Lebanon Says Ready to Float Pound Only after Aid Secured

Lebanese Finance Minister Ghazi Wazni. (AFP)
Lebanese Finance Minister Ghazi Wazni. (AFP)
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Lebanon Says Ready to Float Pound Only after Aid Secured

Lebanese Finance Minister Ghazi Wazni. (AFP)
Lebanese Finance Minister Ghazi Wazni. (AFP)

Lebanon is ready to terminate a 23-year-old dollar peg and float the pound, but only after it secures billions in aid, Finance Minister Ghazi Wazni said Friday.

Speaking to AFP after talks started Wednesday with the International Monetary Fund on a plan to rescue Lebanon's crisis hit economy, he also said banking sector restructuring would entail halving the number of lenders.

Foreign exchange shortages have in recent months severely strained the official rate of 1,507 to the dollar, with the pound losing well over half its black market value to trade at considerably beyond 4,000 against the greenback.

"The IMF always asks for the freeing of the pound's exchange rate," Wazni said.

But "we need to change the stabilization policy to one of a flexible exchange rate in a first stage and for the foreseeable future," he said, referring to an initial managed flotation.

"When we receive financial support from abroad, we will transition to flotation" dictated by the market, he said.

"The Lebanese government has asked for a transitional period to pass through a flexible exchange rate before we reach flotation," he added.

Wazni said the first phase would involve a gradual depreciation of the Lebanese pound against the dollar, in coordination with the central bank.

He said this was necessary because the government feared a "huge deterioration of the pound exchange rate" otherwise.

Merging banks

Lebanon, which was hit last autumn by unprecedented protests, asked the IMF for financial assistance on May 1 after laying out a much-awaited financial rescue plan.

That plan aims to drum up billions of dollars in aid, reduce the deficit, restructure a colossal debt burden and slim down an oversized banking sector.

Wazni said banking sector restructuring would be carried out "step by step", and possibilities included "merging" financial institutions.

"Lebanon counts 49 commercial banks and it is normal for that number to decrease to around half of that in the next stage," he said.

Wazni said that the IMF had however not set any political conditions for financial assistance.

"No political conditions have been set," he said.

Analysts say the economic collapse is due in part to years of political crises that have stalled decision-making and permitted a culture of waste and corruption.

A mass protest movement that erupted on October 17 -- but has since largely dwindled -- has blamed the financial crisis on politicians demonstrators say are inept and corrupt.

But people have also protested against the banks, which have since the autumn imposed informal capital controls on small depositors, capping then stopping dollar withdrawals and banning all transfers abroad.

The financial fallout of recent months has created enormous hardship. Around 45 percent of Lebanon's population now live in poverty and inflation has soared to 55 percent, according to official estimates.

Capital controls bill

The finance minister said "parliament will pass a capital controls bill in the coming weeks".

Wazni noted Lebanon was aiming to obtain around $9 billion from the IMF, on top of another $11 billion in grants and loans already pledged by international donors in 2018.

"Lebanon's quota at the IMF is about 870 million dollars, but it hopes to secure... around ten times that amount... around 9 billion dollars," he said.

He said it was in Lebanon's interest to reach an agreement with the IMF quickly.

"The sooner we wrap up the negotiations, the better for Lebanon," he said.

A deal would "give credibility to the government's program, broaden prospects for international support conferences, and ease negotiations between Lebanon and creditors", Wazni said.

Lebanon is one of the most indebted countries in the world, with a debt burden equivalent to 170 percent of its gross domestic product.

It defaulted on a eurobond repayment for the first time ever in March.

Wazni said a "first call" with creditors was made two weeks ago, without providing any further details.



Saudi-Yemeni Business Council Looks Forward to Contributing to Reconstruction

The Saudi-Yemeni Business Council has met in Makkah. Asharq Al-Awsat
The Saudi-Yemeni Business Council has met in Makkah. Asharq Al-Awsat
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Saudi-Yemeni Business Council Looks Forward to Contributing to Reconstruction

The Saudi-Yemeni Business Council has met in Makkah. Asharq Al-Awsat
The Saudi-Yemeni Business Council has met in Makkah. Asharq Al-Awsat

The Saudi-Yemeni Business Council is leading the initiative "Saudi Vision and Yemeni Development 2030," which aims to enhance economic ties between Saudi Arabia and Yemen by developing border crossings, establishing economic zones, and creating smart food cities. This contributes to facilitating the movement of goods and people, as well as increasing the volume of trade.

Official data indicates that the trade exchange between Saudi Arabia and Yemen reached approximately 6.3 billion riyals (1.6 billion dollars) in 2023, with Saudi exports accounting for the largest share. Despite this, Yemeni imports are still below the available potential, particularly in the agriculture, fisheries, and mining sectors.

The main projects of this initiative, which is led by the council under chairman of the Saudi-Yemeni Business Council Dr. Abdullah bin Mahfouz, include "the establishment of joint economic zones, development of infrastructure and logistics services, and strengthening investment in the agricultural and renewable energy sectors."

The project also involves creating advanced laboratories for testing livestock, fruits, and vegetables, contributing to improving the quality of goods and increasing Yemen's agricultural and livestock exports to Saudi Arabia.

These efforts aim to enhance food security for Saudi Arabia and achieve economic growth for Yemen.

As part of the future plans to enhance economic partnership, an exhibition titled "Reconstruction and Development of Yemen" will be held in Riyadh next year. This exhibition aims to attract investors from various sectors and strengthen partnerships between Saudi and Yemeni companies.

"Yemeni investments in Saudi Arabia have witnessed significant growth, reaching approximately 18 billion riyals (4.8 billion dollars) by the end of 2023, ranking 13th in terms of investment volume."

These investments focus on wholesale and retail trade, particularly in food products, clothing, and household goods, as well as in sectors such as construction, manufacturing, and logistics services.

Bin Mahfouz explained that "this investment expansion is due to the support provided by the Saudi government to Yemeni investors through streamlining licensing procedures, offering investment incentives, and ensuring a stable investment environment. These factors have contributed to attracting Yemeni capital to Saudi Arabia, while enhancing investors' benefits from available economic opportunities."

Despite the noticeable progress, Yemeni investments face significant challenges. According to bin Mahfouz, the main challenges include "the instability of the Yemeni local currency, the banking restrictions that hinder money transfers, the weak infrastructure in Yemen, and the ongoing armed conflicts that increase investment risks."

He said that the council’s future plans focus on promising projects, including the cultivation of agricultural land in Yemen, the establishment of packaging centers for agricultural products and fishery resources, in addition to developing livestock projects.

Bin Mahfouz emphasized that Yemen is considered a key market for Saudi Arabia in providing agricultural and livestock products that have comparative advantages over similar goods from other countries. According to economic data from 2022, animal production ranks second after agricultural production in terms of its contribution to Yemen's total GDP, accounting for more than 20 percent.