LVMH Third-Quarter Sales Fall 3% as China Weighs

Logo of Dior brand is seen outside a Dior store in Paris, France, January 27, 2020. (Reuters)
Logo of Dior brand is seen outside a Dior store in Paris, France, January 27, 2020. (Reuters)
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LVMH Third-Quarter Sales Fall 3% as China Weighs

Logo of Dior brand is seen outside a Dior store in Paris, France, January 27, 2020. (Reuters)
Logo of Dior brand is seen outside a Dior store in Paris, France, January 27, 2020. (Reuters)

French luxury giant LVMH reported a 3% fall in third-quarter sales on Tuesday, its first decline in quarterly sales since the pandemic, as rising prices and economic uncertainty held back shoppers.

Revenue for the world's biggest luxury group was 19.08 billion euros ($20.8 billion) for the three months ending in September, a 3% fall on an organic basis, stripping out the effect of currencies, acquisitions and divestitures.

The figure missed a consensus estimate of 2% organic growth, according to Barclays.

The numbers will offer little reassurance to jittery investors who already had low expectations for the quarter.

The fashion and leather goods division, home to Louis Vuitton and Dior labels, reported a decline of 5%, well below consensus expectations for 4% growth, and the first decline for the business since 2020 during the height of the pandemic.

Fashion and leather goods comprise almost half of LVMH revenue and nearly three-quarters of its recurring profit.

Investors have grown nervous about the luxury goods sector since a post-pandemic spending spree lost momentum last year, with Chinese appetite for high end fashion a major source of concern. The country's property crisis has weighed on shoppers' confidence, and hopes that government stimulus measures could quickly reignite enthusiasm for high-end merchandise have yet to be fulfilled.

UBS has predicted that the third quarter will be the worst for the sector in four years, with a 1% decline in organic sales year-on-year.



Uniqlo Owner Seen Posting 24% Annual Profit Surge on Brand’s Overseas Push

Fast Retailing's Uniqlo sign boards are displayed at a casual clothing store in Tokyo, Japan January 11, 2023. (Reuters)
Fast Retailing's Uniqlo sign boards are displayed at a casual clothing store in Tokyo, Japan January 11, 2023. (Reuters)
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Uniqlo Owner Seen Posting 24% Annual Profit Surge on Brand’s Overseas Push

Fast Retailing's Uniqlo sign boards are displayed at a casual clothing store in Tokyo, Japan January 11, 2023. (Reuters)
Fast Retailing's Uniqlo sign boards are displayed at a casual clothing store in Tokyo, Japan January 11, 2023. (Reuters)

The Japanese owner of casual wear giant Uniqlo is projected to beat its own forecast in what would be a third straight year of record profits as its brand makes inroads in western markets and its business in China recovers.

Fast Retailing's operating profit in the 12 months through August likely rose 24% from a year earlier to 478.3 billion yen, based on the average of 15 analyst estimates compiled by LSEG ahead of the company's earnings on Thursday.

That's marginally higher than the company's 475 billion yen forecast, which it lifted in July citing a strong performance in the second half.

Fast Retailing's shares have been on a tear, reaching a record high this week. Key factors going forward will be sales of fall and winter items in Japan and whether the company can reinvigorate its business in China, according to independent analyst Mark Chadwick.

"Investor attention will turn to whether Fast Retailing's measures in Greater China successfully reverse the earnings decline caused by weak consumer sentiment and increased competition," Chadwick wrote on the Smartkarma platform.

With more than 900 stores in China, Fast Retailing has long been seen as a bellwether for the retail sector in the world's second-biggest economy. COVID restrictions weighed on results there for years, but now the challenge is a sluggish economy that has weighed on consumer confidence.

Greater China CEO Pan Ning acknowledged in July that the market is maturing, with the company scaling back store openings and adopting a scrap and build strategy for underperforming locations.

When COVID lockdowns depressed sales in China, the company focused more on expansions in North America and Europe. Both sectors delivered strong sales and profits through the first nine months of fiscal 2024.

Company founder Tadashi Yanai aims to make Fast Retailing the world's biggest fashion retailer, with the operators of Zara and H&M standing in the way. He believes consumers are more focused on value than luxury in a post-COVID world, a trend that works in Uniqlo's favor.

Yanai, Japan's richest man, is scheduled to speak at the company's earnings briefing on Thursday, as well as Uniqlo president Daisuke Tsukagoshi, whom Yanai has spoken of as a possible successor.

Fast Retailing's shares have climbed 43% so far in 2024, outperforming a 16% advance in the benchmark Nikkei index.