Gulf Debt Instruments Rise 16%

National Bank of Kuwait. (Reuters)
National Bank of Kuwait. (Reuters)
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Gulf Debt Instruments Rise 16%

National Bank of Kuwait. (Reuters)
National Bank of Kuwait. (Reuters)

Gulf Cooperation Council global sovereign issues reached a historic level of USD50 billion in 2017, contributing to the increase in the total value of the Gulf issues, including the public and private ones. They exceeded the USD100 billion for the second year in the row.

Revenues of debt fluctuated in a limited range until they closed the year at various levels due to tensions in the political scene and the strength of economic data.

A report issued by National Bank of Kuwait revealed that the due revenues of Gulf bonds in eight to nine years were variable. Some of them witnessed a slight change, while risks of others relapsed hugely.

Revenues were influenced by the drop in oil prices and the tension in the region. However the relative success achieved by the GCC countries in carrying out financial reforms and expanding the OPEC-led deal contributed to the hike of revenues.

Further, the re-balance of prices at the end of the year contributed to supporting the stability of these revenues. Revenues improved on Saudi bonds due in 2026, Kuwaiti bonds due in 2027 and Omani bonds due in 2027. They improved between 19 to 40 points compared to only 6 to 9 points for Qatari and Bahraini bonds.

Majority of Gulf central banks followed the example of the US Federal Reserve System in raising the interest prices up to 25 percent three times, while excluding Kuwait and Oman. These steps came in tandem with the need to maintain the currencies’ link to dollar.

For the second year in the row, the GCC total public and private issues exceeded the USD100 billion limit, led by the strength of sovereign issues. The world Gulf debt instruments covered around 50 percent of the government funding needs.



OPEC Lifts 2026 Oil Demand View

FILE PHOTO: A view of the logo of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) outside their headquarters in Vienna, Austria, November 30, 2023. REUTERS/Leonhard Foeger/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view of the logo of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) outside their headquarters in Vienna, Austria, November 30, 2023. REUTERS/Leonhard Foeger/File Photo
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OPEC Lifts 2026 Oil Demand View

FILE PHOTO: A view of the logo of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) outside their headquarters in Vienna, Austria, November 30, 2023. REUTERS/Leonhard Foeger/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view of the logo of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) outside their headquarters in Vienna, Austria, November 30, 2023. REUTERS/Leonhard Foeger/File Photo

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) raised estimates for world demand growth in 2026 by 100,000 barrels a day to 1.4 million a day, a fractionally higher rate than this year, on stronger economic expectations. It trimmed forecasts for supply growth outside the group by the same amount.

A monthly report showed that in July, OPEC+ raised crude output by 335,000 bpd to 41.94 million bpd during the same period.

In return, OPEC has downgraded its forecast for US oil supply growth next year, paving the way for Brazil to become the largest source of non-OPEC+ output expansion in 2026, according to the Monthly Oil Market Report.

US liquids output is now expected to rise by just 130,000 b/d — down by 80,000 b/d from last month's report and sharply lower than the 510,000 b/d projected in January. The revision reflects sustained capital discipline and weaker momentum in drilling activity, the MOMR said.

Brazilian supply is forecast to increase by 160,000 b/d in 2026, making it the top contributor to non-OPEC+ growth.

Total non-OPEC+ supply is now projected to grow by 630,000 b/d next year — 100,000 b/d less than previously expected. OPEC left its 2025 non-OPEC+ supply growth forecast unchanged at 810,000 b/d.

In the report, OPEC also increased its forecast for world economic growth slightly this year to 3.0% as US President Donald Trump's administration signs some trade deals and the economies of India, China and Brazil outperform expectations.

“Economic data at the start of the second half of 2025 further confirm the resilience of global growth, despite persistent uncertainties related to US-centered trade tensions and broader geopolitical risks,” OPEC said.

Brent crude was steady after OPEC published the report, trading close to $66 a barrel.