Saudi Arabia: Encouraging Factors Contribute to Budget Revenues Recovery in 3rd Quarter

 A view shows the construction of the King Abdullah Financial District, north of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia April 11, 2016. REUTERS/Faisal Al Nasser
A view shows the construction of the King Abdullah Financial District, north of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia April 11, 2016. REUTERS/Faisal Al Nasser
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Saudi Arabia: Encouraging Factors Contribute to Budget Revenues Recovery in 3rd Quarter

 A view shows the construction of the King Abdullah Financial District, north of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia April 11, 2016. REUTERS/Faisal Al Nasser
A view shows the construction of the King Abdullah Financial District, north of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia April 11, 2016. REUTERS/Faisal Al Nasser

Contrary to the results of the second quarter, economic experts expected the Saudi budget to recover starting from the third quarter of 2020, thanks to major strategic factors that will contribute to raising the Kingdom’s revenues significantly.

Those factors include the lifting of the curfew that was imposed to counter the coronavirus pandemic, the improvement of oil prices, the raising of the value-added tax, and the cancellation of additional financial allocations in government spending to enhance potential financial savings.

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, Economic Advisor Yehya al-Hujairi said that the ceiling of expectations for the recovery of Saudi budget revenues in the third quarter was very high, as a result of the solutions and reforms that the state has adopted before and during the pandemic.

The expert pointed out that one of the most important boosters was the return of economic activity and the improvement of oil prices and value-added tax, as well as the removal of government allocations, all of which would enhance the state’s financial treasury.

For his part, Dr. Abdul-Rahman Baeshen, head of the Shorouk Center for Economic Studies, told Asharq Al-Awsat he was very optimistic about the recovery of Saudi revenues over the past three months, based on positive data about coming investments and the revival of the private sector economically and commercially.

He added that the Kingdom’s adoption of the comprehensive reform of economic, trade and investment policies, along with the launching of initiatives that support activities and production and the promotion of local content, were all factors that would strengthen the national economy in light of the continuing pandemic.

On a different note, latest monetary statistics showed that the value of purchases by banks operating in Saudi Arabia of foreign exchange currencies amounted to 756.7 billion riyals (201 billion dollars) during the second quarter of this year, registering a decrease of 10.6% compared to the same period last year.



China's Industrial Profits Narrow Decline but 2024 Likely Worst Year in Decades

An employee works at a carbon fibre production line inside a factory in Lianyungang, Jiangsu province, China October 27, 2018. REUTERS/Stringer
An employee works at a carbon fibre production line inside a factory in Lianyungang, Jiangsu province, China October 27, 2018. REUTERS/Stringer
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China's Industrial Profits Narrow Decline but 2024 Likely Worst Year in Decades

An employee works at a carbon fibre production line inside a factory in Lianyungang, Jiangsu province, China October 27, 2018. REUTERS/Stringer
An employee works at a carbon fibre production line inside a factory in Lianyungang, Jiangsu province, China October 27, 2018. REUTERS/Stringer

China's industrial profits fell at a slower clip in November, official data showed on Friday, but the annual decline in earnings this year is expected to be the worst in over two decades due to persistently soft domestic consumption.

The world's second-largest economy has been struggling to mount a strong post-pandemic revival, as business and household appetites for spending and investment remain subdued amid a prolonged housing downturn and fresh trade risks from the incoming US administration of President-elect Donald Trump.

Industrial profits fell 7.3% in November from the same month last year, following a 10% drop in October, National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) data showed, Reuters reported.

The narrower decline in November pointed to improved profits as recent economic stimulus measures start to have an effect, said Zhou Maohua, a macroeconomic researcher at China Everbright Bank.

The profit numbers were also in line with a slower decline in factory-gate prices in November. The producer price index fell 2.5% year-on-year versus the 2.9% drop in October.

The World Bank on Thursday revised up its 2024 economic growth forecast for China slightly to 4.9% from its June forecast of 4.8%.

Still, in the first 11 months of 2024, industrial profits declined 4.7%, deepening a 4.3% slide in the January-October period, reflecting still tepid private demand in the Chinese economy.

China's full-year industrial profits are set to show their biggest drop in percentage terms since 2011. However, when smaller companies are included under a previous compilation methodology, this year's profit decline is expected to the worst since at least 2000.

A spate of economic indicators released this month pointed to mixed results, with industrial output accelerating in November while new home prices fell at the slowest pace in 17 months.

The industrial sector is undergoing an uneven recovery amid insufficient demand, Zhou said, pointing to difficulties facing real estate and some related industries as evidence of this malaise.

China's leaders vowed in a key policy meeting this month to raise the deficit, issue more debt and loosen monetary policy to maintain a stable economic growth rate. The government also recently pledged to step up direct fiscal support to consumers and boosting social security.

Beijing has agreed to issue a record $411 billion special treasury bonds next year, Reuters reported.

Profits at state-owned firms fell 8.4% in the first 11 months, foreign firms posted a 0.8% decline and private-sector companies recorded a 1% fall, according to a breakdown of the NBS data.

Industrial profit numbers cover firms with annual revenues of at least 20 million yuan ($2.7 million) from their main operations.