Saudi Arabia: Encouraging Factors Contribute to Budget Revenues Recovery in 3rd Quarter

 A view shows the construction of the King Abdullah Financial District, north of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia April 11, 2016. REUTERS/Faisal Al Nasser
A view shows the construction of the King Abdullah Financial District, north of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia April 11, 2016. REUTERS/Faisal Al Nasser
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Saudi Arabia: Encouraging Factors Contribute to Budget Revenues Recovery in 3rd Quarter

 A view shows the construction of the King Abdullah Financial District, north of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia April 11, 2016. REUTERS/Faisal Al Nasser
A view shows the construction of the King Abdullah Financial District, north of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia April 11, 2016. REUTERS/Faisal Al Nasser

Contrary to the results of the second quarter, economic experts expected the Saudi budget to recover starting from the third quarter of 2020, thanks to major strategic factors that will contribute to raising the Kingdom’s revenues significantly.

Those factors include the lifting of the curfew that was imposed to counter the coronavirus pandemic, the improvement of oil prices, the raising of the value-added tax, and the cancellation of additional financial allocations in government spending to enhance potential financial savings.

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, Economic Advisor Yehya al-Hujairi said that the ceiling of expectations for the recovery of Saudi budget revenues in the third quarter was very high, as a result of the solutions and reforms that the state has adopted before and during the pandemic.

The expert pointed out that one of the most important boosters was the return of economic activity and the improvement of oil prices and value-added tax, as well as the removal of government allocations, all of which would enhance the state’s financial treasury.

For his part, Dr. Abdul-Rahman Baeshen, head of the Shorouk Center for Economic Studies, told Asharq Al-Awsat he was very optimistic about the recovery of Saudi revenues over the past three months, based on positive data about coming investments and the revival of the private sector economically and commercially.

He added that the Kingdom’s adoption of the comprehensive reform of economic, trade and investment policies, along with the launching of initiatives that support activities and production and the promotion of local content, were all factors that would strengthen the national economy in light of the continuing pandemic.

On a different note, latest monetary statistics showed that the value of purchases by banks operating in Saudi Arabia of foreign exchange currencies amounted to 756.7 billion riyals (201 billion dollars) during the second quarter of this year, registering a decrease of 10.6% compared to the same period last year.



Türkiye's Erdogan Expects More Interest Rate Cuts in 2025

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan speaks during a plenary session at the COP29 UN Climate Summit, Nov. 12, 2024, in Baku, Azerbaijan. (AP)
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan speaks during a plenary session at the COP29 UN Climate Summit, Nov. 12, 2024, in Baku, Azerbaijan. (AP)
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Türkiye's Erdogan Expects More Interest Rate Cuts in 2025

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan speaks during a plenary session at the COP29 UN Climate Summit, Nov. 12, 2024, in Baku, Azerbaijan. (AP)
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan speaks during a plenary session at the COP29 UN Climate Summit, Nov. 12, 2024, in Baku, Azerbaijan. (AP)

Türkiye's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said on Saturday that there would be more interest rate cuts in 2025 after the central bank cut its key rate by 250 basis points to 47.5% this week.

The Turkish central bank trimmed the one-week repo rate after an 18-month tightening effort that reversed years of unorthodox economic policies and easy money championed by Erdogan, who has since changed tack to back the program.

"Priority in our economy program is to lower the inflation... We will hopefully reduce inflation to the required level by using other tools at our disposal in addition to the monetary policy," Erdogan told members of his AK Party (AKP) in northwestern city of Bursa.

"We will definitely start lowering the interest rates. 2025 will be the landmark year for this," he said.

"Interest rates will decrease so that inflation will decrease. We will take this step. This is now indispensable for us."

Erdogan, who once described interest rates as his "biggest enemy," said last month that inflation would fall alongside the interest rate.

The central bank earlier announced that it had reduced the number of scheduled policy meetings next year to eight from 12 in 2024.

According to a Reuters poll's median, the central bank is expected to ease rates to about 28.5% by the end of 2025, with forecasts ranging between 25% and 33%.