Massive Media Campaign Expresses Opposition to Another War in Lebanon

A billboard in Beirut reads: “So that the past doesn’t repeat itself, Lebanon does not want war.” (X platform)
A billboard in Beirut reads: “So that the past doesn’t repeat itself, Lebanon does not want war.” (X platform)
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Massive Media Campaign Expresses Opposition to Another War in Lebanon

A billboard in Beirut reads: “So that the past doesn’t repeat itself, Lebanon does not want war.” (X platform)
A billboard in Beirut reads: “So that the past doesn’t repeat itself, Lebanon does not want war.” (X platform)

The toned-down speeches of Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah did not reassure the Lebanese people that the Gaza war would not spread to their country.

In fact, repeated Iranian statements about the possibility of the spread of the fighting beyond the southern border regions have raised the people’s fears that the war would spread to Lebanon.

Since the eruption of the conflict in Gaza, Hezbollah, Lebanese and Palestinian groups have been engaged in fighting with Israeli troops on the border. The fighting has so far been limited to those regions.

The fear of the spillover of the Gaza war led politicians and civil society groups to launch a massive campaign, under the slogan, “Lebanon does not want war.”

The campaign was first limited to social media, with the participation of politicians, artists, and media figures, but it has now been moved to billboards, especially those located in Beirut.

Billboards read: “So that the past doesn’t repeat itself, Lebanon does not want war.” Short phone text messages were also received by a large number of people, calling for sparing the country another war.

Ghina Al-Khazen, director of an advertising company in the Gulf, and one of the organizers of the project, revealed that it was funded by a group of young Lebanese and businessmen who want political, military and security stability, and who represent “all Lebanese regions.”

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, Al-Khazen said: "Yes, the Lebanese prime minister declared that he and his government do not control the decision of war and peace, but the Lebanese people are greater and stronger than the government, and the decision is in their hands.”

She continued: “[This decision] is not and will not be in the hands of the political system that is subject to the policies of parties and armed groups.”

Prior to the campaign, caretaker prime minister Najib Mikati toured a number of countries to urge their help in preventing Lebanon from sliding towards the war.

The country’s opposition forces had sent an appeal to the Arab Summit held in Saudi Arabia, asking Arab leaders “to help Lebanon confront the attempt to drag it into war, in light of its hijacked sovereignty and usurped decision-making.”

“When the state is robbed of the decision to make war and peace, it becomes necessary for the political components... to carry out their duty. Therefore, as opposition representatives, we conveyed a call to the Arab Summit, to say that Lebanese society in general and the opposition representatives refuse to let Lebanon be part of the arenas of the existing conflict. We want the country to be a space for dialogue and diplomacy, which would serve the Palestinian cause,” MP Razi al-Hajj, member of the Strong Republic bloc, told Asharq Al-Awsat.

A few days ago, a number of political activists organized a protest in front of the National Museum in Beirut to demand that Lebanon be protected from war.

Political activist Princess Hayat Arslan participated in the demonstration, stressing in a statement to Asharq Al-Awsat the importance of “raising our voice so that the international community is aware that the majority of the Lebanese do not want war and do not support [Hezbollah] in what it is doing, given that the party represent no more than 15 or 20 percent of the Lebanese people.”



Winter Will Hamper, But Not Halt, Israel’s War on Hezbollah in Lebanon

A destroyed Lebanese village as seen in a photo from Mount Adir in northern Israel. (Reuters)
A destroyed Lebanese village as seen in a photo from Mount Adir in northern Israel. (Reuters)
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Winter Will Hamper, But Not Halt, Israel’s War on Hezbollah in Lebanon

A destroyed Lebanese village as seen in a photo from Mount Adir in northern Israel. (Reuters)
A destroyed Lebanese village as seen in a photo from Mount Adir in northern Israel. (Reuters)

The ground battles between Israel and Hezbollah in southern Lebanon remain intense, with no end in sight for the coming weeks. The arrival of winter will bring weather changes that could slow down operations. but won't stop the fighting.

Experts say that while winter weather, especially rain and fog, can make it harder for fighters and vehicles to move, it has a limited impact on the overall conflict. Air operations, which rely on advanced technology, are less affected.

The region’s mild winter conditions, unlike harsher winters in other countries, will not be a decisive factor in the battle.

Retired General Abdul Rahman Shheitly believes that modern military equipment is designed to work in any weather.

However, he told Asharq Al-Awsat that fog and rain can give both sides an advantage by obscuring visibility, making it harder to spot each other.

This benefits the attacking side, Israel, which has superior technology, while Hezbollah’s movements could be hindered by muddy terrain.

Shheitly also noted that weather affects displaced civilians, which could put pressure on political negotiations to end the conflict.

Retired General Hassan Jouni, former deputy chief of staff of operations in the Lebanese Armed Forces, argued that weather conditions affect the attacker more than the defender. Since Hezbollah is defending its ground, it is less impacted by the cold and rain.

The weather only slightly affects vehicle movement, and does not stop the fighting.

Jouni noted that the region doesn’t experience severe winter weather, so air operations will be unaffected by rain or cold. Modern drones, missiles, and aircraft are designed to function in such conditions, with GPS ensuring precise targeting.

Both Hezbollah and Israel rely heavily on drones. Hezbollah’s drones are noted for their accuracy and ability to avoid Israel’s Iron Dome defense, while Israel uses drones for surveillance and targeted strikes.

More than a year has passed since the conflict began after Hezbollah opened its "support front” for Hamas on October 8, 2023. The fighting, mostly limited to airstrikes during the winter of 2023, escalated with Israel’s ground operation a month ago, though its full goals remain unclear.

As the ground battles continue, Israel seems focused on creating a buffer zone in the South rather than occupying towns. Israel has destroyed over 37 villages to achieve this goal.

The next steps remain uncertain.

Israeli Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi has stated that the military is preparing for further ground operations in southern Lebanon, while Hezbollah remains determined to hold its ground and prevent Israeli advances.