Egyptian Stocks Plunge, Pound Rises to Highest Levels in 3 Years

A trader works at the Egyptian stock exchange, Cairo, Egypt, Sept. 20, 2018. (Reuters)
A trader works at the Egyptian stock exchange, Cairo, Egypt, Sept. 20, 2018. (Reuters)
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Egyptian Stocks Plunge, Pound Rises to Highest Levels in 3 Years

A trader works at the Egyptian stock exchange, Cairo, Egypt, Sept. 20, 2018. (Reuters)
A trader works at the Egyptian stock exchange, Cairo, Egypt, Sept. 20, 2018. (Reuters)

Egypt's stock fell to its lowest level since 2016 on Sunday after a few, but rare, protests on Friday evening, threatening to tarnish the nation’s image as an emerging-market safe haven, following a series of bold economic reforms.

The Egyptian pound continued to rise against the dollar to reach its highest level in three years and recorded 16.23 pounds against the dollar.

The EGX30 retreated 5.3 percent, the most for any single day since 2016, as every member declined, while the wider EGX100 index lost 5.7 percent, its biggest drop since 2012.

Additionally, Commercial International Bank dropped 4.2 percent and Eastern Co was down 5.7 percent.

The broader index EGX100 slumped 5.7 percent, the most since November 2012, with 95 of 100 stocks dropping, causing trading to be suspended due to a 5 percent swing for the first time since 2016.

On Friday, people protested in central Cairo and several other cities, in the first such demonstrations in the country since 2016.

"It is definitely due to the small escalation over the weekend, which is making investors cautious,” said Ashraf Akhnoukh, director at Arqaam Capital in Cairo.

The sellers were mostly locals and Arab investors as foreign investors were not trading on Sunday, he added.

The blue-chip index is still up 7.1 percent year-to date and has risen during the year on the back of foreign buying amid an economic recovery and a recent interest rate cut.

Egyptian shares lost more than $1.90 billion of their market value, and the stock exchange's management stopped trading on more than 100 shares during transactions after falling more than 5 percent.

A number of analysts described the reaction of the market as exaggerated, especially after foreign financial institutions seized the opportunities of Egyptian and Arab sales to make large purchases in the market.

Ibrahim al-Nimr of Naeem Securities Brokerage said that the main index had a clear support at 14,250 points and breaking it may target 13,850 points, but in case of a higher rebound it will target 14,800 points.

Meanwhile, Chairman of 3Way, a securities trading company, Rania Yacoub explained that the situation of the market is an unjustified decline governed by individuals, not institutions.

“If there are any security or political concerns you will find selling from institutions and not individuals.”

Head of research at Pharos Investment Bank, Radwa el-Swaify noted that financial institutions will take advantage of the downturn and build purchasing positions in equities, which is what happens as a result of the closure of the financial positions of individuals investing in the market.



Gold Edges Up as Investors Seek Fed Clues from US Data

FILE PHOTO: A woman picks a gold earring at a jewelry shop in the old quarters of Delhi, India, May 24, 2023. REUTERS/Anushree Fadnavis/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A woman picks a gold earring at a jewelry shop in the old quarters of Delhi, India, May 24, 2023. REUTERS/Anushree Fadnavis/File Photo
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Gold Edges Up as Investors Seek Fed Clues from US Data

FILE PHOTO: A woman picks a gold earring at a jewelry shop in the old quarters of Delhi, India, May 24, 2023. REUTERS/Anushree Fadnavis/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A woman picks a gold earring at a jewelry shop in the old quarters of Delhi, India, May 24, 2023. REUTERS/Anushree Fadnavis/File Photo

Gold prices edged higher on Tuesday, supported by US rate cut bets and geopolitical concerns, while the focus shifted to economic data due this week for clues into the Federal Reserve's interest rate path.
Spot gold was up 0.1% at $2,640.65 per ounce, as of 0810 GMT, after falling by as much as 1% on Monday. US gold futures were 0.2% higher at $2,663.40, Reuters reported.
US data this week includes the job openings due later on Tuesday, the ADP employment report on Wednesday, and the payrolls report on Friday.
"The next big thing is going to be the payrolls on Friday night because it'll tell us whether the Fed is essentially going to green-light the interest rate cut in a couple of weeks," said Kyle Rodda, financial market analyst at Capital.com.
Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Monday said, with inflation still forecast to fall to 2%, he is inclined "at present" to support another rate cut later this month.
The comments boosted expectations of a rate cut at the Fed's Dec. 17-18 meeting to nearly 75% compared from 66% a day before.
"It seems we're just oscillating in one place until a new trigger emerges," said Ilya Spivak, head of global macro at Tastylive.
Non-yielding gold tends to thrive in a low-interest-rate environment and during periods of geopolitical turmoil.
Driving tensions in the Middle East, the Israeli military targeted dozens of Hezbollah positions across Lebanon on Monday.
Elsewhere, spot silver gained 1.3% to $30.89 per ounce, platinum added 0.6% to $952.18 and palladium rose 1% to $991.21.