G20 Riyadh Summit Caps off Challenging 2020

A virtual ‘family photo’ of G20 heads of state was displayed on Friday on the walls of the historic Salwa Palace in Diriyah at a cultural dinner for journalists, guests and envoys. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A virtual ‘family photo’ of G20 heads of state was displayed on Friday on the walls of the historic Salwa Palace in Diriyah at a cultural dinner for journalists, guests and envoys. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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G20 Riyadh Summit Caps off Challenging 2020

A virtual ‘family photo’ of G20 heads of state was displayed on Friday on the walls of the historic Salwa Palace in Diriyah at a cultural dinner for journalists, guests and envoys. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A virtual ‘family photo’ of G20 heads of state was displayed on Friday on the walls of the historic Salwa Palace in Diriyah at a cultural dinner for journalists, guests and envoys. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The 2020 G20 Riyadh summit will kick off on Saturday, bringing together the leaders of the world’s top economies. Saudi Arabia is hosting the event amid anticipation of its recommendations that should push forward the global recovery as the world grapples with the unprecedented novel coronavirus pandemic.

Amid the most challenging circumstances witnessed by any G20 summit, Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques King Salman bin Abdulaziz will inaugurate the two-day event, which will be held virtually due to the pandemic. He will deliver an opening speech before world leaders and organizations on Saturday.

This year’s summit carries more significance as the world is looking to the G20’s efforts in protecting lives and livelihoods and helping with the recovery after the pandemic. The G20 leaders will also address issues to pave the way to a more inclusive, more sustainable and more resilient economic recovery and laying the foundations for a better future. The aims of the Saudi G20 Presidency focus on Empowering People, Safeguarding the Planet and Shaping New Frontiers.

The Saudi G20 Presidency spared no effort in cultivating collective efforts during the challenging situation of 2020, read a G20 statement. “As a G20 member and the Chair of the 2020 G20, hosting this high-level meeting is historic for Saudi Arabia, showcasing the results of the ongoing transformational Saudi Vision 2030 reflected in its Presidency.”
Throughout the past 14 summits, the G20 has never encountered such exceptional and extraordinary circumstances that have been imposed by the pandemic and its impact on the global economy.

The crisis has put the Kingdom before a test that a G20 member state has never had to endure. Saudi Arabia succeeded in employing all of its political, economic and intellectual tools in confronting the pandemic and its repercussions on the world, especially in helping poor countries and coordinating fully with other G20 members.

King Salman had stressed that the group’s top priority was fighting the pandemic and its health, social and economic impacts. Protecting lives, jobs and livelihoods was at the top of the G20’s concerns.

These efforts should culminate in finding a vaccine for the coronavirus and ensuring that it is fairly distributed to everyone, he stressed, while underlining the needs of the world’s poorest countries.

When the pandemic first began, Saudi Arabia held a meeting for G20 health ministers back in April with the participation of the World Health Organization. The Kingdom kicked off its efforts to unite the global fight against the disease by calling for an extraordinary G20 summit in March.

Saudi Arabia has pledged $500 million to support global efforts to combat the pandemic. It said then it would allocate $150 million to the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness and Innovation, $150 million to the Global Alliance for Vaccines and Immunizations, and $200 million to other health organizations and programs.

The pandemic has had a devastating effect on the global economy and oil market. Tourism was the first sector to be struck down.

Saudi Arabia was quick to take action to curb the impact of the crisis. On April 8, it held an extraordinary virtual meeting for G20 energy ministers to achieve stability in the energy markets. The ministers announced that they were determined to take the necessary measures to achieve this balance.

In January, OPEC, Russia and other producers, a group known as OPEC+, implemented a deal to cut output by 1.7 million bpd to support the market.



Vujcic: ECB Should Not 'Overreact' if Inflation Edges Below 2%

FILE PHOTO: The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, is photographed during a heavy rain storm ahead of the ECB council meeting later this week, Germany, March 14, 2023. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, is photographed during a heavy rain storm ahead of the ECB council meeting later this week, Germany, March 14, 2023. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File Photo
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Vujcic: ECB Should Not 'Overreact' if Inflation Edges Below 2%

FILE PHOTO: The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, is photographed during a heavy rain storm ahead of the ECB council meeting later this week, Germany, March 14, 2023. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, is photographed during a heavy rain storm ahead of the ECB council meeting later this week, Germany, March 14, 2023. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File Photo

The European Central Bank should not "overreact" to euro-zone inflation edging below its 2% target as there are good reasons to believe it will come back up, ECB policymaker Boris Vujcic told Reuters.

The ECB cut interest rates on Thursday for the eighth time in a year but signaled at least a policy pause next month, despite projecting inflation at just 1.6% next year. Inflation in the 20 countries that share the euro was 1.9% in May, according to a flash reading published last week.

Vujcic, who is also Croatia's central bank governor, said price growth was likely to bounce back later and that monetary policy should not try to do "precision surgery" on small fluctuations from its goal.

"A few tens of basis points' deviation on either side of the target is not a problem," Vujcic said in an interview on Saturday in Dubrovnik. "Because you will always have small deviations. If you consider them as a problem, then you will overreact. This is not precision surgery."

Vujcic said it was reasonable to expect inflation to edge back up as energy prices find a bottom and the economy accelerates. Euro strength is also unlikely to have second-round effects on prices unless it lasts several quarters, Vujcic said.

Some ECB policymakers, especially Portugal's central bank governor Mario Centeno, worry that euro-zone inflation may slow too much.

Vujcic said he sees the risks surrounding the inflation outlook as "pretty balanced" but cautioned there was "complete uncertainty" surrounding global trade tensions with US President Donald Trump's administration.

Vujcic recalled advice he received as a young deputy governor from then-Federal Reserve Chair Alan Greenspan: a high rate of inflation was more dangerous than a low one. Greenspan cited two decades of relatively benign deflation in the late 19th century, which was partly due to improvements in productivity, Vujcic said.

"Nobody cared about low inflation because of the productivity growth," he said. "You have a monetary policy problem to bring it up. Yes, but why would you insist so much if you don't have a problem in the economy?"

The ECB is reviewing its long-term strategy, including the role of massive bond purchases, or quantitative easing, in reviving inflation when it is too low.

The ECB injected some 7 trillion euros ($8 trillion) of liquidity into the banking system through QE and other tools over the past decade. These schemes were blamed for inflating bubbles in real estate and setting up the central bank for sizeable losses.

"The next time around, people will take the lessons from the previous episode, and I think that the bar for QE would be higher," Vujcic said.

He said QE could help stabilize dysfunctional markets - such as during the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic - but if used "for years and years to try and bring inflation up, its marginal efficiency declines".

Such calls for self-criticism are shared by some policymakers in the ECB's hawkish camp. But sources told Reuters they were unlikely to feature in the ECB's new strategy document, to be published this summer.