Is Sinwar Really Leading Hamas from Underground?

Yahya Sinwar in Gaza on Oct. 28, 2019 (Reuters)
Yahya Sinwar in Gaza on Oct. 28, 2019 (Reuters)
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Is Sinwar Really Leading Hamas from Underground?

Yahya Sinwar in Gaza on Oct. 28, 2019 (Reuters)
Yahya Sinwar in Gaza on Oct. 28, 2019 (Reuters)

Hamas’ recent appointment of Yahya Sinwar as its leader has raised questions about his ability to guide the Palestinian movement during one of the most challenging times in its history.

Sinwar, who is Israel’s top target since the surprise attack on Oct. 7, faces immense pressure as Israeli forces search for him across the Gaza Strip.

Israel claims that Sinwar is hiding in tunnels in Khan Younis, a city in southern Gaza where he and his family live. But only a small group knows his location.

Since the war began, Sinwar has only appeared in a video released by the Israeli army, showing him in a tunnel a day after the Oct. 7 attack. Since then, he hasn’t been seen or heard from, raising doubts about whether he is still alive and leading Hamas.

Asharq Al-Awsat attempted to gather information about Sinwar’s situation, but the sensitive and complex conditions make even asking questions about him difficult.

Hamas sources in Gaza told Asharq Al-Awsat that no one within the movement knows exactly where Sinwar is, whether inside or outside Gaza. However, a small, trusted group is aware and serves as a link between him and the leadership when needed.

“These few individuals ensure his needs are met and facilitate his communication with the leadership inside and outside Gaza using complex methods,” the sources added.

It is believed that Sinwar’s brother, Mohammed, who is also a senior commander in Hamas’ al-Qassam Brigades, is responsible for overseeing Sinwar’s safety and movements.

Some analysts think Sinwar’s brother, who is also a top target for Israel, could lead the brigades if Israel has indeed killed Mohammed Deif.

Despite being out of public view, Sinwar remains actively involved in Hamas. A source confirmed to Asharq Al-Awsat that Sinwar stays in regular contact with the movement's leadership through various means.

Since the war began, Sinwar has sent regular messages about operations and how to handle the challenges brought by the war. These instructions, often handwritten or typed and signed by Sinwar, are delivered secretly.

In addition to written messages, Sinwar has had direct phone contact with Hamas leaders during critical moments. A senior source confirmed that, after arranging secure conditions, Sinwar managed to make phone calls, though these took considerable effort to set up.

The source also revealed that Sinwar sent at least two written messages and one voice recording to intermediaries during key points in the negotiations. He has been closely involved in every stage of the talks, carefully reviewing proposals and discussing them with Hamas leaders.

Contrary to his reputation as a tough negotiator, Sinwar has supported flexibility in several stages of the negotiations, surprising even the intermediaries. He is determined to end the bloodshed and bring the war to a close.

Despite Sinwar’s active role in Hamas, Israel has been unable to locate him, according to sources from Asharq Al-Awsat.

Earlier this year, Israel conducted a three-month operation in Khan Younis, searching for Sinwar both above and below ground, but came up empty-handed. A second attack on the city also failed to find him.

Now, Israel is launching another major operation in Sinwar’s hometown, just days after he was appointed Hamas leader.

Israeli army chief Maj.Gen. Herzi Halevi stated that Sinwar’s appointment as Hamas leader won’t change anything but will speed up efforts to capture him.

Field sources said Israel’s operation in Khan Younis was aimed at punishing civilians for Sinwar’s selection, trying to force them into cooperating to reveal his location.

“They even dropped leaflets urging people to turn against him,” the sources noted.

However, “none of the civilians targeted by Israel know where Sinwar is, or whether he’s above or below ground.”



Anti-War Posters Crop up Across Lebanon

A man walks on an overpass beneath a giant billboard that reads "Enough, we are tired, Lebanon doesn't want war" on a street in Beirut on August 7, 2024, amid regional tensions during the ongoing war between Israel and the Palestinian Hamas movement in the Gaza Strip. (AFP)
A man walks on an overpass beneath a giant billboard that reads "Enough, we are tired, Lebanon doesn't want war" on a street in Beirut on August 7, 2024, amid regional tensions during the ongoing war between Israel and the Palestinian Hamas movement in the Gaza Strip. (AFP)
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Anti-War Posters Crop up Across Lebanon

A man walks on an overpass beneath a giant billboard that reads "Enough, we are tired, Lebanon doesn't want war" on a street in Beirut on August 7, 2024, amid regional tensions during the ongoing war between Israel and the Palestinian Hamas movement in the Gaza Strip. (AFP)
A man walks on an overpass beneath a giant billboard that reads "Enough, we are tired, Lebanon doesn't want war" on a street in Beirut on August 7, 2024, amid regional tensions during the ongoing war between Israel and the Palestinian Hamas movement in the Gaza Strip. (AFP)

Anti-war posters have cropped up across Lebanon expressing objection to the war launched by Hezbollah in southern Lebanon against Israel in support of Hamas in Gaza.

The posters have appeared in regions dominated by opposition parties and some neighborhoods in Beirut.

Tensions have skyrocketed between Hezbollah and Israel in the past two weeks after Israel’s assassination of the Iran-backed party’s top military commander Fuad Shukr in Beirut’s southern suburbs, a Hezbollah stronghold. The party has vowed to response to attack, sparking fears of the eruption of wide scale conflict in Lebanon. Tensions spiraled even further when Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh was assassinated in Tehran with Iran blaming Israel.

Lebanon, which is already beleaguered by a crippling economic crisis, would be devastated by a war and the posters are an expression of this.

The posters, which have been hung anonymously, have angered Hezbollah supporters. No one from the civil society groups or opposition has claimed that they have put them up.

Regardless of who is behind them, a leading member of the opposition told Asharq Al-Awsat that the posters reflect the position of the “vast majority of the people, regardless of their sect and affiliations.”

“The people being killed in the Israeli operations are sacrifices at the altar of the Iranian agenda, not the liberation of Jerusalem or defense of Palestine,” he said on condition of anonymity.

“It is natural for voices of opposition to rise more and more. It is the voice of everyone who rejects the choices taken by Hezbollah” and dragging Lebanon towards war, he continued.

“Even the Shiite community, which used to forgive all of Hezbollah’s mistakes” is beginning to show unease and dissent after the party led to the destruction of their homes, killing of their sons and their displacement, he added.

They are beginning to realize the emptiness of the party’s claims that it alone can protect them and Lebanon, he remarked.

No one in Lebanon will argue against enmity to Israel and championing Palestine, which is the Arab and Muslims worlds’ number one cause, but there is real division over Hezbollah’s monopoly over the decision to take the country to war.

“Why Lebanon alone?” wondered the opposition member. “Why has [Hezbollah leader Hassan] Nasrallah exempt Iran and Syria from the responsibility of joining the war against Israel? How is it possible that Lebanon alone is the open arena to settle Iranian scores with the United States and the West?”

The opposition member lamented the massive losses incurred by the tourism sector in Lebanon as a result of the latest tensions, noting that the government, which is operating in a caretaker capacity, “has shed its responsibility towards the Lebanese people, their interests and future.”

On the other side of the divide, a source close to Hezbollah told Asharq Al-Awsat that “it is no secret” who is behind the anti-war campaign and “claims that the party wants war and is dragging the country towards destruction.”

Israeli media has caught on to the campaign, seeing it as a means to exert pressure on Hezbollah from within Lebanon, angering the party’s supporters.

The source said the campaign “serves - deliberately or not - the enemy, which harbors ill intentions towards Lebanon and its people.”

The campaign has gained a lot of traction on social media in Lebanon.

Saydet el-Jabal Gathering member, former MP Fares Soaid agreed that the overwhelming majority of the people oppose the war, “because they naturally oppose war and violence.”

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, he stressed that the people will not be forced into Hezbollah’s agenda. At the same time, the anti-war slogans will not deter the party from heading to war. Rather, the unity of the Lebanese people will.

Moreover, he noted that Hezbollah “is seeking to achieve Iran’s interest in Lebanon and unfortunately, no camp in Lebanon is stepping up against it and voicing its commitment to the Taif Accord and Arab and international legitimacy.”

Many agree that Hezbollah derives its power from the weakness of its rivals and their political differences.

Soaid offered the best example of this. He noted that Christian parties are now preoccupying themselves with parliamentary elections that are two years away, while the real focus should be on settlements that will shape the region.

“Lebanon’s problem lies in a camp that is planning on tying it completely to the dangerous Iranian agenda, and we are addressing this issue with posters that will not alter the situation on the ground or Iran and Hezbollah’s intentions,” he stated.