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Turkish Lira Hits New Lows on Policy, Geopolitical Concerns

The Turkish lira weakened to a fresh record low against the US dollar. (Getty Images)
The Turkish lira weakened to a fresh record low against the US dollar. (Getty Images)
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Turkish Lira Hits New Lows on Policy, Geopolitical Concerns

The Turkish lira weakened to a fresh record low against the US dollar. (Getty Images)
The Turkish lira weakened to a fresh record low against the US dollar. (Getty Images)

The Turkish lira weakened to a fresh record low beyond 8.05 against the US dollar on Monday on investor unease about the central bank's decision last week to keep its policy rate on hold and various sources of geopolitical concern.

Strains in ties with the United States, a row with France, a dispute between Turkey and Greece over maritime rights and the conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh have all unsettled investors.

The lira weakened more than 1% to as far as 8.0515 from a close of 7.9650 on Friday. It has lost 26% of its value this year against the US currency. It also hit a record low beyond 9.5 against the euro.

"So very predictable after the CBRT fell short with its rate action last week," said Timothy Ash at BlueBay Asset Management.

The central bank (CBRT) had been expected to raise its policy rate by 175 basis points to 12% in the face of weakness in the lira triggered by concerns about high inflation and the central bank's badly depleted FX reserves.

However, it left the rate at 10.25% on Thursday and raised its late liquidity window to 14.75%, saying significant tightening in financial conditions had already been achieved after steps to contain inflation risks.

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan confirmed on Friday that Turkey had been testing the S-400 air defense systems that it bought from Russia and said US objections on the issue did not matter.

Washington says Ankara's purchase of the Russian systems compromises NATO defenses, and has threatened sanctions. The S-400 firing test last week prompted a furious response from the US State Department and the Pentagon.

But Erdogan struck a defiant tone on the issue of sanctions on Sunday, saying in a speech: "You don't know who you are dancing with. Whatever the sanctions are don't be late. Do it."

He also unleashed fierce personal criticism of France's Emmanuel Macron at the weekend, saying had a problem with Muslims and needed mental checks - a rebuke that caused France to recall its ambassador from Ankara.

Separately, Turkey has extended the seismic survey work of an exploration ship in a disputed area of the eastern Mediterranean until Nov. 4 - a move that Greece condemned on Sunday as "illegal", reviving tensions between the NATO members.

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IMF Upgrades Outlook for Surprisingly Resilient World Economy to 3.3% Growth this Year

FILE PHOTO: A view of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo at its headquarters in Washington, D.C., US, November 24, 2024. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier//File Photo/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo at its headquarters in Washington, D.C., US, November 24, 2024. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier//File Photo/File Photo
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IMF Upgrades Outlook for Surprisingly Resilient World Economy to 3.3% Growth this Year

FILE PHOTO: A view of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo at its headquarters in Washington, D.C., US, November 24, 2024. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier//File Photo/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo at its headquarters in Washington, D.C., US, November 24, 2024. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier//File Photo/File Photo

An unexpectedly sturdy world economy is likely to shrug off President Donald Trump's protectionist trade policies this year, thanks partly to a surge of investment in artificial intelligence in North America and Asia, the International Monetary Fund said in a report out Monday.

The 191-nation lending organization expects that global growth will come in at 3.3% this year, same as in 2025 but up from the 3.1% it had forecast for 2026 back in October, The Associated Press reported.

The world economy "continues to show notable resilience despite significant US-led trade disruptions and heightened uncertainty,'' IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas and his colleague Tobias Adrian wrote in a blog post accompanying the latest update to the fund's World Economic Outlook.

The US economy, benefiting from the strongest pace of technology investment since 2001, is forecast to expand 2.4% this year, an upgrade on the fund's October forecast and on expected 2025 growth — both 2.1%.

China — the world's second-largest economy — is forecast to see 4.5% growth, an improvement on the 4.2% the IMF had predicted October, partly because a trade truce with the United States has reduced American tariffs on Chinese exports.

India, which has supplanted China as the world's fastest-growing major economy, is expected to see growth decelerate from 7.3% last year (when it was juiced by an unexpectedly strong second half) to a still-healthy 6.4% in 2026.

Business

France Says Still Loyal to Syria Kurds, Hails Ceasefire

Syrian army personnel celebrate as government forces enter Raqqa city following the withdrawal of Syrian Democratic Forces, in Raqqa, Syria, January 18, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri
Syrian army personnel celebrate as government forces enter Raqqa city following the withdrawal of Syrian Democratic Forces, in Raqqa, Syria, January 18, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri
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France Says Still Loyal to Syria Kurds, Hails Ceasefire

Syrian army personnel celebrate as government forces enter Raqqa city following the withdrawal of Syrian Democratic Forces, in Raqqa, Syria, January 18, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri
Syrian army personnel celebrate as government forces enter Raqqa city following the withdrawal of Syrian Democratic Forces, in Raqqa, Syria, January 18, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri

France on Monday welcomed a ceasefire between the Syrian government and Kurdish-led forces and stressed it remained loyal to the latter who spearheaded the battle against the ISIS group.

"France is faithful to its allies," the foreign ministry said, urging all sides to respect the ceasefire deal, which will also see the Kurdish administration and forces integrate into the state after months of stalled negotiations.

Business

Lucid in 2026: 'Made in Saudi Arabia' Label Goes Global

Mark Winterhoff, interim CEO of Lucid (Company) 
Mark Winterhoff, interim CEO of Lucid (Company) 
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Lucid in 2026: 'Made in Saudi Arabia' Label Goes Global

Mark Winterhoff, interim CEO of Lucid (Company) 
Mark Winterhoff, interim CEO of Lucid (Company) 

Saudi Arabia is positioning itself as a global launchpad for Lucid, the electric-vehicle manufacturer, not merely as a consumer market, but as a manufacturing and export hub serving markets worldwide.

Speaking from Riyadh during his participation in the Future Minerals Forum, Mark Winterhoff, interim chief executive officer of Lucid — whose largest shareholder is Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF) — outlined the company’s next phase, which focuses on disciplined expansion, resilient supply chains, and a strategic shift from ultra-luxury vehicles toward a broader consumer segment.

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, Winterhoff described the forum as a critical platform for the electric-vehicle industry, given its heavy reliance on minerals and rare earth elements, particularly those used in magnets. He praised Saudi Arabia’s leadership in this area, noting its direct impact on multiple industrial sectors. Winterhoff oversees the execution of Lucid’s strategy and leads teams responsible for product design, engineering, and manufacturing efficiency.

Saudi Arabia as an Export Base

Winterhoff said Lucid’s Saudi factory - the company’s first manufacturing facility outside the United States - was designed from the outset as a major export platform, not solely to meet domestic demand.

Under current plans, only 13 to 15 percent of production will be allocated to Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) markets, with the majority destined for export. He confirmed that Lucid remains on track to begin production at the facility by the end of this year, specifically in December.

In January 2025, Lucid joined the “Made in Saudi Arabia” program, enabling it to use the national manufacturing label on vehicles produced locally. The company is the first automotive original equipment manufacturer (OEM) to receive the designation, reflecting Saudi Arabia’s push to localize advanced industries, deepen partnerships with global manufacturers, and establish itself as a hub for electric-vehicle production and exports.

Strong Growth Momentum

Winterhoff said Lucid posted strong growth in both production and deliveries in 2025. Annual production more than doubled, while deliveries rose 55 percent year-on-year. The fourth quarter recorded particularly strong results in the United States and the Middle East, especially Saudi Arabia.

He noted that Lucid was the only electric-vehicle manufacturer in the US to report higher deliveries in the fourth quarter of 2025, at a time when many competitors saw sharp declines.

According to company figures, Lucid produced about 18,378 vehicles in 2025, up 104 percent from 2024, while deliveries reached 15,841 vehicles. In the fourth quarter alone, production climbed to 8,412 vehicles — up 116 percent from the previous quarter — while deliveries rose 31 percent to 5,345 vehicles.

While Lucid currently operates in the luxury segment, its most significant strategic shift involves developing a mid-size vehicle priced at around $50,000. Winterhoff said this model, aimed at a much wider consumer base, will form the backbone of production at the Saudi plant and enable the facility to reach its targeted maximum capacity.

Supply Chain Challenges and Outlook

Winterhoff identified supply chains - particularly for minerals, rare earth elements, and semiconductors - as ongoing challenges for the industry. He said Lucid faced repeated difficulties over the past year in sourcing magnets and securing stable semiconductor supplies. Forums such as the Future Minerals Forum, he added, are part of the solution, helping build a more stable and sustainable resource ecosystem.

Looking ahead, Winterhoff expressed confidence in Lucid’s trajectory. The company currently leads US electric-vehicle sales in the luxury sedan segment and ranks third when internal combustion vehicles are included. With the launch of its mid-priced model, Lucid expects higher production volumes and, in 2026, plans to enter the autonomous robotaxi market, an emerging sector it views as a key source of future growth.