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US Tariffs Have Limited Impact on Saudi Real Estate Market

A real estate project in Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
A real estate project in Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
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US Tariffs Have Limited Impact on Saudi Real Estate Market

A real estate project in Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
A real estate project in Saudi Arabia. (SPA)

More than two weeks after US President Donald Trump imposed a 10% tariff on imports from Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries—part of a broader global tariff initiative—questions have emerged regarding its potential impact on Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector.

As a cornerstone of the Kingdom’s economic diversification under Vision 2030, the real estate market remains a vital contributor to sustainable growth.

Real estate and economic experts predict the new tariffs will have a “moderate” and “limited” effect on Saudi Arabia’s property market. Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat, they estimated a potential rise of 2–5% in the cost of imported construction materials used in infrastructure and development projects.

The Saudi real estate sector recorded transactions worth approximately SAR 2.5 trillion (around $666 billion) in 2024, buoyed by Vision 2030 initiatives and government incentives—reinforcing investor confidence in the sector as a stable and attractive investment hub, particularly amid global financial volatility.

Mohammed Hamdi Omar, CEO of G.World, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the new tariffs could increase the cost of importing steel, concrete, and aluminum by 3.4% to 7%, contributing to an overall rise in construction costs of up to 5% annually. This is driven by increasing demand across numerous development projects currently underway or planned across the Kingdom.

Omar noted that Saudi Arabia had previously raised tariffs on many construction materials in 2020, with duties on items like steel, aluminum, and machinery increasing from 5–12% to as much as 15%.

He added that higher input costs could add $10–$20 per ton to steel prices, which accounts for around 20% of building material inputs, while concrete prices may rise 5–10% due to energy and logistics cost hikes.

These rising costs, Omar warned, could force some developers to delay or cancel low-margin projects, potentially exacerbating the existing housing shortage in the Kingdom.

Despite global economic fluctuations, Saudi Arabia’s non-oil GDP growth and ongoing reforms continue to strengthen investor sentiment. Government incentives, such as VAT exemptions for first-time homebuyers, also contribute to the sector’s resilience.

Real estate appraiser and expert Eng. Ahmed Al-Faqih added that the Saudi market relies more on Chinese imports for construction materials, which should shield many development projects from the brunt of US tariffs.

He emphasized that, like gold, real estate remains a safe haven for capital, especially as global financial markets face disruption amid tariff wars.

Luxury real estate is expected to bear the brunt of price increases, though it continues to expand in line with Vision 2030 and growing interest from tourists and foreign investors.

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Business

China Lines Up Second LNG Terminal For Sanctioned Russian Cargoes

Chinese and Russian flags fly at an airport in Tianjin, China August 31, 2025. Sputnik/Vladimir Smirnov/Pool via REUTERS 
Chinese and Russian flags fly at an airport in Tianjin, China August 31, 2025. Sputnik/Vladimir Smirnov/Pool via REUTERS 
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China Lines Up Second LNG Terminal For Sanctioned Russian Cargoes

Chinese and Russian flags fly at an airport in Tianjin, China August 31, 2025. Sputnik/Vladimir Smirnov/Pool via REUTERS 
Chinese and Russian flags fly at an airport in Tianjin, China August 31, 2025. Sputnik/Vladimir Smirnov/Pool via REUTERS 

China is preparing a second import terminal to handle liquefied natural gas cargoes from Russia's sanctioned Arctic LNG 2 project, expanding a ‌route that so far relies on a single facility, three sources with knowledge of the matter said.

The newly built Longkou LNG terminal in eastern China's Shandong province, operated by state pipeline giant PipeChina, is being lined up to receive Arctic LNG 2 cargoes, the sources told Reuters.

The move would provide a lifeline to the $21 billion project, which is under heavy sanctions, and to Moscow, whose gas exports have been hit by Europe's decision to halt purchases and ⁠whose oil sector faces pressure from Ukrainian attacks.

A second import terminal would allow China to take larger volumes of sanctioned Russian LNG, while giving Arctic LNG 2 - designed to produce 19.8 million metric tons a year - another export outlet.

China, the only known buyer of sanctioned Arctic LNG 2 cargoes, has so far received shipments through PipeChina's Beihai terminal in Guangxi. That facility took the project's first delivery to an offtaker in August 2025 aboard the Arctic Mulan tanker.

Since then, Beihai has received 41 cargoes, or 2.6 million tons, of LNG from Arctic LNG 2 - many via two floating storage units in Russia - according to ship-tracking data and Kpler estimates. It ‌has also ⁠received three LNG cargoes from Russia's sanctioned Portovaya terminal.

China needs an additional terminal to absorb more sanctioned cargoes, one of the sources said. All declined to be named as they were not authorized to speak to media.

The world's largest LNG importer, China bought 7.57 million tons from Russia last year, according to Chinese customs data.

Longkou is seen as a logical choice because, like Beihai, it is operated by PipeChina ⁠and is closer to the Koryak floating storage unit in Russia's Far East, where Arctic LNG 2 cargoes are stored and reloaded, the sources said.

An industry executive said Longkou has completed its mechanical build phase and should be ready before October, in time for peak winter ⁠demand.

Under its completed first phase, the Longkou terminal in the coastal city of Yantai has an annual receiving capacity of 5 million tons, compared with 6 million tons at Beihai.

PipeChina's Dalian LNG terminal in northeastern China is also being discussed as ⁠a potential future receiving point, a fourth source said.

Novatek has recently stepped up hiring in China, a separate source said.

Reuters reported last year that Novatek has cut cargo prices by 30% to 40% since August 2025 to attract Chinese buyers despite sanctions.

 

Business

BofA Expects Fed to Hike Interest Rates 75 Basis Points in 2026

The Federal Reserve building in Washington. (Reuters)
The Federal Reserve building in Washington. (Reuters)
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BofA Expects Fed to Hike Interest Rates 75 Basis Points in 2026

The Federal Reserve building in Washington. (Reuters)
The Federal Reserve building in Washington. (Reuters)

Bank of America (BofA) expects the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates by 75 basis points in 2026, it said on Monday, citing resilient economic data and rising expectations of a hawkish Fed under new Chair Kevin Warsh.

BofA Global Research said in a note it expects the US central bank to raise rates in September, October, and December, compared with its prior forecast ⁠for no change this year, according to Reuters.

BofA's view is contrary to current 2026 outlooks of top Wall Street brokerages and comes after the Fed left its benchmark rate unchanged earlier this month, even as almost half of Fed policymakers indicated that they now expect rates to rise this year.

The policymakers' more hawkish outlook is accompanied by strength in the labor market and elevated inflation concerns.

“June Summary of Projections and ⁠Warsh's comments indicate that the Fed's reaction function is much more hawkish than we thought,” analysts at BofA said in a note.

In contrast to BofA's call, markets are pricing in 42 bps of hikes ⁠in 2026, according to London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) data.

After three rate hikes this year, BofA analysts expect the central bank to keep interest rates on hold in ⁠2027.

“Inflation is likely to remain sticky, keeping the real policy rate from becoming overly restrictive,” they said.

Brokerages including BNP Paribas ⁠and Macquarie are also among the minority that expect the central bank to start hiking rates this year.

Business

Yanbu Commercial Port Boosts Operational Efficiency by Serving 11 Vessels Simultaneously

The accomplishment builds on the vital role of Yanbu Commercial Port in strengthening Saudi Arabia's maritime transport system. (SPA)
The accomplishment builds on the vital role of Yanbu Commercial Port in strengthening Saudi Arabia's maritime transport system. (SPA)
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Yanbu Commercial Port Boosts Operational Efficiency by Serving 11 Vessels Simultaneously

The accomplishment builds on the vital role of Yanbu Commercial Port in strengthening Saudi Arabia's maritime transport system. (SPA)
The accomplishment builds on the vital role of Yanbu Commercial Port in strengthening Saudi Arabia's maritime transport system. (SPA)

Saudi Arabia’s Yanbu Commercial Port achieved a new operational milestone by successfully serving 11 vessels simultaneously of various sizes and cargo capacities, reflecting the port's high level of operational readiness, reported the Saudi Press Agency on Monday.

The achievement underscores the efficiency of the port's operations and its ability to manage maritime and commercial traffic with a high degree of effectiveness.

It contributes to smoother import and export activities and supports the continuity of supply chains in accordance with the highest operational and logistical standards.

The accomplishment builds on the vital role of Yanbu Commercial Port in strengthening Saudi Arabia's maritime transport system and reinforcing its position as a key logistics hub on the Red Sea coast.

It also supports economic growth and enhances the competitiveness of the maritime and commercial sectors.