Lebanon Says Ready to Float Pound Only after Aid Secured

Lebanese Finance Minister Ghazi Wazni. (AFP)
Lebanese Finance Minister Ghazi Wazni. (AFP)
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Lebanon Says Ready to Float Pound Only after Aid Secured

Lebanese Finance Minister Ghazi Wazni. (AFP)
Lebanese Finance Minister Ghazi Wazni. (AFP)

Lebanon is ready to terminate a 23-year-old dollar peg and float the pound, but only after it secures billions in aid, Finance Minister Ghazi Wazni said Friday.

Speaking to AFP after talks started Wednesday with the International Monetary Fund on a plan to rescue Lebanon's crisis hit economy, he also said banking sector restructuring would entail halving the number of lenders.

Foreign exchange shortages have in recent months severely strained the official rate of 1,507 to the dollar, with the pound losing well over half its black market value to trade at considerably beyond 4,000 against the greenback.

"The IMF always asks for the freeing of the pound's exchange rate," Wazni said.

But "we need to change the stabilization policy to one of a flexible exchange rate in a first stage and for the foreseeable future," he said, referring to an initial managed flotation.

"When we receive financial support from abroad, we will transition to flotation" dictated by the market, he said.

"The Lebanese government has asked for a transitional period to pass through a flexible exchange rate before we reach flotation," he added.

Wazni said the first phase would involve a gradual depreciation of the Lebanese pound against the dollar, in coordination with the central bank.

He said this was necessary because the government feared a "huge deterioration of the pound exchange rate" otherwise.

Merging banks

Lebanon, which was hit last autumn by unprecedented protests, asked the IMF for financial assistance on May 1 after laying out a much-awaited financial rescue plan.

That plan aims to drum up billions of dollars in aid, reduce the deficit, restructure a colossal debt burden and slim down an oversized banking sector.

Wazni said banking sector restructuring would be carried out "step by step", and possibilities included "merging" financial institutions.

"Lebanon counts 49 commercial banks and it is normal for that number to decrease to around half of that in the next stage," he said.

Wazni said that the IMF had however not set any political conditions for financial assistance.

"No political conditions have been set," he said.

Analysts say the economic collapse is due in part to years of political crises that have stalled decision-making and permitted a culture of waste and corruption.

A mass protest movement that erupted on October 17 -- but has since largely dwindled -- has blamed the financial crisis on politicians demonstrators say are inept and corrupt.

But people have also protested against the banks, which have since the autumn imposed informal capital controls on small depositors, capping then stopping dollar withdrawals and banning all transfers abroad.

The financial fallout of recent months has created enormous hardship. Around 45 percent of Lebanon's population now live in poverty and inflation has soared to 55 percent, according to official estimates.

Capital controls bill

The finance minister said "parliament will pass a capital controls bill in the coming weeks".

Wazni noted Lebanon was aiming to obtain around $9 billion from the IMF, on top of another $11 billion in grants and loans already pledged by international donors in 2018.

"Lebanon's quota at the IMF is about 870 million dollars, but it hopes to secure... around ten times that amount... around 9 billion dollars," he said.

He said it was in Lebanon's interest to reach an agreement with the IMF quickly.

"The sooner we wrap up the negotiations, the better for Lebanon," he said.

A deal would "give credibility to the government's program, broaden prospects for international support conferences, and ease negotiations between Lebanon and creditors", Wazni said.

Lebanon is one of the most indebted countries in the world, with a debt burden equivalent to 170 percent of its gross domestic product.

It defaulted on a eurobond repayment for the first time ever in March.

Wazni said a "first call" with creditors was made two weeks ago, without providing any further details.



US Tariffs Have Limited Impact on Saudi Real Estate Market

A real estate project in Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
A real estate project in Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
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US Tariffs Have Limited Impact on Saudi Real Estate Market

A real estate project in Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
A real estate project in Saudi Arabia. (SPA)

More than two weeks after US President Donald Trump imposed a 10% tariff on imports from Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries—part of a broader global tariff initiative—questions have emerged regarding its potential impact on Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector.

As a cornerstone of the Kingdom’s economic diversification under Vision 2030, the real estate market remains a vital contributor to sustainable growth.

Real estate and economic experts predict the new tariffs will have a “moderate” and “limited” effect on Saudi Arabia’s property market. Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat, they estimated a potential rise of 2–5% in the cost of imported construction materials used in infrastructure and development projects.

The Saudi real estate sector recorded transactions worth approximately SAR 2.5 trillion (around $666 billion) in 2024, buoyed by Vision 2030 initiatives and government incentives—reinforcing investor confidence in the sector as a stable and attractive investment hub, particularly amid global financial volatility.

Mohammed Hamdi Omar, CEO of G.World, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the new tariffs could increase the cost of importing steel, concrete, and aluminum by 3.4% to 7%, contributing to an overall rise in construction costs of up to 5% annually. This is driven by increasing demand across numerous development projects currently underway or planned across the Kingdom.

Omar noted that Saudi Arabia had previously raised tariffs on many construction materials in 2020, with duties on items like steel, aluminum, and machinery increasing from 5–12% to as much as 15%.

He added that higher input costs could add $10–$20 per ton to steel prices, which accounts for around 20% of building material inputs, while concrete prices may rise 5–10% due to energy and logistics cost hikes.

These rising costs, Omar warned, could force some developers to delay or cancel low-margin projects, potentially exacerbating the existing housing shortage in the Kingdom.

Despite global economic fluctuations, Saudi Arabia’s non-oil GDP growth and ongoing reforms continue to strengthen investor sentiment. Government incentives, such as VAT exemptions for first-time homebuyers, also contribute to the sector’s resilience.

Real estate appraiser and expert Eng. Ahmed Al-Faqih added that the Saudi market relies more on Chinese imports for construction materials, which should shield many development projects from the brunt of US tariffs.

He emphasized that, like gold, real estate remains a safe haven for capital, especially as global financial markets face disruption amid tariff wars.

Luxury real estate is expected to bear the brunt of price increases, though it continues to expand in line with Vision 2030 and growing interest from tourists and foreign investors.