H&M Sinks on Doubts about Margin Target and June Sale Drop

A view shows an H&M warehouse at Magna Park in Milton Keynes, Britain, September 26, 2021. (Reuters)
A view shows an H&M warehouse at Magna Park in Milton Keynes, Britain, September 26, 2021. (Reuters)
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H&M Sinks on Doubts about Margin Target and June Sale Drop

A view shows an H&M warehouse at Magna Park in Milton Keynes, Britain, September 26, 2021. (Reuters)
A view shows an H&M warehouse at Magna Park in Milton Keynes, Britain, September 26, 2021. (Reuters)

H&M cast doubt over its full-year profit margin target on Thursday after missing quarterly earnings forecasts and predicting a fall in June sales, sending shares in the world's No.2 listed fashion retailer down almost 14%.
Sales this month are likely to fall 6% in local currencies versus a year earlier, partly due to poor weather in many markets, the Swedish company said.
CEO Daniel Erver said H&M still stood by its 10% operating margin goal for 2024, but that it had got harder to reach, Reuters said.
"External factors that influence our purchasing costs and sales revenues, including materials and foreign currency, will have a more negative impact than we expected in the second half," he said.
"The most important prerequisite for achieving our goal is that sales growth is further strengthened in the second half of the year compared with the second quarter increase," he added.
Analysts are likely to cut their full-year estimates for H&M's earnings per share by 1-2% based on Thursday's update, brokers DNB Markets said in a note to clients.
H&M has often fallen short of Zara owner Inditex, while China-founded fast-fashion group Shein is expanding rapidly in Europe and plans a London stock market listing.
H&M shares fell nearly 14% at market open and were down 12.5% at 0833 GMT, on track for its biggest single-day decline in over two years and the worst performance in the pan-European STOXX 600 index.
The stock is up 9% in the last 12 months, significantly lagging Inditex' 35% rise.
JPMorgan said the update was disappointing.
"We .... indeed think that the June sales and margin commentary could weigh on the wider sector," the broker said.
H&M has struggled to win back customers, with its core of cost-conscious shoppers reluctant to spend as inflation ate into purchasing power.
The Swedish group said net sales in its March-May second quarter rose 3% in local currencies versus a year earlier, with growth in all customer groups and a positive trend in all regions.
Operating profit was 7.1 billion Swedish crowns ($672.5 million), up from 4.74 billion a year earlier but below a mean forecast of 7.37 billion in an LSEG poll of analysts.



Nike Sinks as Gloomy Sales Forecast Fans Growth Concerns

The Nike swoosh logo is seen outside the store on 5th Ave in New York, New York, US, March 19, 2019. (Reuters)
The Nike swoosh logo is seen outside the store on 5th Ave in New York, New York, US, March 19, 2019. (Reuters)
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Nike Sinks as Gloomy Sales Forecast Fans Growth Concerns

The Nike swoosh logo is seen outside the store on 5th Ave in New York, New York, US, March 19, 2019. (Reuters)
The Nike swoosh logo is seen outside the store on 5th Ave in New York, New York, US, March 19, 2019. (Reuters)

Nike shares slumped 15% premarket on Friday as a forecast for a surprise drop in annual sales amplified investor concerns about the pace of the sportswear giant's efforts to stem market share losses to upstart brands such as On and Hoka.

The company on Thursday projected a mid-single-digit percentage fall in fiscal 2025 revenue, compared to analysts' estimates of a near 1% rise, dragging shares of rivals and sportswear retailers across Europe, UK and US on Friday, Reuters reported.

British sportswear retailer JD Sports fell as much as 6.6% and Germany's Puma lost 4%, while Adidas was flat after briefly rising nearly 2%.

"Nike shares are headed for a stay in the proverbial penalty box until new product innovations actually start to manifest themselves and management regains investor trust," Wedbush analyst Tom Nikic said in a note.

To be sure, Nike has cut back on oversupplied brands including Air Force 1 to curb a worsening sales decline as part of a $2 billion cost-cutting plan launched late last year.

Nike is set to roll out this year an Air Max version and Pegasus 41 with full-length foam midsole made from ReactX to boost sustainability, responding to concerns over stagnating innovation.

The company was "also accelerating planned reductions for our three largest franchises ... while we have work to do, we are very focused on scaling the newness to offset this planned reduction," CEO John Donahoe said on a post-earnings call.

Newer sporting goods brands, including Hoka, Asics, New Balance and On, accounted for 35% of global market share in 2023 compared to the 20% held over the 2013-2020 period, according to a RBC research report released in June.

"They know where the problems are, but they're having trouble right now generating demand and it is going to be a transition period that is going to take some time in different markets," Morningstar analyst David Swartz said.

Nike's US market share in the sports footwear category fell to 34.97% in 2023 from 35.37% in 2022, and 35.40% in 2021, according to GlobalData.

At least six brokerages downgraded the stock and 15 cut their price targets on Nike.

Nike's shares were trading at 25.13 times profit estimates while On and Deckers were trading at 37.41 and 31.13 times earnings expectations.