Armed Movements Seek to Oust Ruling Sudan Coalition

The Revolutionary Front held a press conference at the Friendship Hall in Khartoum on Tuesday. (SUNA)
The Revolutionary Front held a press conference at the Friendship Hall in Khartoum on Tuesday. (SUNA)
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Armed Movements Seek to Oust Ruling Sudan Coalition

The Revolutionary Front held a press conference at the Friendship Hall in Khartoum on Tuesday. (SUNA)
The Revolutionary Front held a press conference at the Friendship Hall in Khartoum on Tuesday. (SUNA)

New political disagreements are looming on the horizon in Sudan between the ruling coalition and a group of armed movements that signed the Juba Peace Agreement.

The dispute arose after some of those armed movements, mainly chairman and head of the Sudan Liberation Movement/Army (SLM/A), Mini Minawi, expressed their desire to change the current political reference of the interim government through an operation dubbed “meter zeroing.”

Meanwhile, differences emerged over the division of shares in the government and the ruling bodies during the transitional period between the parties that signed the agreement, including civilians from the Forces of Freedom and Change (FFC), military personnel from the Sovereignty Council and representatives of armed movements.

Based on the Juba Peace Agreement, the transitional period will extend to 2023, with the armed movements having three seats in the currently 11-member Sovereign Council and 25% of seats in the cabinet and soon-to-be-formed Legislative Assembly.

A prominent leader from the Revolutionary Front told Asharq Al-Awsat there was a lack of consensus with the forces of change on the representation of armed movements in the structure of the transitional authority, as well as their representation in the governing body of the transitional government.

The leader, who preferred to remain anonymous, said: “We have had several meetings, but we have not yet reached an agreement. Consultations are continuing on this issue.”

On Tuesday, leaders of the Revolutionary Front called on the Sudanese people to preserve the peace achieved in Juba and to assist in implementing it.

The announcement came during a press conference held by the Revolutionary Front in Khartoum held in the presence of a large number of its leaders, mainly Minawi, a number of local and international media and representatives of the armed struggle movements.

Minawi said the government should focus at this stage on providing the basic needs of the citizens.

He stressed the need to remove the gap between the center and the margin, which he said had lasted for more than 60 years by reaching reconciliations with them in order to create a new Sudan.

He pointed out that the process of returning refugees and displaced persons will begin after the formation of the government, affirming his welcome to those who did not sign the Juba agreement.

He called on the government to continue its efforts to pursue dialogue with them until lasting peace that achieves security, peace and stability in the country is reached.

Also on Tuesday, leaders from the Sudanese Revolutionary Front demanded the restructuring of the Sovereignty Council and the government, stressing the need to agree on criteria for the selection of office holders in both bodies.



Iran’s Allies Constrained in Confronting Israel

Armed Houthi supporters carry images of deceased military and political figures from Iran-aligned groups during a protest in Sanaa against Israeli airstrikes on Iran (EPA)
Armed Houthi supporters carry images of deceased military and political figures from Iran-aligned groups during a protest in Sanaa against Israeli airstrikes on Iran (EPA)
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Iran’s Allies Constrained in Confronting Israel

Armed Houthi supporters carry images of deceased military and political figures from Iran-aligned groups during a protest in Sanaa against Israeli airstrikes on Iran (EPA)
Armed Houthi supporters carry images of deceased military and political figures from Iran-aligned groups during a protest in Sanaa against Israeli airstrikes on Iran (EPA)

As war rages between Tehran and Tel Aviv, Iran may soon need to call upon its network of regional allies - groups it has armed and funded for years. But now, the so-called “Axis of Resistance” looks strained, fragmented, and far from ready.

On June 19, 2025, General Mohammad Reza Naqdi of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard urged Iran’s regional allies to take action to relieve mounting pressure on Tehran. At that point, Iran was entering its second week of heavy Israeli bombardment. Strategically, an Israeli strike on the Iranian capital once seemed unthinkable, but the regional terrain has since shifted. Iran’s supply routes are now disrupted, and its key proxy groups have either been neutralized or weakened.

According to The Times of Israel, Israel launched this war after nearly two years of systematically targeting Iran’s allies in Gaza, Lebanon, and Yemen. The 2023 Hamas attack on Israel had triggered a chain of retaliation that left many of Iran’s partners damaged or demoralized. With the Assad regime collapsed in Syria, Hezbollah weakened in Lebanon, and Hamas reduced to guerrilla tactics in Gaza, few proxies appear ready for a new confrontation.

In Gaza, Hamas has been forced into small ambushes and urban warfare, its rocket arsenal depleted and many senior leaders killed. Iranian communication channels with the group have also eroded. Israel’s targeted assassination of Mohammad Saeed Izadi, a key Quds Force commander linked to Palestinian factions, further strained coordination. For now, Hamas can offer little more than rhetorical support.

In Iraq, US forces have fortified their embassy in Baghdad, while withdrawing from bases such as Ain al-Asad. Iraqi factions loyal to Iran are posturing, threatening US interests should America enter the war. But most Iraqi leaders remain reluctant to drag the country into open conflict, knowing the consequences could be disastrous. Iran, too, is cautious about sacrificing Iraq’s political and economic value.

Hezbollah, reeling from the death of its longtime leader Hassan Nasrallah in a 2024 Israeli strike, is in disarray. Its military capacity and leadership have been significantly degraded. Though the party retains some strategic capabilities, domestic and regional pressures have so far restrained it from opening a major front.

In Yemen, the Houthis have emerged as Iran’s last viable card. They now play a key role in smuggling weapons and expanding Iranian influence into Africa. Should the US directly join Israel’s war, Tehran may finally authorize the Houthis to use their stockpile of ballistic missiles, signaling a decisive and potentially catastrophic new phase of the conflict.