Iraq Calls for Easing Regional Tensions

Iraqi President Barham Salih and British Minister for Middle East and North Africa, James Cleverly (Iraqi Presidency)
Iraqi President Barham Salih and British Minister for Middle East and North Africa, James Cleverly (Iraqi Presidency)
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Iraq Calls for Easing Regional Tensions

Iraqi President Barham Salih and British Minister for Middle East and North Africa, James Cleverly (Iraqi Presidency)
Iraqi President Barham Salih and British Minister for Middle East and North Africa, James Cleverly (Iraqi Presidency)

Iraqi President Barham Salih received British Minister for Middle East and North African James Cleverly and Minister for the Armed Forces James Heappey during which he stressed the importance of easing tensions and reaching regional and international stability.

The British delegation visited Iraq and Kurdistan to discuss the relationship between the two countries and efforts to combat terrorism, as well as ties between the federal government and Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG).

The Iraqi Presidency issued a statement after the meeting, indicating that Salih emphasized the need to strengthen cooperation between the two countries in various political, economic, military and health fields.

He also called for collaboration on global challenges, including efforts to combat terrorism and tackle the impacts of the coronavirus pandemic.

Salih said that the region's security and stability of the region is a priority, noting that it is important to pave the way toward further economic or development-related cooperation.

The British ministers appreciated the proposals of the President and his efforts to ease tensions in the region and combat terrorism.

They affirmed their country’s support to ensure Iraq’s security and stability, and their aspiration to strengthen bilateral relations in various fields.

Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi also received the British delegation, and discussed ties between Baghdad and London.

Kadhimi's office issued a statement affirming that the meeting discussed bilateral relations and the importance of boosting joint cooperation in the war against terrorism and ISIS.

The officials also discussed Kadhimi’s recent visit and ways to convert it into practical steps that serve both countries, as well as means to support the capabilities of the Iraqi forces.

Kadhimi stressed his country's keenness to build strategic relations with Britain, in the political and economic fields. He indicated that the historical relations between the two countries would contribute to strengthening cooperation and support the Iraqi economy.

Also in Erbil, the British delegation discussed with Prime Minister Masrour Barzani ways to boost relations between the Kurdistan region and Britain.

Barzani thanked London and valued its role in helping the Kurdistan region.

He said KRG has fulfilled all of its commitments and duties on the basis of the Iraqi constitution to reach a deal with the Iraqi government, adding that the Iraqi federal government should fulfil its duties by sending the Kurdistan Region’s financial rights and entitlements.

The delegation said that British people look at the role of Peshmerga forces with “respect and appreciation” in the fight against ISIS.

They expressed British government’s willingness to strengthen relations and coordination with the Kurdistan Region in all sectors, "particularly in trade and developing British investment.”



Lancet Study Estimates Gaza Death Toll 40% Higher Than Recorded

Palestinians walk through the destruction in the wake of an Israeli air and ground offensive in Khan Younis, southern Gaza Strip, Tuesday, Jan. 7, 2025. (AP Photo/Abdel Kareem Hana)
Palestinians walk through the destruction in the wake of an Israeli air and ground offensive in Khan Younis, southern Gaza Strip, Tuesday, Jan. 7, 2025. (AP Photo/Abdel Kareem Hana)
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Lancet Study Estimates Gaza Death Toll 40% Higher Than Recorded

Palestinians walk through the destruction in the wake of an Israeli air and ground offensive in Khan Younis, southern Gaza Strip, Tuesday, Jan. 7, 2025. (AP Photo/Abdel Kareem Hana)
Palestinians walk through the destruction in the wake of an Israeli air and ground offensive in Khan Younis, southern Gaza Strip, Tuesday, Jan. 7, 2025. (AP Photo/Abdel Kareem Hana)

Research published in The Lancet medical journal on Friday estimates that the death toll in Gaza during the first nine months of the Israel-Hamas war was around 40 percent higher than recorded by the Palestinian territory's health ministry.

The number of dead in Gaza has become a matter of bitter debate since Israel launched its military campaign against Hamas in response to the Palestinian militant group's unprecedented October 7, 2023 attack.

Up to June 30 last year, the health ministry in Hamas-run Gaza reported a death toll of 37,877 in the war.

However, the new peer-reviewed study used data from the ministry, an online survey and social media obituaries to estimate that there were between 55,298 and 78,525 deaths from traumatic injuries in Gaza by that time, AFP reported.

The study's best death toll estimate was 64,260, which would mean the health ministry had under-reported the number of deaths to that point by 41 percent.

That toll represented 2.9 percent of Gaza's pre-war population, "or approximately one in 35 inhabitants," the study said.

The UK-led group of researchers estimated that 59 percent of the deaths were women, children and the elderly.

The toll was only for deaths from traumatic injuries, so did not include deaths from a lack of health care or food, or the thousands of missing believed to be buried under rubble.

AFP is unable to independently verify the death toll.

On Thursday, Gaza's health ministry said that 46,006 people had died over the full 15 months of war.

In Israel, the 2023 attack by Hamas resulted in the deaths of 1,208 people, mostly civilians, according to an AFP tally based on official Israeli figures.

Israel has repeatedly questioned the credibility of the Gaza health ministry's figures, but the United Nations have said they are reliable.

- 'A good estimate' -

The researchers used a statistical method called "capture-recapture" that has previously been used to estimate the death toll in conflicts around the world.

The analysis used data from three different lists, the first provided by the Gaza health ministry of the bodies identified in hospitals or morgues.

The second list was from an online survey launched by the health ministry in which Palestinians reported the deaths of relatives.

The third was sourced from obituaries posted on social media platforms such as X, Instagram, Facebook and Whatsapp, when the identity of the deceased could be verified.

"We only kept in the analysis those who were confirmed dead by their relatives or confirmed dead by the morgues and the hospital," lead study author Zeina Jamaluddine, an epidemiologist at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, told AFP.

The researchers scoured the lists, searching for duplicates.

"Then we looked at the overlaps between the three lists, and based on the overlaps, you can come up with a total estimation of the population that was killed," Jamaluddine said.

Patrick Ball, a statistician at the US-based Human Rights Data Analysis Group not involved in the research, has used capture-recapture methods to estimate death tolls for conflicts in Guatemala, Kosovo, Peru and Colombia.

Ball told AFP the well-tested technique has been used for centuries and that the researchers had reached "a good estimate" for Gaza.

Kevin McConway, a professor of applied statistics at Britain's Open University, told AFP there was "inevitably a lot of uncertainty" when making estimates from incomplete data.

But he said it was "admirable" that the researchers had used three other statistical analysis approaches to check their estimates.

"Overall, I find these estimates reasonably compelling, he added.

- 'Criticism' expected from both sides -

The researchers cautioned that the hospital lists do not always provide the cause of death, so it was possible that people with non-traumatic health problems -- such as a heart attack -- could have been included, potentially leading to an overestimate.

However, there were other ways that the war's toll could still be underestimated.

The study did not include missing people. The UN humanitarian agency OCHA has said that around 10,000 missing Gazans are thought to be buried under rubble.

There are also indirect ways that war can claim lives, such as a lack of healthcare, food, water, sanitation or the spread of disease. All have stricken Gaza since October 2023.

In a contentious, non-peer-reviewed letter published in The Lancet in July, another group of researchers used the rate of indirect deaths seen in other conflicts to suggest that 186,000 deaths could eventually be attributed to the Gaza war.

The new study suggested that this projection "might be inappropriate due to obvious differences in the pre-war burden of disease" in Gaza compared to conflicts in countries such as Burundi and East Timor.

Jamaluddine said she expected that "criticism is going to come from different sides" about the new research.

She spoke out against the "obsession" of arguing about death tolls, emphasizing that "we already know that there is a lot of high mortality.”