Chaos in Oil Markets as Saudi Arabia Discusses Scenarios to Appease Everyone

Chaos reigned as in the market amid conflicting stances on oil policy. (AFP)
Chaos reigned as in the market amid conflicting stances on oil policy. (AFP)
TT

Chaos in Oil Markets as Saudi Arabia Discusses Scenarios to Appease Everyone

Chaos reigned as in the market amid conflicting stances on oil policy. (AFP)
Chaos reigned as in the market amid conflicting stances on oil policy. (AFP)

Chaos reigned on Wednesday as Russian officials said there was a need to increase the production of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its independent producers, known as OPEC Plus, while US President Donald Trump held OPEC responsible for the rise in oil prices.

Iran, however, announced its refusal to increase OPEC production at the next meeting, while rejecting the intervention of the US president in the policy of the organization, which it sees as independent and sovereign.

Saudi Arabia is trying to satisfy everyone, those supporting the increase of production and those opposing it, by offering several scenarios to increase production that will provide many solutions but at the same time not affect the price of oil significantly, sources told Bloomberg.

Saudi Arabia is mulling different scenarios to raise production over the coming months by between 500,000 barrels and one million barrels a day, Bloomberg added.

It said that one proposal envisages a single hike of just 500,000 barrels a day. Another idea would see an immediate increase of 500,000 barrels, followed by a similar rise in the fourth quarter. The Kingdom has also shared ideas with increases of around 600,000 to 700,000 barrels a day.

In contrast, Saudi Arabia and several other OPEC members, including the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait, and non-OPEC nation Oman would prefer a gradual production boost to avoid upsetting the oil market.

Russian President Vladimir Putin and Saudi Arabian Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman will meet in Moscow to discuss oil policy on the sidelines of the opening match of the Football World Cup, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters on Wednesday.

Peskov said the two would discuss the global oil production cut agreement, which Saudi Arabia and Russia are leading, but did not plan to discuss an exit from the deal.



Oil Prices Ease as Markets Weigh China Stimulus Hopes

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
TT

Oil Prices Ease as Markets Weigh China Stimulus Hopes

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil edged lower on Thursday in light holiday trade as the dollar's strength offset hopes for additional fiscal stimulus in China, the world's biggest oil importer.

Brent crude futures settled down 32 cents, or 0.43%, at $73.26 a barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude closed at $69.62, down 0.68%, or 48 cents, from Tuesday's pre-Christmas settlement.

Chinese authorities have agreed to issue 3 trillion yuan ($411 billion) worth of special treasury bonds next year, Reuters reported on Tuesday, citing two sources, as Beijing ramps up fiscal stimulus to revive a faltering economy.

"Injecting a stimulus into a nation's economy creates increased demand, and increased demand pushes prices higher," said Tim Snyder, chief economist at Matador Economics, Reuters reported.

The World Bank on Thursday raised its forecast for China's economic growth in 2024 and 2025, but warned that subdued household and business confidence, along with headwinds in the property sector, would keep weighing it down next year.

The US dollar continued to edge up higher after hitting a milestone last week. A stronger dollar makes oil more expensive for holders of other currencies.

The latest weekly report on US inventories, from the American Petroleum Institute industry group, showed crude stocks fell last week by 3.2 million barrels, market sources said on Tuesday.

Traders will be waiting to see if the official inventory report from the Energy Information Administration confirms the decline. The EIA data is due at 1 p.m. EST (1800 GMT) on Friday, later than normal because of the Christmas holiday.

Analysts in a Reuters poll expect crude inventories fell by about 1.9 million barrels in the week to Dec. 20, while gasoline and distillate inventories are seen falling by 1.1 million barrels and 0.3 million barrels respectively.

Elsewhere, southbound traffic in Turkey's Bosphorus Strait was set to resume on Thursday, having been halted earlier in the day after a tanker suffered an engine failure, shipping agent Tribeca said.