Syria in 2023: Return to Arab League, Open Ground for US-Iran Conflict

Anti-regime protests are held in Sweida in August. (Reuters)
Anti-regime protests are held in Sweida in August. (Reuters)
TT
20

Syria in 2023: Return to Arab League, Open Ground for US-Iran Conflict

Anti-regime protests are held in Sweida in August. (Reuters)
Anti-regime protests are held in Sweida in August. (Reuters)

Syria’s reistatement to the Arab League in 2023 after a 12-year suspension did little to improve the economic and security situation in the war-torn country that has effectively become an arena for an American-Iranian conflict.

Syria’s return to the organization did little to lifting sanctions against Damascus, which is still languishing under an economic and financial crisis that has led to a 100% collapse of the pound from 2022. The crushing crisis sparked protests in the southern Sweida city in August.

In February, another disaster struck the country: a devastating earthquake that left 23,000 people dead in Syria and neighboring Türkiye. The tragedy hit regime- and opposition-held regions in Syria’s west and north.

In what was seen as the first step in Damascus’ rapprochement with its Arab fold, countries in the region dispatched urgent aid to the people affected.

Months later in May, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad attended the Arab summit in Jeddah, with Syria’s membership being restored.

At the event, he hoped the summit would “mark the beginning of a new phase of Arab work towards peace in our region, as well as prosperity instead of war and destruction.”

“This is a historic opportunity to rearrange our affairs with minimal foreign meddling,” he added.

Arab leaders at the summit agreed to “bolster joint Arab cooperation to tackle the fallout and repercussions of displacement, terrorism and drug smuggling.” They stressed the need for “effective and tangible steps that would lead to a solution to the crisis in Syria.”

In reality, however, no progress has since been made in the refugee file and the drug smuggling from Syria through Jordan to Arab countries did not stop. Jordanian and Syrian officials even met in July to tackle the phenomenon.

Jordan has reported dozens of smuggling operations throughout the year, most recently four attempts over a four-day period in December.

Jordanian officials said the operations have become “regulated”. Drones are employed in the process that is protected by armed groups. Amman has resorted to air raids on a number of occasions to thwart the smugglers.

On the security level, no radical change took place in 2023. ISIS is still active and continues to launch attacks against government forces and civilians. Notable attacks took place against truffle hunters in February and April. In October, ISIS launched a drone attack against a military academy graduation ceremony in Homs city, leaving at least 100 people dead.

Moreover, little progress has been achieved in unifying authorities in Syria and pushing for the withdrawal of foreign forces.

Hezbollah and allied Iran-aligned militias continue to be deployed in the country. Israel, in turn, has continued to carry out air raids against these groups. These attacks intensified with the eruption of its war on Gaza in October. The raids took Damascus and Aleppo airports out of service for two whole months.

The war on Gaza effectively turned Syria into an open arena for conflict between Iran – through its proxies – and the United States. Pro-Iran militias continued to attack American forces in eastern and northeastern Syria, while they retaliated by striking the militants. The Pentagon had also announced its targeting of Iranian Revolutionary Guards forces in Syria.

Amid the stalemate, the economy continued to crumble, pushing people to the streets in Sweida city in August and they continued through December.

The rallies spread to Daraa, where protesters demanded the ouster of the regime, release of prisoners and implementation of UN Security Council resolution 2254.

The demonstrations also spread to Deir Ezzor, the Aleppo and Idlib countrysides, and some regime-held regions in Damascus and Tartus.

Assad had a busy year, first visiting Jeddah for the Arab summit. He then made official visits to the United Arab Emirates, Russia, where he met President Vladimir Putin, and China, where he met President Xi Jinping.



Proposal of Merging Hezbollah Fighters with Lebanese Army Collides with Reality

Hezbollah fighters carry the coffin of former Secretary-General Hashem Safieddine during his funeral on February 24, 2025. (AP)
Hezbollah fighters carry the coffin of former Secretary-General Hashem Safieddine during his funeral on February 24, 2025. (AP)
TT
20

Proposal of Merging Hezbollah Fighters with Lebanese Army Collides with Reality

Hezbollah fighters carry the coffin of former Secretary-General Hashem Safieddine during his funeral on February 24, 2025. (AP)
Hezbollah fighters carry the coffin of former Secretary-General Hashem Safieddine during his funeral on February 24, 2025. (AP)

Lebanese President Joseph Aoun’s proposal for Hezbollah fighters to be merged with the army has been met with skepticism and provided fodder for political debate.

Aoun had suggested that the members be merged into the military the same way militia members, who were active during the 1975-90 civil war, were merged into the army.

The proposal has not been widely welcomed given the army’s inability to accommodate so many new members for various reasons. Experts who spoke to Asharq Al-Awsat dismissed the proposal as a “consolation prize for Hezbollah in exchange for it to lay down its weapons to the state.”

They stressed that it would be impossible for members of an ideological group, who have received ideological training, to be part of the army.

Aoun, the former commander of the army, said it wouldn’t be possible to form a new military unit for the Hezbollah members, so they should instead join the army and sit for training, similar to the training former militants sat for at the end of the civil war.

Member of the Lebanese Forces’ parliamentary bloc MP Ghayath Yazbeck said the army simply cannot accommodate 100,000 Hezbollah fighters.

“Even if Hezbollah had 25,000 fighters, it would be impossible to merge them into the army, whose wages are being paid through foreign assistance,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat.

Moreover, Lebanon needs a national defense strategy that should be drafted by the military with the president and government, he went on to say. The strategy does not stipulate how many members of the army and security forces are needed to protect Lebanon.

“Once the borders are demarcated and the reasons for the war are removed, we can embark on a political solution in Lebanon and ultimately, the current number of officers and soldiers will be enough,” Yazbeck said.

Former Lebanese officer and expert in security and military affairs Khaled Hamadeh said Aoun is trying to appease Hezbollah with his proposal and persuade it to lay down its arms in line with the ceasefire agreement.

The agreement was negotiated with Hezbollah ally parliament Speaker Nabih Berri, so it has the party’s approval.

There are several obstacles to Hezbollah members being merged into the army, Hamadeh said.

“Yes, the Lebanese state had succeeded in stopping the civil war and making hundreds of militia fighters join the army and security forces. But we cannot compare that situation to the one we now have with Hezbollah,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat.

At the end of the civil war, militias leaders signed and recognized the national pact and announced the dissolution of the militias. They then voluntarily handed over their arms to the state and became part of the political process, he explained.

Today, Iran-backed Hezbollah does not acknowledge the ceasefire agreement and has not agreed to turn over its weapons, he noted. The party does not even recognize that it is part of the political process and that its military wing has been destroyed by Israel, so the idea of merging with the army is “out of place.”

Yazbeck also noted Hezbollah’s ideology, saying it was the “greatest obstacle to its fighters’ merging with the army.”

“The party views Lebanon as a geographic extension of Iran. This ideology still stands, and was demonstrated with Hezbollah Secretary-General Sheikh Naim Qassem’s declaration that the party will not disarm and that it is not concerned with talk about the state’s monopoly over arms,” he added.

Hamadeh echoed these remarks, saying that the civil war militias were Lebanese and took their orders from their Lebanese leaders. They chose to lay down their weapons and abide by Lebanese laws and the country's constitution.

As for Hezbollah, its takes orders from Iran and “has played dangerous military or security roles inside Lebanon and beyond,” he continued.

“Hezbollah has not declared its disengagement from Tehran. It has not declared that it will transform itself into a local political party and that it will dissolve its military wing. Once it does so, then we can talk about accommodating its fighters in the military,” stressed Hamadeh.

“How can we reconcile between a military group that follows the Wilayet al-Faqih ideology (...) and another that works under the constitution and according to democratic mechanisms?” he wondered.

Moreover, he asked: “Was the experience of merging the militias into the state’s civil and security agencies so successful that we should even be repeating it?”

Yazbeck noted that civil war militants were not really merged with the army as some would like to claim.

He explained that those who joined the security and military institutions were in a fact close to the Syrian regime, which was controlling Lebanon at the time.

“The fighters who were fighting for state sovereignty and who confronted Syrian occupation were persecuted and thrown in jail, so many were forced to flee Lebanon,” he revealed.

Furthermore, the level of discipline showed by the army does not apply to Hezbollah fighters. “Militias simply do not gel with army and the army does not gel with them either,” he stated.

Ultimately, said Hamadeh, whatever happens, Hezbollah must first hand over its weapons to the state. “Only then can its members choose to sit for assessments to enter state administrations – placing them on equal footing as other Lebanese citizens,” he added.

Hezbollah members are not isolated from society, and they must be merged, however, proposing their merger in an attempt to persuade them to lay down their arms will ultimately fail, he said.

Above all else, the party must first recognize the state and its right to monopoly over arms and decisions of war and peace, he urged.