Basra Killings Undermine Iraqi PM's Efforts to Rein in Militias

Iraqi demonstrators clash with Iraqi security forces during the ongoing anti-government protests in Basra,Iraq.August 21, 2020. REUTERS/Essam Al-Sudani
Iraqi demonstrators clash with Iraqi security forces during the ongoing anti-government protests in Basra,Iraq.August 21, 2020. REUTERS/Essam Al-Sudani
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Basra Killings Undermine Iraqi PM's Efforts to Rein in Militias

Iraqi demonstrators clash with Iraqi security forces during the ongoing anti-government protests in Basra,Iraq.August 21, 2020. REUTERS/Essam Al-Sudani
Iraqi demonstrators clash with Iraqi security forces during the ongoing anti-government protests in Basra,Iraq.August 21, 2020. REUTERS/Essam Al-Sudani

Iraq's Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi had just embarked on a state visit to Washington when gunmen shot dead the young protest leader Reham Yacoub in her car in Basra on Wednesday.

Yacoub, 29, was an outspoken critic of the Iran-backed militias whose power and influence Kadhimi has been trying to rein in since taking office in May.

The attack was the third on activists in the southern city in a week. Tahseen Oussama, 30, was gunned down on Aug. 14 and four others were shot at while together in a car Monday, Reuters reported.

Her killing cast a pall over the prime minister's trip to the US. The violence reignited anti-government protests in Basra and the US State Department publicly urged Kadhimi to hold the militias accountable, just two days after he sacked the Basra police and national security chiefs and formed a special committee to investigate the attacks.

"The reality is the PM and his team are unable to control these groups," said Renad Mansour, director of the Iraq Initiative at Chatham House.

"Removing a police chief ... is not even scratching the surface of the problem."

Kadhemi's visit was intended to cement US support for his government and while he was there, five US firms, including Chevron Corp, signed agreements with Iraq aimed at boosting its energy independence from Iran.

"The PM is hoping he can go to the US and sign a bunch of deals and say this is how he can fix things, but it doesn't look good that while you're away young activists are being killed by militias and forces under your government," said Mansour.

Most of the militias come under Iraq's Popular Mobilization Forces, an umbrella grouping of paramilitary forces. Although formally integrated in Iraq's security forces, in practice they operate independently and have resisted all attempts to curb their influence.

Neither do they tolerate any dissent from the population. Yacoub and Oussama were killed two weeks after a national umbrella grouping of activists, to which both belonged, announced it would form a political party to challenge the dominance of militia groups in parliament.

The Basra killings come after Husham al-Hashemi, a well-known security analyst and government advisor, was gunned down outside his Baghdad family home in July by men on a motorbike.

Kadhimi talked tough after Hashemi's killing, pledging to hunt down his assailants and keep the armed groups in check. But there have been few developments since.

His efforts to employ law and order to restrain the groups earlier in the year also backfired.

According to Reuters, when Iraqi forces arrested 14 fighters in June for their alleged involvement in rocket attacks on US installations, their comrades drove vehicles into the heavily fortified Green Zone to pressure Kadhimi for their release. All but one were let go.

"The situation in Iraq has devolved to the point that gunmen can roam the streets and shoot well-connected members of civil society with impunity," said Belkis Wille, senior Crisis and Conflict researcher at Human Rights Watch.

"One has to question whether the federal government is even capable of reining in the violence at this point."



International Coalition to End Mission in Iraq, Keep Going in Syria

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani and US President Joe Biden meet in Washington. (AFP file photo)
Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani and US President Joe Biden meet in Washington. (AFP file photo)
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International Coalition to End Mission in Iraq, Keep Going in Syria

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani and US President Joe Biden meet in Washington. (AFP file photo)
Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani and US President Joe Biden meet in Washington. (AFP file photo)

A US-led coalition's military mission in Iraq will end by September 2025 and there will be a transition to bilateral security partnerships, the United States and Iraq said in a joint statement on Friday.

The US has approximately 2,500 troops in Iraq and 900 in neighboring Syria as part of the coalition formed in 2014 to combat ISIS as it rampaged through the two countries.

The joint statement provided few details, including how many US troops would leave Iraq and from which bases.

The announcement was a product of nine months of negotiations.

An Iraqi official said the coalition will maintain its mission in Syria.

Not a withdrawal

In a briefing with reporters on Friday, a senior US official said that the move was not a withdrawal and declined to say if any troops would even be leaving Iraq.

"I just want to foot stomp the fact that this is not a withdrawal. This is a transition. It's a transition from a coalition military mission to an expanded US-Iraqi bilateral security relationship," the official said according to Reuters.

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani initiated talks with Washington in January on the change. He has said that, while he appreciates their help, US troops have become a magnet for instability, frequently targeted and responding with strikes often not coordinated with the Iraqi government.

Reuters has reported that the agreement would see hundreds of troops leave by September 2025, with the remainder departing by the end of 2026.

Under the plan, all coalition forces would leave the Ain al-Asad airbase in western Anbar province and significantly reduce their presence in Baghdad by September 2025.

US and other coalition troops are expected to remain in Erbil. Other nations, including Germany, France, Spain, and Italy, contribute hundreds of troops to the coalition.

The drawdown will mark a notable shift in Washington's military posture in the Middle East.

While primarily focused on countering ISIS, US officials acknowledge the US presence also serves as a strategic position against Iranian influence.

This position has grown more important as Israel and Iran escalate their regional confrontation, with US forces in Iraq shooting down rockets and drones fired towards Israel in recent months, according to US officials.

Sudani win

Sudani aide Hussein Allawi told Asharq Al-Awsat that the mission will completely end its mission in Iraq in 2026 and focus its operations in Syria.

The coalition, which helped Iraqi armed forces liberate provinces that terrorist groups had seized ten years ago, is no longer needed, he added.

The agreement will likely present a political win for Sudani as he balances Iraq's position as an ally of both Washington and Tehran.

An Iraqi political source told Asharq Al-Awsat is a victory for Sudani, who had for months insisted on the withdrawal despite Washington’s reservations and pressure from Iraqi armed factions that wanted to “violently” drive them out of the country.

Sudani put the finishing touches to the deal during his recent visit to New York where he attended the United Nations General Assembly, he revealed.

The announcement of the end of the mission is a political win at a very critical moment in the Middle East, he added.

However, a Shiite politician said the forces that are opposed to the American troop deployment are “wary of the vagueness of the announcement.”

The position of the armed forces will become clear at the appropriate time as they await the details of the plan to come to light and its implementation on the ground, he told Asharq Al-Awsat.

Iraqi circles have completely lost faith in the Americans, who at first may agree to Iraq’s request for them to leave, but may then place obstacles to renege on the deal, he went on to say.

The pro-Iran Kataib Hezbollah faction called on Sudani against rushing to announce the pullout of the forces.

In a statement, it said the timing of the announcement was “not right given the American’s involvement in the mass killing of children, women and innocents and the operations of betrayal in Palestine, Lebanon, Yemen and Syria.”