OPEC Points to 2020 Oil Surplus even as Demand Gradually Recovers

FILE PHOTO: A general view of the OPEC building and logo in Vienna , November 7, 2013. REUTERS/Leonhard Foeger/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A general view of the OPEC building and logo in Vienna , November 7, 2013. REUTERS/Leonhard Foeger/File Photo
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OPEC Points to 2020 Oil Surplus even as Demand Gradually Recovers

FILE PHOTO: A general view of the OPEC building and logo in Vienna , November 7, 2013. REUTERS/Leonhard Foeger/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A general view of the OPEC building and logo in Vienna , November 7, 2013. REUTERS/Leonhard Foeger/File Photo

The world faces an oil surplus in 2020 even as demand gradually recovers and record supply cuts by producers help rebalance the market, according to OPEC forecasts on Wednesday.

The latest monthly report from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries potentially increases pressure on the group and its allies, known as OPEC+, to curb more supply.

OPEC said demand would decline by 6.4 million barrels per day (bpd) in the second half of 2020, less than the drop of 11.9 million bpd in the first six months of the year, with a "gradual recovery" seen until the end of the year.

Oil prices have collapsed as lockdowns to limit the spread of the coronavirus have curtailed travel and economic activity. While some places in Europe and Asia have eased restrictions, concern over new outbreaks has kept a lid on prices.

To tackle the drop in demand, OPEC+ - which includes Russia - agreed to a record supply cut that started on May 1, while the United States and other nations said they would pump less.

OPEC said these curbs were already helping.

"The oil market was strongly supported by a reduction of the global crude oil surplus, thanks mainly to the historic voluntary production adjustment agreement," Reuters quoted it as saying.

Despite the cuts made already, OPEC still pointed to a surplus in the market this year, in part because it now expects supply from outside the group to be about 300,000 bpd higher than previously thought.

A technical committee of OPEC+ and a ministerial panel met Wednesday and are expected to hold talks Thursday to review the supply cut's impact and seek better compliance from those yet to deliver their share in full, such as Iraq and Nigeria.

Brent crude was trading above $40 a barrel after the report's release and is up from a 21-year low below $16 reached in April.

In the report, OPEC did not further reduce its forecast for world oil demand in 2020, after steep cuts in earlier months. Still, downside risks remain for consumption in top consumer the United States, according to the group.

The supply pact agreed in April involves OPEC+ cutting output by 9.7 million bpd in May and June. OPEC+ agreed on June 6 to extend the cut for another month, a decision OPEC said the market had taken well.

In its report, OPEC said it had cut supply in May by 6.3 million bpd to 24.2 million bpd. That amounts to 84% compliance with the pledges, according to a Reuters calculation – higher than some estimates.

Overall OPEC+ compliance stood at 87% in May, a source said on Wednesday.

OPEC estimated the demand for its crude this year at 23.6 million bpd, down 700,000 bpd from last month, suggesting it needs to cut about 600,000 bpd from May's rate to avoid a surplus.



Saudi King Salman Inaugurates Riyadh Metro

Saudi King Salman viewed on Wednesday an introductory video about the Riyadh Metro. SPA
Saudi King Salman viewed on Wednesday an introductory video about the Riyadh Metro. SPA
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Saudi King Salman Inaugurates Riyadh Metro

Saudi King Salman viewed on Wednesday an introductory video about the Riyadh Metro. SPA
Saudi King Salman viewed on Wednesday an introductory video about the Riyadh Metro. SPA

Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud has inaugurated the Riyadh Metro, the backbone of the capital’s public transport network.

King Salman viewed on Wednesday an introductory video about the Riyadh Metro — one of the Kingdom’s major projects during his prosperous reign — distinguished by its standout design and technological features, with a network that spans 176 kilometers across 6 lines and 85 stations, including 4 iconic ones.

Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud, Crown Prince, Prime Minister, and Chairman of the Royal Commission for Riyadh City (RCRC), expressed his sincere gratitude to the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques for his generous support and patronage of the Riyadh Public Transport Project – which includes the metro and bus systems – from its concept to execution, and for his invaluable steering during the implementation of the project according to the highest global standards.

“The Riyadh Public Transport Project, which spans metro and bus networks, is the culmination of concerted efforts made by Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud, and the outcome of his visionary leadership, while serving as the Chairman of the High Commission for the Development of Arriyadh, the predecessor of RCRC,” said the Crown Prince.

The Riyadh Public Transport Project was launched following studies conducted back then by the High Commission for the Development of Arriyadh (now RCRC) on the capital city’s current and future public transport needs, and outlined the best solutions for a sustainable public transit system that reflects the city’s unique urban, population, and traffic characteristics.

These studies resulted in the comprehensive Public Transport Plan for Riyadh City, which included a metro system and a parallel bus network that would meet Riyadh’s current and projected mobility needs. The plan culminated with the Council of Ministers adopting a resolution to “approve the execution of the Riyadh Public Transport Project – Metro and Buses.” RCRC then launched a bidding process that saw the participation of several global consortia. Finally, a Royal Decree awarded the Riyadh Metro contracts to three consortia, comprising over 19 major global companies from 13 countries.

Thanks to the support of the Crown Prince, RCRC successfully implemented the project. Considered one of the world’s largest public transport projects conducted in a single phase, the Riyadh Public Transport stands out for its meticulous planning and exceptional design and technology, and is tailored to meet Riyadh’s social, environmental, and urban requirements. It is also poised to significantly contribute to the capital city’s urban mobility needs, enhancing the quality of life of its residents and visitors alike, in line with the objectives of Vision 2030.

Minister of State, Member of the Council of Ministers, and RCRC Chief Executive Eng. Ibrahim bin Muhammad Al-Sultan extended his gratitude to the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques and the Crown Prince for the Riyadh Metro project inauguration.
Al-Sultan highlighted that Riyadh is now enjoying the benefits of this transformative project, which will redefine the capital's image and revolutionize transportation for both residents and visitors. The metro's extensive six-line network will gradually begin operations.
He elaborated that the project aims to deliver an efficient and sustainable public transport system that meets the current and future mobility demands of Riyadh. The initiative is in line with the rapid population growth, urban expansion, and the increasing use of private vehicles in the city.