Saudi Incentives, Support Programs Curb COVID-19 Repercussions

Streets of Riyadh are deserted during lockdown during the Eid al-Fitr holiday. (SPA)
Streets of Riyadh are deserted during lockdown during the Eid al-Fitr holiday. (SPA)
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Saudi Incentives, Support Programs Curb COVID-19 Repercussions

Streets of Riyadh are deserted during lockdown during the Eid al-Fitr holiday. (SPA)
Streets of Riyadh are deserted during lockdown during the Eid al-Fitr holiday. (SPA)

Reports and research centers in Saudi Arabia said that stimulus packages and government support programs, which were adopted before the outbreak of COVID-19 in the Kingdom, succeeded in mitigating the deteriorating effects of the virus in the first half of 2020.

A recent report by researchers at Jadwa Investment Company stressed that Saudi authorities have taken many precautions to prevent the quick spread of the coronavirus, noting that the impact of the outbreak on the Kingdom’s economy was not yet clear.

Raja Asad Khan, head of the company’s research department, and Dr. Nouf Al Sharif, senior economist, said the pandemic across the world has led to a widespread and permanent turmoil in world trade and industrial output for the current year 2020, which will inevitably impact the local economy.

He underlined, however, that although the developments associated with the coronavirus would weaken growth prospects of the global economy, optimism about easing monetary policies globally, as well as expectations of more substantial financial stimulus by some countries, including Saudi Arabia, would alleviate the negative economic impacts of the virus, which will likely remain limited to the first half of the year.

The report suggested that the wholesale and retail trade, in addition to restaurants and hotels, would see a decline in growth this year, as a result of the cancellation of entertainment and recreation activities, especially during the second half of 2020.

A gradual recovery of activities in the Kingdom is expected in the third quarter, as the impact of the coronavirus is expected to decrease worldwide, according to the report.



Moody's Upgrades Saudi Arabia's Credit Rating

Moody's indicated that the rating upgrade and stable outlook are results of the Kingdom's ongoing progress in economic diversification. Reuters
Moody's indicated that the rating upgrade and stable outlook are results of the Kingdom's ongoing progress in economic diversification. Reuters
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Moody's Upgrades Saudi Arabia's Credit Rating

Moody's indicated that the rating upgrade and stable outlook are results of the Kingdom's ongoing progress in economic diversification. Reuters
Moody's indicated that the rating upgrade and stable outlook are results of the Kingdom's ongoing progress in economic diversification. Reuters

The credit rating agency “Moody’s Ratings” upgraded Saudi Arabia’s credit rating to “Aa3” in local and foreign currency, with a “stable” outlook.
The agency indicated in its report that the rating upgrade and stable outlook are results of the Kingdom's ongoing progress in economic diversification and the robust growth of its non-oil sector. Over time, the advancements are expected to reduce Saudi Arabia’s exposure to oil market developments and long-term carbon transition on its economy and public finances.
The agency commended the Kingdom's financial planning within the fiscal space, emphasizing its commitment to prioritizing expenditure and enhancing the spending efficiency. Additionally, the government’s ongoing efforts to utilize available fiscal resources to diversify the economic base through transformative spending were highlighted as instrumental in supporting the sustainable development of the Kingdom's non-oil economy and maintaining a strong fiscal position.
In its report, the agency noted that the planning and commitment underpin its projection of a relatively stable fiscal deficit, which could range between 2%-3% of gross domestic product (GDP).
Moody's expected that the non-oil private-sector GDP of Saudi Arabia will expand by 4-5% in the coming years, positioning it among the highest in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region, an indication of continued progress in the diversification efforts reducing the Kingdom’s exposure to oil market developments.
In recent years, the Kingdom achieved multiple credit rating upgrades from global rating agencies. These advancements reflect the Kingdom's ongoing efforts toward economic transformation, supported by structural reforms and the adoption of fiscal policies that promote financial sustainability, enhance financial planning efficiency, and reinforce the Kingdom's strong and resilient fiscal position.