Saudi Debt Market Gathers Pace as Sovereign, Bank and Corporate Borrowing Converges

King Abdullah Financial District (KAFD) in Riyadh
King Abdullah Financial District (KAFD) in Riyadh
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Saudi Debt Market Gathers Pace as Sovereign, Bank and Corporate Borrowing Converges

King Abdullah Financial District (KAFD) in Riyadh
King Abdullah Financial District (KAFD) in Riyadh

Saudi Arabia’s debt market is seeing growing activity as the government, banks and companies tap international markets simultaneously, highlighting their widening use of debt instruments to diversify funding sources.

The kingdom is seeking to finance budget needs and investment projects, while Saudi banks and companies are moving to strengthen their capital bases and diversify funding channels.

The latest move came from the Saudi government, which raised $3.25 billion through a two-tranche offering of US dollar-denominated Islamic bonds, or sukuk.

Al Rajhi Bank has also begun offering Tier 2 sukuk for an amount yet to be determined. Arab National Bank, meanwhile, said it had completed a $750 million Additional Tier 1 sukuk offering with an annual yield of 6.5%.

In the corporate sector, Saudi Arabian Mining Co., known as Ma’aden, raised $1 billion through its first international term loan and revolving credit facility.

The simultaneous transactions illustrate the growing importance of the debt market as an alternative to traditional financing, with Saudi issuers benefiting from international demand for dollar-denominated debt despite persistently high global borrowing costs, said Abdullah Al-Mair, assistant professor of economics at King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals.

The International Monetary Fund expects Saudi public debt to reach 32.6% of gross domestic product this year, up from 29.8% in 2025, a level that remains low by global standards. The Finance Ministry forecasts the ratio at 33.9%, according to the kingdom’s 2026 budget statement.

The IMF had raised its growth forecasts for the Saudi economy for this year and next, citing its resilience in the face of global challenges, an expected improvement in oil revenue and accelerating growth in non-oil activities that have come to drive the country’s economic transformation.

Strong demand for Saudi debt

The latest sovereign issuance stands out as an indicator of investor appetite for Saudi debt instruments. Orders exceeded $16.5 billion, according to the National Debt Management Center, more than four times the $3.25 billion issue size.

The deal comprised a $1.25 billion five-year tranche and a $2 billion 10-year tranche. The final spreads were set at 70 basis points over US Treasury yields for the first tranche and 80 basis points for the second.

Al-Mair said the strength of demand reflected “a high level of confidence among international investors in the kingdom’s creditworthiness and its ability to meet its financial obligations.”

Orders exceeding four times the issue size “indicate that Saudi Arabia continues to enjoy strong access to global debt markets,” even amid high interest rates and geopolitical tensions, he said.

The kingdom’s ability to price the sukuk at relatively narrow spreads over US Treasury yields “reflects investors’ positive view of Saudi sovereign risk compared with many other emerging markets,” he added.

From government to banks and companies

Debt-market activity is not limited to government financing. Saudi banks are also turning to international markets to issue instruments that bolster their capital bases and provide additional sources of funding.

Arab National Bank said it had completed a $750 million Additional Tier 1 capital sukuk offering with an annual yield of 6.5%. The perpetual sukuk are callable after five years.

Al Rajhi Bank, meanwhile, has begun offering US dollar-denominated social Tier 2 sukuk with a maturity of 10-1/2 years and an option to redeem them after 5-1/4 years. The final size and pricing terms will be determined according to market conditions.

At the same time, Saudi companies are turning to international financing markets. Ma’aden raised $1 billion through its first international term loan and revolving credit facility in a move aimed at supporting its general needs and diversifying its funding sources.

The concurrent transactions indicate that the debt market is no longer merely a tool for financing the government deficit, but has become a broader channel for meeting the funding needs of financial institutions and companies, allowing them to reach a wider investor base and manage maturities and liquidity sources.

Borrowing rises, but debt costs pose a challenge

The moves come as part of Saudi Arabia’s 2026 borrowing plan, which aims to raise about $57.9 billion. Of that, about $44 billion will finance an expected budget deficit, while roughly $13.9 billion will be used to repay debt maturing during the year.

Al-Mair said continued borrowing would “naturally lead to an increase in public debt,” but noted that Saudi Arabia’s debt-to-GDP ratio did not exceed 33%, a level that, in his view, “remains manageable compared with many major economies.”

Continued government efforts to diversify revenue and manage maturities provide support for debt sustainability, he said, while debt-servicing costs represent the main challenge in the next phase.

“With global bond yields and interest rates remaining relatively high, new issuance and debt refinancing are becoming more expensive than in the years when interest rates were low,” Al-Mair said, warning that interest payments in the budget could rise in the coming years.

Can debt become a driver of growth?

Higher debt does not necessarily create fiscal pressure if it is used to finance investments capable of supporting growth and generating future revenue.

Al-Mair said the kingdom was directing part of its borrowing toward tourism, infrastructure and industrial projects, which could “increase non-oil revenue” and support the economy’s ability to absorb higher debt levels.

For Saudi Arabia, the issue therefore appears to be less about the volume of borrowing alone than about how it is managed, its cost and the economic return generated by its use. While the government continues to finance budget needs and projects through debt markets, banks and companies are using the same channel to strengthen their capital and diversify funding sources.

Al-Mair said demand for Saudi debt instruments at this time underscored their continued appeal to international investors, adding that “public debt is an important component in diversifying financing methods and has a clear impact on economic development.”

As the range of Saudi borrowers in international markets expands, continued demand for their debt instruments and issuers’ ability to maintain competitive funding costs will be key to determining how effectively the debt market can support the investment and spending phase associated with the kingdom’s economic transformation.



Gold Rises, but on Track for Weekly Loss as Fed Rate Hike Expectations Build

FILE PHOTO: A raw gold bar is displayed at Nigeria’s booth at the 8th China International Import Expo (CIIE) venue in Shanghai, China, November 5, 2025. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A raw gold bar is displayed at Nigeria’s booth at the 8th China International Import Expo (CIIE) venue in Shanghai, China, November 5, 2025. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov/File Photo
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Gold Rises, but on Track for Weekly Loss as Fed Rate Hike Expectations Build

FILE PHOTO: A raw gold bar is displayed at Nigeria’s booth at the 8th China International Import Expo (CIIE) venue in Shanghai, China, November 5, 2025. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A raw gold bar is displayed at Nigeria’s booth at the 8th China International Import Expo (CIIE) venue in Shanghai, China, November 5, 2025. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov/File Photo

Gold prices rose on Friday but was on track for a weekly loss, as rising US Treasury yields and growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate hikes weighed on the metal.

Spot gold was up 0.6% at $4,303.19 per ounce by 1210 GMT, but was down about 1.7% so far this week. US gold futures rose 1% to $4,339.

US and Iranian negotiators in New York are seeking a deal that would involve Tehran reopening the Strait of Hormuz and Washington lifting its economic blockade of Iran, sources close to the talks said.

"Gold finds support today as oil prices pull back on renewed hopes for a US-Iran deal," said Nikos Tzabouras, a senior market analyst at Jefferies-owned Tradu.com.

"That said, the precious metal is heading for weekly losses, as higher Fed rates and bond yields raise the opportunity cost of holding gold."

The Fed raised interest rates by a quarter-point last week, its first hike in three years, and flagged more hikes follow. Traders are pricing in a 71% chance of an October hike and a 95% chance of an increase in December, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Although gold is traditionally seen as a hedge against inflation, higher rates dampen demand as investors shift to yield-bearing assets.

Gold demand in India picked up modestly this week as lower prices drew in buyers ahead of the festive season.

Oil prices fell, and the dollar eased about 0.3%, making greenback-priced bullion more affordable for holders of other currencies.

"Lingering deficit fears could revive the debasement trend that drives investors toward hard assets like gold. Alongside persistent central bank demand, the precious metal has a credible case for a strong fourth-quarter recovery, should the macro winds begin to shift," said Tzabouras.

Spot silver gained 1.4% to $64.82 per ounce, platinum added 1.7% to $1,777.38 and palladium fell 0.4% to $1,269.77. All three metals were poised for weekly losses.


Dollar Falls as Oil Eases, Yen Rallies on Japan Remarks

US dollar banknotes (Reuters)
US dollar banknotes (Reuters)
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Dollar Falls as Oil Eases, Yen Rallies on Japan Remarks

US dollar banknotes (Reuters)
US dollar banknotes (Reuters)

The dollar fell on Friday as oil prices eased, but was poised for a second straight weekly advance on growing rate hike bets, while the yen rallied after Japan said Tokyo and Washington remain committed to the stance behind July's joint intervention.

The dollar was on track to snap a four-day streak of gains as crude prices fell more than 1%.

Global oil prices have eased but still they remain above $100 a barrel, maintaining upward pressure on inflation.

Comments from central bank officials flagging inflation concerns and support for more rate increases after last week's rate hike of 25 basis points have boosted market expectations for a more aggressive path of monetary policy and helped spark a jump in US Treasury yields.

"We've had like a pretty aggressive rally in the dollar over the last couple of days and maybe it's a little stretched, just taking a little breather. So I wouldn't really say that the dollar is really weakening materially today," said Eugene Epstein, head of trading and structured products at Moneycorp in Stamford, Connecticut.

"It's just a combination of those factors that you have not only a slight increase in odds of a second hike before year-end, but also just general bond yields going up and the market getting a bit concerned about that, so that's really what we have, what's been driving the dollar stronger overall."

DOLLAR INDEX POISED FOR BIGGEST DROP IN THREE WEEKS

The dollar index, which measures the dollar against five other currencies, fell 0.34% and was on track for its biggest daily percentage drop since September 3, to 100.95. The euro was up 0.2% at $1.1402 but on pace for a third straight weekly decline.

Expectations for a rate hike from the Fed at its October meeting stood at about 66%, according to CME FedWatch, up from about 58% a week earlier.

On the data front, new orders for US-manufactured capital goods increased more than expected in August and data for the prior month was revised sharply higher, pointing to another quarter of robust growth in business spending as part of artificial intelligence infrastructure is created.

In a separate report, the University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers said its Consumer Sentiment Index ticked up to 48.1 from the prior reading of 47.8, above the 47.6 estimate of economists polled by Reuters.

Sterling strengthened 0.24% to $1.3247, supported by hawkish comments from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey. Yet it remained close to a three-month low hit on Thursday.

YEN STRENGTHENS AS JAPAN STEPS UP INTERVENTION WARNINGS

The Japanese yen strengthened 1.09%, on pace to snap a four-day streak of declines and its biggest daily gain against the dollar since September 7, to 157.13.

The currency rose after Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said US President Donald Trump raised concern about yen weakness during a summit with Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi earlier this week.

Katayama said this reaffirmed the shared US-Japan stance behind July's joint intervention, adding she and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent would stay in close contact as policymakers stepped up warnings over renewed yen weakness.

Still, the yen was on track for a second weekly fall, after markets judged the Bank of Japan's rate hike last week to a 31-year high and its latest guidance as insufficiently hawkish.

Elsewhere, the dollar strengthened 0.14% to 6.725 versus the offshore Chinese yuan, as a Trump-Xi summit in Washington showed no signs of breakthroughs at a closed-door meeting on thorny issues such as AI, trade, Taiwan and the Iran war.


Gasoline Shipped to Syria Begins Moving by Road to Iraq, Syrian Official Says

FILE - This file photo released on April 7, 2019, by the Syrian official news agency SANA, shows a worker filling a pickup at a gas station, in Homs, Syria. (SANA via AP, File)
FILE - This file photo released on April 7, 2019, by the Syrian official news agency SANA, shows a worker filling a pickup at a gas station, in Homs, Syria. (SANA via AP, File)
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Gasoline Shipped to Syria Begins Moving by Road to Iraq, Syrian Official Says

FILE - This file photo released on April 7, 2019, by the Syrian official news agency SANA, shows a worker filling a pickup at a gas station, in Homs, Syria. (SANA via AP, File)
FILE - This file photo released on April 7, 2019, by the Syrian official news agency SANA, shows a worker filling a pickup at a gas station, in Homs, Syria. (SANA via AP, File)

Gasoline shipped to Syria has begun moving by road to Iraq, a senior Syrian oil official told Reuters, establishing a two-way energy corridor through a route Baghdad has used to export fuel since disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

Iraq began using the Syrian route after the Iran war cut off the Strait of Hormuz, its main Gulf trade route. Baghdad has said it plans to develop alternative routes through Syria even if traffic through Hormuz normalizes.

Transport of fuel oil had so far been from Iraq to Syrian ports before establishment of the return leg.

The first cargo to Iraq, about 32,800 metric tons of gasoline aboard the Marshall Islands-flagged tanker Avanti, was unloaded into storage tanks at Syria's Baniyas refinery before being loaded onto trucks this week, said Tareq Shallash, director of the Refining Directorate at state-owned Syrian Petroleum Company (SPC).

Shallash said 77 tanker trucks have already left Baniyas for the Iraqi border and loading was continuing, adding that further shipments were expected.

The gasoline was neither produced in Syria nor drawn from stocks intended for the Syrian market, he said.

The operation is being carried out under a transit contract between SPC and Qatar's UCC Holding, which Shallash said was the supplier and was overseeing transportation.

"A contract was signed between SOMO and the Qatari company to supply Iraq with improved gasoline through the port of Banias by road tankers, and the supplies have in fact been delivered on a regular basis," Iraqi oil ministry spokesperson Saleem al-Rikabi told Reuters on Friday when asked for comment.

Another Marshall Islands-flagged tanker, Gaita, loaded gasoline at the Port of Houston before sailing to Baniyas for discharge, LSEG shipping data showed.