Toxic Mix of Polluted, Salty Water in Iraq’s Basra

An Iraqi man collects dead fish from a reservoir at a fish farm north of Basra in southern Iraq, on August 29, 2018. Haidar MOHAMMED ALI / AFP
An Iraqi man collects dead fish from a reservoir at a fish farm north of Basra in southern Iraq, on August 29, 2018. Haidar MOHAMMED ALI / AFP
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Toxic Mix of Polluted, Salty Water in Iraq’s Basra

An Iraqi man collects dead fish from a reservoir at a fish farm north of Basra in southern Iraq, on August 29, 2018. Haidar MOHAMMED ALI / AFP
An Iraqi man collects dead fish from a reservoir at a fish farm north of Basra in southern Iraq, on August 29, 2018. Haidar MOHAMMED ALI / AFP

Younes Selim clutches his stomach in pain at a hospital in southern Iraq, one of thousands to fall ill in a region flush with oil but desperately short of drinking water.

Sitting in an emergency ward in Basra, along with patients on drips suffering from severe diarrhea, Selim said he had no choice but to drink from the tap despite knowing the risk.

"We only give mineral water to our three children, but my wife and I often have to drink tap water," he told AFP, waiting for one of the hospital's overwhelmed doctors to treat him.

Since August 12, "more than 17,000 patients have been admitted for diarrhea, stomach pains and vomiting," said Ryad Abdel Amir, head of Basra's health department.

He said that in his 11 years in the job he has never before seen such a crisis, which has been exacerbated by a lack of public services and rising prices.

Umm Haydar, a market vendor in the port city, said she also struggles to provide drinking water for her family of 30.

"A thousand liters cost 20,000 dinars ($17) and once we have all drunk and washed the children, in half an hour there's nothing left," the grandmother said.

Until recently, the same amount of water cost 5,000 dinars.

While Iraq's water shortages are not just confined to Basra, the region suffers from a toxic mix of polluted and salty water, dismal public services, power cuts and open sewers.

The province has abundant energy resources and Iraq's only stretch of coastline, but it is also heavily populated and has creaking infrastructure.

It has been shaken by weeks of protests over the lack of basic services, despite government pledges to pump billions of dollars into the neglected south.

Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi acknowledges that water salinity has been increasing while chlorine concentration has been declining for decades.

This year the crisis is coupled with a drop in rainfall, according to the premier.

Basra sits on the Shatt al-Arab waterway formed by the confluence of the Tigris and Euphrates rivers which flow into the Gulf.

Repeated wars and dams that have damaged the ecosystem mean that salt water has taken over and now reaches 300 kilometers upriver from the sea.

Waste water produced by the country of 38 million people is also poisoning the Tigris and Euphrates.

In Basra, sewage flows into open canals that join the Shatt al-Arab, mixing with industrial pollution from the oil industry -- Iraq's sole source of foreign income -- as well as from neighboring Iran.

"The Shatt al-Arab has become a dump and for 15 years the treatment plants have not been renovated," said Faycal Abdallah of Iraq's Governmental Council for Human Rights.

His organization wants the province to be declared a disaster zone so that it can benefit from special funds and fresh water from reservoirs upstream.

"The province is supposed to get 75 cubic meters of water per second, but only 59 cubic meters per second really comes in" with provinces upstream taking water for agriculture, he said.

More fresh water would repel the salt water back towards the Gulf.

Fish farmer Jassem Mahmoud fears for his future after losing all 50 million of his juvenile fish and sinking into debt.

"It's the worst season... and surely the last year for us" said Mahmoud, after 25 years in the industry.

On the edge of nearby ponds, hundreds of dead fish rot on sun-baked earth, while others float on water drawn from the nearby Tigris.

Kazem al-Ghilani uses a device to test the water of his pond.

"The salinity is 12 milligrams per kilo of water. In normal times, it varies between 1 and 1.5 milligrams," the agricultural engineer said.

The prime minister says his government is not to blame and insists that water maintenance is the "responsibility of the provinces".

Back in the emergency room, Abdel Amir fears cooler autumn weather could significantly worsen the situation.

The combination of salt water with a very low chlorine concentration and milder weather will be the ideal breeding ground for cholera, he warned.



The Last US-Russian Nuclear Pact Is About to Expire, Ending a Half-Century of Arms Control

This photo released by the US Air Force shows a B-52H Stratofortress approaching a KC-10 Extender for refueling over the Middle East, Sept. 4, 2022. (US Air Force/Staff Sgt. Shannon Bowman, via AP, File)
This photo released by the US Air Force shows a B-52H Stratofortress approaching a KC-10 Extender for refueling over the Middle East, Sept. 4, 2022. (US Air Force/Staff Sgt. Shannon Bowman, via AP, File)
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The Last US-Russian Nuclear Pact Is About to Expire, Ending a Half-Century of Arms Control

This photo released by the US Air Force shows a B-52H Stratofortress approaching a KC-10 Extender for refueling over the Middle East, Sept. 4, 2022. (US Air Force/Staff Sgt. Shannon Bowman, via AP, File)
This photo released by the US Air Force shows a B-52H Stratofortress approaching a KC-10 Extender for refueling over the Middle East, Sept. 4, 2022. (US Air Force/Staff Sgt. Shannon Bowman, via AP, File)

The last remaining nuclear arms pact between Russia and the United States is set to expire Thursday, removing any caps on the two largest atomic arsenals for the first time in more than a half-century.

The termination of the New START Treaty would set the stage for what many fear could be an unconstrained nuclear arms race.

Russian President Vladimir Putin declared readiness to stick to the treaty’s limits for another year if Washington follows suit, but President Donald Trump has been noncommittal about extending it.

Trump has repeatedly indicated he would like to keep limits on nuclear weapons and involve China in arms control talks, a White House official who was not authorized to talk publicly and spoke on condition of anonymity said Monday. Trump will make a decision on nuclear arms control “on his own timeline,” the official said.

Beijing has balked at any restrictions on its smaller but growing nuclear arsenal.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Tuesday it would be a “more dangerous” world without limits on US and Russian nuclear stockpiles.

Arms control advocates long have voiced concern about the expiration of New START, warning it could lead to a new Russia-US arms race, foment global instability and increase the risk of nuclear conflict.

Failure to agree on keeping the pact’s limits will likely encourage a bigger deployment, said Daryl Kimball, executive director of the Arms Control Association in Washington.

“We’re at the point now where the two sides could, with the expiration of this treaty, for the first time in about 35 years, increase the number of nuclear weapons that are deployed on each side,” Kimball told The Associated Press. “And this would open up the possibility of an unconstrained, dangerous three-way arms race, not just between the US and Russia, but also involving China, which is also increasing its smaller but still deadly nuclear arsenal.”

Kingston Reif of the RAND Corporation, a former US deputy assistant secretary of defense, also warned during an online discussion that “in the absence of the predictability of the treaty, each side could be incentivized to plan for the worst or to increase their deployed arsenals to show toughness and resolve, or to search for negotiating leverage.”

Putin repeatedly has brandished Russia’s nuclear might since sending troops into Ukraine in February 2022, warning Moscow was prepared to use “all means” to protect its security interests. In 2024, he signed a revised nuclear doctrine lowering the threshold for nuclear weapons use.

Signed in 2010 New START, signed in 2010 by US President Barack Obama and his Russian counterpart, Dmitry Medvedev, restricted each side to no more than 1,550 nuclear warheads on no more than 700 missiles and bombers — deployed and ready for use. It was originally supposed to expire in 2021 but was extended for five more years.

The pact envisioned sweeping on-site inspections to verify compliance, although they stopped in 2020 because of the COVID-19 pandemic and never resumed.

In February 2023, Putin suspended Moscow’s participation, saying Russia couldn’t allow US inspections of its nuclear sites at a time when Washington and its NATO allies have openly declared Moscow’s defeat in Ukraine as their goal. At the same time, the Kremlin emphasized it wasn’t withdrawing from the pact altogether, pledging to respect its caps on nuclear weapons.

In offering in September to abide by New START’s limits for a year to buy time for both sides to negotiate a successor agreement, Putin said the pact's expiration would be destabilizing and could fuel nuclear proliferation.

Rose Gottemoeller, the chief US negotiator for pact and a former NATO deputy secretary-general, said extending it would have served US interests. “A one-year extension of New START limits would not prejudice any of the vital steps that the United States is taking to respond to the Chinese nuclear buildup,” she told an online discussion last month.

Previous pacts

New START followed a long succession of US-Russian nuclear arms reduction pacts, starting with SALT I in 1972 signed by US President Richard Nixon and Soviet leader Leonid Brezhnev — the first attempt to limit their arsenals.

The 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty restricted the countries’ missile defense systems until President George W. Bush took the US out of the pact in 2001 despite Moscow’s warnings.

The Kremlin has described Washington’s efforts to build a missile shield as a major threat, arguing it would erode Russia’s nuclear deterrent by giving the US the capability to shoot down its intercontinental ballistic missiles.

As a response to the US missile shield, Putin ordered the development of the Burevestnik nuclear-tipped and nuclear-powered cruise missile and the Poseidon nuclear-armed and nuclear-powered underwater drone. Russia said last year it successfully tested the Poseidon and the Burevestnik and was preparing their deployment.

Also terminated in 2019 was the Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces Treaty, which was signed in 1987 and banned land-based missiles with a range between 500-5,500 kilometers (310-3,400 miles). Those missiles were seen as particularly destabilizing because of their short flight time to their targets, leaving only minutes to decide on a retaliatory strike and increasing the threat of a nuclear war on a false warning.

In November 2024 and again last month, Russia attacked Ukraine with a conventional version of its new Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile. Moscow says it has a range of up to 5,000 kilometers (3,100 miles), capable of reaching any European target, with either nuclear or conventional warheads.

Trump's ‘Golden Dome’

Without agreements limiting nuclear arsenals, Russia “will promptly and firmly fend off any new threats to our security,” said Medvedev, who had signed the New START treaty and is now deputy head of Putin's Security Council.

“If we are not heard, we act proportionately seeking to restore parity,” he said in recent remarks.

Medvedev specifically mentioned Trump's proposed Golden Dome missile defense system among potentially destabilizing moves, emphasizing a close link between offensive and defensive strategic weapons.

Trump’s plan has worried Russia and China, Kimball said.

“They’re likely going to respond to Golden Dome by building up the number of offensive weapons they have to overwhelm the system and make sure that they have the potential to retaliate with nuclear weapons,” he said, adding that offensive capabilities can be built faster and cheaper than defensive ones.

Trump’s October statement about US intentions to resume nuclear tests for the first time since 1992 also troubled the Kremlin, which last conducted a test in 1990 when the USSR still existed. Putin said Russia will respond in kind if the US resumes tests, which are banned by a global treaty that Moscow and Washington signed.

US Energy Secretary Chris Wright said in November that such tests would not include nuclear explosions.

Kimball said a US resumption of tests “would blow a massive hole in the global system to reduce nuclear risk,” prompting Russia to respond in kind and tempting others, including China and India, to follow suit.

The world was heading toward accelerated strategic competition, he said, with more spending and increasingly unstable relations involving the US, Russia, and China on nuclear matters.

“This marks a potential turning point into a much more dangerous period of global nuclear competition, the likes of which we’ve not seen in our lifetimes,” Kimball added.


'Unprecedented Mass Killing': NGOs Battle to Quantify Iran Crackdown Scale

Iranians walk in a street in Tehran, Iran, 02 February 2026. (EPA)
Iranians walk in a street in Tehran, Iran, 02 February 2026. (EPA)
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'Unprecedented Mass Killing': NGOs Battle to Quantify Iran Crackdown Scale

Iranians walk in a street in Tehran, Iran, 02 February 2026. (EPA)
Iranians walk in a street in Tehran, Iran, 02 February 2026. (EPA)

When the first pieces of information circumvented a near-total blackout during Iran's protests last month, rights defender Mahmood Amiry-Moghaddam was already ready to say the scale of the crackdown was "unbelievable".

"We have never experienced something like this," said the director of the Norway-based NGO Iran Human Rights (IHR), which has been tracking rights violations in the country for some two decades.

As a fragmented picture of the anti-government protests that peaked in early January emerged, IHR and other NGOs set out to verify the reports of thousands of deaths -- painstaking work they are still undertaking weeks later.

"Based on the witness testimonies, all the information we have managed to receive from different parts of the country, it's an unprecedented mass killing at a scale that we haven't seen before," he told AFP.

Along with the sheer numbers, NGOs say their task has been complicated by the internet shutdown, manipulated content and threats against sources inside Iran.

IHR relies on multiple layers of verification for its reports on rights abuses and capital punishment in Iran, including documentation and at least two independent, direct sources.

The organization has contacts in Iran but also receives information through a QR code that is divided among the team, who cross-reference with data from the same location or track down relatives of the deceased.

From the get-go they were conscious of content manipulation through artificial intelligence and other tools, and commonly found videos with sounds overlaid.

They geolocated videos and checked for authenticity, never reporting something based on only one source of evidence unless it was from a trusted contact with documentation.

"It is a very heavy work and not only physically, but also mentally heavy," Amiry-Moghaddam said.

"Finally you get in touch with the family and when they talk, say what they have seen, that's probably the heaviest part of the work."

- 'Obscured' scale of events -

IHR released death tolls from the beginning of the demonstrations, but stopped regular updates after confirming 3,428 deaths, as the scale of the violence outpaced the organization's capacity to verify according to its standards.

"This process is so slow," Amiry-Moghaddam said.

"We are still receiving cases every day and we are verifying cases every day, but the numbers that we publish doesn't reflect what has been going on," he added, emphasizing that figures reported in media -- some reaching more than 36,000 -- "are absolutely realistic".

The biggest challenge now that the internet restrictions have eased is that families of the dead and detained face threats of reprisals for speaking out, Amiry-Moghaddam said.

But, he added, "since they have been talking to us, it means that they have managed to fight the fear".

Some organizations, including Amnesty International, have said thousands were killed but have refrained from issuing a toll.

The clerical authorities have downplayed casualties and blamed the violence on a "terrorist operation" backed by foreign enemies.

They have acknowledged 3,117 people were killed, publishing on Sunday a list of 2,986 names, most of whom they say were members of the security forces and innocent bystanders.

The United Nations special rapporteur, Mai Sato, said in late January the communications filtering "has obscured the true scale of events" and was "enabling authorities to control information flow".

- 'Significantly overstretched' -

The US-based Human Rights Activists News Agency (HRANA), which has kept a running toll since the onset of the protests, says it has verified 6,872 deaths, mainly of protesters, and has another 11,280 cases under investigation. It has also counted more than 50,000 arrests.

The "team remains small and significantly overstretched due to limited resources", working extended hours to verify abuses against protesters since the demonstrations erupted, HRANA legal advisor Jennifer Connet told AFP over email.

"Each case undergoes an independent verification process based on primary sources through HRA's long-established documentation network inside Iran," she said.

"Because of Iran's restrictive information environment, particularly during periods of internet shutdown, accuracy and source protection are central to our work."

HRANA has made a public call for people to share documents, images and videos while also managing some contact with its network in Iran, using "safer, lower-tech channels" including landlines.

They have also encountered altered content, and cross-check videos against other information.

"If a video claims security forces were firing at civilians in a specific place and time, we check whether we have independent reports confirming gunfire in that location, what type of weapons were reportedly used, and whether anything else aligns," Connet said.

IHR and HRANA emphasize that their tolls are minimums.

Even now, Amiry-Moghaddam said many families are still searching for their loved ones and that verifying all the deaths could take years.

IHR has continued to tell the stories of people whose deaths they have confirmed -- a young woman who died in her father's arms, a teen whose life was cut short days after his 16th birthday.


Report: Iran Fears US Strike May Reignite Protests, Imperil Rule

A man walk past a mural depicting the Statue of Liberty with the torch-bearing arm broken, painted on the outer walls of the former US embassy in Tehran, colloquially-referred to as the "Spy Den,"on February 1, 2026. (AFP)
A man walk past a mural depicting the Statue of Liberty with the torch-bearing arm broken, painted on the outer walls of the former US embassy in Tehran, colloquially-referred to as the "Spy Den,"on February 1, 2026. (AFP)
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Report: Iran Fears US Strike May Reignite Protests, Imperil Rule

A man walk past a mural depicting the Statue of Liberty with the torch-bearing arm broken, painted on the outer walls of the former US embassy in Tehran, colloquially-referred to as the "Spy Den,"on February 1, 2026. (AFP)
A man walk past a mural depicting the Statue of Liberty with the torch-bearing arm broken, painted on the outer walls of the former US embassy in Tehran, colloquially-referred to as the "Spy Den,"on February 1, 2026. (AFP)

Iran’s leadership is increasingly worried a US strike could break its grip on power by driving an already enraged public back onto the streets, following a bloody crackdown on anti-government protests, according to six current and former officials.

In high-level meetings, officials told Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei that public anger over last month's crackdown -- the bloodiest since the 1979 revolution-- has reached a point where fear is no longer a deterrent, four current officials briefed on the discussions said.

The officials said Khamenei was told that many Iranians were prepared to confront security forces again and that external pressure such as a limited US strike could embolden them and inflict irreparable damage to the political establishment.

One of the officials told Reuters that Iran's enemies were seeking more protests so as to bring the republic to an end, and "unfortunately" there would be more violence if an uprising took place.

"An attack combined with demonstrations by angry people could lead to a collapse (of the ruling system). That is the main concern among the top officials and that is what our enemies want," said the official, who like the other officials contacted for this story declined to be named ‌due to the sensitivity of ‌the matter.

The reported remarks are significant because they suggest private misgivings inside the leadership at ‌odds ⁠with Tehran’s defiant public stance ‌towards the protesters and the US.

The sources declined to say how Khamenei responded. Iran's Foreign Ministry did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment on this account of the meetings.

Multiple sources told Reuters last week that US President Donald Trump is weighing options against Iran that include targeted strikes on security forces and leaders to inspire protesters, even as Israeli and Arab officials said air power alone would not topple the clerical rulers.

PEOPLE ARE EXTREMELY ANGRY, SAYS FORMER OFFICIAL

Any such uprising in the wake of a US strike would stand in contrast to Iranians' response to Israeli and US bombing attacks on Iran's nuclear program back in June, which was not followed by anti-government demonstrations.

But a former senior moderate official said the situation had changed since the crackdown in ⁠early January.

"People are extremely angry," he said, adding a US attack could lead Iranians to rise up again. "The wall of fear has collapsed. There is no fear left."

Tensions between Tehran and Washington are ‌running high. The arrival of a US aircraft carrier and supporting warships in the Middle ‍East has expanded Trump's ability to take military action if he so ‍wishes, after repeatedly threatening intervention over Iran's bloody crackdown.

'THE GAME IS OVER,' SAYS FORMER PRIME MINISTER

Several opposition figures, who were part of the establishment ‍before falling out with it, have warned the leadership that "boiling public anger" could result in a collapse of the ruling system.

"The river of warm blood that was spilled on the cold month of January will not stop boiling until it changes the course of history," former prime minister Mirhossein Mousavi, who has been under house arrest without trial since 2011, said in a statement published by the pro-reform Kalameh website.

"In what language should people say they do not want this system and do not believe your lies? Enough is enough. The game is over," Mousavi added in the statement.

During the early January protests, witnesses and rights groups said, security forces crushed demonstrations with lethal force, leaving thousands killed and many wounded. Tehran blamed the ⁠violence on "armed terrorists" linked to Israel and the US.

Trump stopped short of carrying out threats to intervene, but he has since demanded Iran make nuclear concessions. Both Tehran and Washington have signaled readiness to revive diplomacy over a long-running nuclear dispute.

SIMMERING ANGER, 'DANGER OF BLOODSHED'

Analysts and insiders say that while the streets are quiet for now, deep-seated grievances have not gone away.

Public frustration has been simmering over economic decline, political repression, a widening gulf between rich and poor, and entrenched corruption that leaves many Iranians feeling trapped in a system offering neither relief nor a path forward.

"This may not be the end, but it is no longer just the beginning," said Hossein Rassam, a London-based analyst.

If protests resume during mounting foreign pressure and security forces respond with force, the six current and former officials said they fear demonstrators would be bolder than in previous unrest, emboldened by experience and driven by a sense that they have little left to lose.

One of the officials told Reuters that while people were angrier than before, the establishment would use harsher methods against protesters if it was under US attack. He said the result would be a bloodbath.

Ordinary Iranians contacted by Reuters said they expected Iran's rulers to crack down hard on any ‌further protests.

A Tehran resident whose 15-year-old son was killed in the protests on January 9 said the demonstrators had merely sought a normal life and had been answered "with bullets.”

"If America attacks, I will go back to the streets to take revenge for my son and the children this regime killed."