Chaos in Oil Markets as Saudi Arabia Discusses Scenarios to Appease Everyone

Chaos reigned as in the market amid conflicting stances on oil policy. (AFP)
Chaos reigned as in the market amid conflicting stances on oil policy. (AFP)
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Chaos in Oil Markets as Saudi Arabia Discusses Scenarios to Appease Everyone

Chaos reigned as in the market amid conflicting stances on oil policy. (AFP)
Chaos reigned as in the market amid conflicting stances on oil policy. (AFP)

Chaos reigned on Wednesday as Russian officials said there was a need to increase the production of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its independent producers, known as OPEC Plus, while US President Donald Trump held OPEC responsible for the rise in oil prices.

Iran, however, announced its refusal to increase OPEC production at the next meeting, while rejecting the intervention of the US president in the policy of the organization, which it sees as independent and sovereign.

Saudi Arabia is trying to satisfy everyone, those supporting the increase of production and those opposing it, by offering several scenarios to increase production that will provide many solutions but at the same time not affect the price of oil significantly, sources told Bloomberg.

Saudi Arabia is mulling different scenarios to raise production over the coming months by between 500,000 barrels and one million barrels a day, Bloomberg added.

It said that one proposal envisages a single hike of just 500,000 barrels a day. Another idea would see an immediate increase of 500,000 barrels, followed by a similar rise in the fourth quarter. The Kingdom has also shared ideas with increases of around 600,000 to 700,000 barrels a day.

In contrast, Saudi Arabia and several other OPEC members, including the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait, and non-OPEC nation Oman would prefer a gradual production boost to avoid upsetting the oil market.

Russian President Vladimir Putin and Saudi Arabian Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman will meet in Moscow to discuss oil policy on the sidelines of the opening match of the Football World Cup, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters on Wednesday.

Peskov said the two would discuss the global oil production cut agreement, which Saudi Arabia and Russia are leading, but did not plan to discuss an exit from the deal.



Al-Barrak Says he Invested in Advanced Technologies, Gulf Integration is Crucial

Kuwaiti businessman and former Oil Minister Dr. Saad Al-Barrak. Asharq Al-Awsat
Kuwaiti businessman and former Oil Minister Dr. Saad Al-Barrak. Asharq Al-Awsat
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Al-Barrak Says he Invested in Advanced Technologies, Gulf Integration is Crucial

Kuwaiti businessman and former Oil Minister Dr. Saad Al-Barrak. Asharq Al-Awsat
Kuwaiti businessman and former Oil Minister Dr. Saad Al-Barrak. Asharq Al-Awsat

Kuwaiti businessman Dr. Saad Al-Barrak hopes to contribute to the development of innovative technologies that provide solutions and have a significant impact in addressing future challenges.

His company ILA focuses on advanced technologies such as artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, and blockchain.

Al-Barrak was former chief executive of Kuwait's Zain group and former Deputy Prime Minister, Minister of Oil and Minister of State for Economic and Investment Affairs. He has played a significant role in supporting the sectors he has worked in, particularly in Kuwaiti telecommunications, and has placed the Kuwaiti company Zain within the ranks of global companies after the huge investment he made in Africa.

There are many supporters of Al-Barrak's approach, as well as critics, who believe he works in a "high-risk" manner. But he said: "I always love new challenges ... I try to combine courage, which is half of the success, with wisdom, which is the other half, even though there is a contradiction between the two."

After leaving Zain in 2012, Al-Barrak founded a company specializing in advanced technologies, targeting large institutions and avoiding traditional projects. The company focused on investing in emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, and blockchain, with a strategy aimed at creating value and exiting investments within seven to 10 years to reinvest in new opportunities.

Al-Barrak explained that most of his company's operations are centered in the United States. He mentioned signing a contract with Saudi Aramco aimed at supporting digital transformation using artificial intelligence.

He revealed that his company "Beyond Limits," which he founded in collaboration with the California Institute of Technology (Caltech) in 2016, started with a capital of 20 million dollars and is now valued at over 2.5 billion dollars.

He added that the company seeks to expand its collaboration with Aramco and continue innovating in technologies that are game changers across various sectors.

The Zain Experience

About his experience in Zain, he said that he joined MTC in Kuwait in 2002, which rebranded to Zain in 2006–2007. During that time, the company underwent a significant transformation; it expanded its operations from one country to 23 countries worldwide, and revenues increased significantly from about 500 million dollars to over 8 billion dollars by 2009, with total profits growing from 250 million dollars to 3.2 billion dollars.

"The customer base grew from 500,000 in Kuwait to over 74 million worldwide. The rebranding to Zain included operations in about 15 African countries and eight Arab countries,” he added.

Gulf economies

Regarding the economies of the Gulf countries, he said: "The Gulf economies have witnessed significant growth since 2008, primarily driven by oil. However, fluctuations in oil prices due to global politics, wars, and alliances pose challenges. To address this issue, Gulf countries are working on diversifying their income sources."

"Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE have made significant progress, while Kuwait has started following the same approach, which is diversifying income sources to develop the economy. In less than ten years, the Gulf economies grew from one trillion to three trillion dollars, a 300% increase,” he added.

He said further integration and cooperation between Gulf countries, as envisioned by the Gulf Cooperation Council, is crucial for enhancing their global and regional influence as major powers.

The oil minister

In June 2023, al-Barrak was appointed as Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Oil.

"The oil market is controlled by countries, not individuals, which makes it highly affected by international politics. This means that oil prices are subject to fluctuations due to global events, such as the Russia-Ukraine war, which impacts all economies,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat.

"While OPEC countries share the commodity, they differ in strategies, visions, and political alliances. The Gulf countries, particularly Saudi Arabia, play a crucial role in OPEC, as they are the economic heart of the organization,” he said.

He pointed out that Saudi Arabia, under the leadership of Minister of Energy Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman has played an effective role in unifying OPEC and OPEC+, demonstrating exceptional leadership and diplomacy.

"Saudi Arabia reduced its production by one million barrels to stabilize the market, convince Russia and other countries to cooperate, and prevent a collapse in oil prices,” he said.

"This unity and leadership from Saudi Arabia greatly benefited the oil market and maintained price stability. The Kingdom continues to lead with excellence under the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques and the Crown Prince. However, the issue of oil price fluctuations remains complex and requires a fundamental solution to ensure the stability of Gulf economies,” he added.

Ties with Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman

Al-Barrak lauded the work done by Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman. “When I entered the ministry, the first person who contacted me was Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman. He is our mentor, and the cooperation between us is extensive.”

“He is a very good example—very humble, energetic, and active. His knowledge is exceptional in economic and oil matters."

Kuwait

Al-Barrak confirmed that Kuwait has made significant progress during the reign of the late Emir Sheikh Nawaf Al-Ahmad, and these efforts continued during the reign of Sheikh Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah. He pointed out that the signing of seven major agreements with the private sector to develop infrastructure provides an ambitious future vision.