans and installment arrangements under clearly defined rules. These measures are expected to encourage voluntary compliance while reducing defaults and disputes.

He explained that the system also provides flexibility in exceptional cases by permitting temporary deferrals of collection, as well as partial or full debt waivers under specific conditions, including verification of a debtor's ability to repay before exemption decisions are made.

Al-Attas added that the new legislation represents a modern model for government revenue management by strengthening the state's ability to collect its financial rights, reducing the accumulation of public debts, preserving economic activity, and supporting the continued growth of Saudi Arabia's non-oil economy.



Europe Can’t Afford to Miss AI Revolution, Says ECB Chief

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde addresses a press conference following the ECB Governing Council meeting at the ECB headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, July 23, 2026. (Reuters)
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde addresses a press conference following the ECB Governing Council meeting at the ECB headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, July 23, 2026. (Reuters)
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Europe Can’t Afford to Miss AI Revolution, Says ECB Chief

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde addresses a press conference following the ECB Governing Council meeting at the ECB headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, July 23, 2026. (Reuters)
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde addresses a press conference following the ECB Governing Council meeting at the ECB headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, July 23, 2026. (Reuters)

European Central Bank chief Christine Lagarde said Wednesday that the continent could not afford to miss out on the artificial intelligence revolution as the continent's growth model comes under increasing pressure.

The United States and China are seen leading the AI race, with their companies producing the most advanced large language models and rapidly building vast new data centers.

"Europe largely missed out on the first digital revolution, as the commercial gains from the spread of information and communication technologies were captured disproportionately elsewhere," Lagarde said at a World Economic Forum event in Geneva.

"We cannot afford to repeat that experience with artificial intelligence, the second digital revolution," she said.

While European companies are investing heavily in AI, barriers in the eurozone are hindering them from scaling up their operations, she said.

The "fragmentation" of EU markets means firms are not competing enough across the whole eurozone and also struggled to raise funds, particular when compared to US peers, Lagarde said.

"The result is fewer firms growing to global size and slower diffusion of new technologies across the economy."

She added that scale is particularly important for Europe to be able to compete in AI and other new technologies at a time when Europe's post-war growth model faces major challenges.

She noted that Europe had long benefitted from "three pillars" -- a rules-based global order underpinned by US security guarantees, cheap energy and expanding global trade.

"All three are weakening as the international environment changes," she said.

"These shifts suggest that Europe's post-war growth model is eroding. And it is unlikely to return to the form we once knew."

The return of US President Donald Trump to the White House, in particular, has shaken relations between the United States and Europe.

He has imposed hefty tariffs on European Union imports and questioned long-standing US commitments to the continent's security.


Trump Pauses 50% Tariffs on Canadian Goods for Three Days

This aerial view shows a Capital Southern Transportation, Inc. truck passing over the Peace Bridge between Canada and the US in Fort Erie, Ontario, on August 18, 2026. (AFP)
This aerial view shows a Capital Southern Transportation, Inc. truck passing over the Peace Bridge between Canada and the US in Fort Erie, Ontario, on August 18, 2026. (AFP)
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Trump Pauses 50% Tariffs on Canadian Goods for Three Days

This aerial view shows a Capital Southern Transportation, Inc. truck passing over the Peace Bridge between Canada and the US in Fort Erie, Ontario, on August 18, 2026. (AFP)
This aerial view shows a Capital Southern Transportation, Inc. truck passing over the Peace Bridge between Canada and the US in Fort Erie, Ontario, on August 18, 2026. (AFP)

US President Donald Trump paused the planned rollout of punishing new tariffs on Canadian goods late Tuesday, as both sides indicated they were close to a broader trade agreement after weeks of talks.

Trump announced the three-day reprieve from 50-percent duties on select goods just hours before a midnight deadline.

The delay was "based on the fact that Canada and the U.S.A., subject to the finalization of documents, have a DEAL!" Trump wrote on his Truth Social platform.

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney was less definitive, saying "substantial progress has been made" towards a comprehensive trade deal, but "there is important work still to be done."

Ottawa and Washington have held intense negotiations on revising their existing deal, the United States-Canada-Mexico Agreement (USMCA), which Trump signed and praised during his first term but now says needs to change.

The US Trade Representative's office said on X that the pact between Washington and Ottawa is set to "include comprehensive market access for all American goods, economic security commitments, digital trade alignment" and other provisions.

A proclamation by Trump to pause the duties added that the suspension came about as "Canada has expressed a commitment to remove the discriminations or unreasonable and unequal impositions at issue."

Carney said the prospective deal aims to "address outstanding trade issues and deliver greater certainty and real benefits for Canadian businesses, workers, farmers and families."

- 'Discriminatory treatment' -

Trump had signed orders for the 50-percent duties last month, with the White House alleging "discriminatory treatment" by Canada against US automobile and dairy products.

The new tariffs would cover products such as wine, hockey sticks and cement.

They target around 5.5 percent of Canada's exports to the United States, worth about $20 billion, Oxford Economics estimates.

While this only poses a "modest" negative risk to Canada's economy, Oxford Economics said in a recent report that the duties would "affect central Canada's manufacturing sector much more severely."

Canadian negotiators have been in Washington to push for a deal to avoid the new tariffs and also secure relief on Trump's sector-specific duties, which have battered Canada's auto, steel, lumber and aluminum industries.

Ottawa reportedly offered concessions like pressuring provinces to put some US beverages back on their shelves.

Without going into details, Trump added in his Truth Social post: "The great Keystone XL Pipeline, long ago killed by Sleepy Joe Biden, may be awoken from the grave!"

Trump has previously called for the revival of the controversial project opposed by environmental activists, which was blocked under his predecessor Biden.

- Political concerns -

"It's not unusual for a trade negotiation to go right up to the deadline," former US commerce official Christopher Padilla told AFP.

He expects that the Trump administration threatened new tariffs to try and win early concessions from Canada as the countries negotiate new terms for the USMCA.

Oxford Economics anticipates that manufacturers who stand to be most impacted include those in the cement, paper, printing, wood, clothing and electronic equipment sectors.

With the US Supreme Court striking down many of Trump's global tariffs earlier this year, the president had tapped an untested legal provision for the new duties targeting Canada.

The US duties will not apply to Canadian energy, potash or goods already facing sector-specific tariffs, but are set to hit products covered by the USMCA.

Trump's trade envoy Jamieson Greer previously said the tariffs aimed to "hold Canada accountable" for its retaliation against the United States.


Oil Extends Climb on Prolonged Hormuz Export Uncertainty

An automated oil drilling rig operated by ExxonMobil in Midland, Texas, US, August 17, 2026. REUTERS/Sheila Dang
An automated oil drilling rig operated by ExxonMobil in Midland, Texas, US, August 17, 2026. REUTERS/Sheila Dang
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Oil Extends Climb on Prolonged Hormuz Export Uncertainty

An automated oil drilling rig operated by ExxonMobil in Midland, Texas, US, August 17, 2026. REUTERS/Sheila Dang
An automated oil drilling rig operated by ExxonMobil in Midland, Texas, US, August 17, 2026. REUTERS/Sheila Dang

Oil prices climbed for a fourth straight day on Wednesday as investors weighed conflicting messages from Tehran and Washington on whether the Strait of Hormuz is open to ships.

Brent crude futures climbed 69 cents, or 0.8%, to $91.71 by 0415 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 76 cents, or 0.9%, to $85.70 a barrel, Reuters reported.

Both contracts closed on Tuesday at their highest in more than three weeks as hopes of peace between the US and Iran faded.

US President Donald Trump said on Tuesday no talks were taking place with Iran ⁠and insisted the ⁠Strait of Hormuz was open, contradicting Iran's assertion that the critical waterway remained shut to shipping.

A temporary ceasefire agreement expired on Monday and a senior Iranian official told Reuters that his country was moving to a "fully offensive" military posture due to the diplomatic stalemate, though there were no reports of fresh strikes by either side on Tuesday.

"The shipping risks are increasing again as attacks from Iran ⁠and Houthis remain prevalent in both key chokepoints, keeping oil prices supported in the near term," said June Goh, senior oil market analyst at Sparta Commodities, referring to the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb strait.

Shipping through Hormuz slowed, data showed on Wednesday, as most shipowners avoided the key waterway due to a lack of clear signaling on its reopening from a blockade.

"However, Gulf producers are finding alternative export routes to bring oil out to the Gulf of Oman," said Goh. "If sustainable, this could help increase shut-in production from these two producers."

To avoid the Strait of Hormuz, Iraq's cabinet approved mechanisms for exporting Iraqi ⁠crude through specialized international ⁠and local companies and via multiple export outlets, the government said on Tuesday.

The contracts under the new mechanism will run for three months starting September 1, according to a statement issued after the cabinet meeting.

In the US, crude oil and distillate inventories fell, while gasoline stocks rose last week, market sources said, citing data from the American Petroleum Institute.

Official inventory numbers from the US Energy Information Administration are due at 10:30 a.m. ET (1430 GMT), with analysts polled by Reuters expecting crude stocks fell by about 600,000 barrels in the week ended August 14.