Saudi Energy Minister Sees Potential Extension to Oil Cuts Until 2022

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman. Asharq Al-Awsat
Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman. Asharq Al-Awsat
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Saudi Energy Minister Sees Potential Extension to Oil Cuts Until 2022

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman. Asharq Al-Awsat
Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman. Asharq Al-Awsat

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman revealed that further cooperation between oil producing countries could lead to the extension of the OPEC+ agreement until the end of 2022.

Oil markets still have not exited from the “coronavirus tunnel” and the OPEC+ production cut deal may extend to the end of 2022, the minister said in statements broadcast on television on Thursday.

He said that a meeting by the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) will be held every month until the oil market sees a full recovery from the pandemic.

“The deal will continue until April 2022, it’s clearly mentioned in the agreement that a further meeting to be held in December (2021) to discuss the need of extending the deal until the end of 2022,” he said.

He stressed the importance of compliance with agreed quotas from all members, adding that without compliance, countries that fulfilled their commitments may not agree to cut their production subsequently.

The minister described the decision that the Kingdom has taken last March after the collapse of OPEC+ negotiations to extend the oil cuts as "tough but the right decision."

He expressed satisfaction towards the last meeting, saying that some non-committed states had given serious promises. The energy minister also praised the Iraqi government for the cooperation it displayed, in addition to efforts exhibited by Kazakhstan and even Russia which slashes its production by 2.5 million barrels.

The minister said that Russia had helped the organization a great deal and that there is political and sovereign support for the cuts.

In other news, Saudi Arabia's total oil exports, including crude and oil products, fell to 7.48 million barrels per day (bpd) in May from 11.34 million bpd in April, official data showed on Thursday.

Monthly export figures are provided by Riyadh and other members of OPEC to the Joint Organizations Data Initiative (JODI), which publishes them on its website.



Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
TT

Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices were little changed on Thursday as investors weighed firm winter fuel demand expectations against large US fuel inventories and macroeconomic concerns.

Brent crude futures were down 3 cents at $76.13 a barrel by 1003 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures dipped 10 cents to $73.22.

Both benchmarks fell more than 1% on Wednesday as a stronger dollar and a bigger than expected rise in US fuel stockpiles pressured prices.

"The oil market is still grappling with opposite forces - seasonal demand to support the bulls and macro data that supports a stronger US dollar in the medium term ... that can put a ceiling to prevent the bulls from advancing further," said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.

JPMorgan analysts expect oil demand for January to expand by 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd) year on year to 101.4 million bpd, primarily driven by increased use of heating fuels in the Northern Hemisphere.

"Global oil demand is expected to remain strong throughout January, fuelled by colder than normal winter conditions that are boosting heating fuel consumption, as well as an earlier onset of travel activities in China for the Lunar New Year holidays," the analysts said.

The market structure in Brent futures is also indicating that traders are becoming more concerned about supply tightening at the same time demand is increasing.

The premium of the front-month Brent contract over the six-month contract reached its widest since August on Wednesday. A widening of this backwardation, when futures for prompt delivery are higher than for later delivery, typically indicates that supply is declining or demand is increasing.

Nevertheless, official Energy Information Administration (EIA) data showed rising gasoline and distillates stockpiles in the United States last week.

The dollar strengthened further on Thursday, underpinned by rising Treasury yields ahead of US President-elect Donald Trump's entrance into the White House on Jan. 20.

Looking ahead, WTI crude oil is expected to oscillate within a range of $67.55 to $77.95 into February as the market awaits more clarity on Trump's administration policies and fresh fiscal stimulus measures out of China, OANDA's Wong said.