Egypt’s Unemployment Falls to Lowest Levels in 14 Years

A man sells candyfloss on a bridge over the Nile in Cairo. (Reuters)
A man sells candyfloss on a bridge over the Nile in Cairo. (Reuters)
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Egypt’s Unemployment Falls to Lowest Levels in 14 Years

A man sells candyfloss on a bridge over the Nile in Cairo. (Reuters)
A man sells candyfloss on a bridge over the Nile in Cairo. (Reuters)

Egypt’s unemployment rate fell to 5.7 percent in FY 19/20, its lowest in 14 years, after it recorded 13.9 percent in the previous fiscal year, announced the Minister of Planning and Economic Development, Hala el-Saeed.

In 2016, Egypt floated its currency as part of an economic reform program that Cairo pursued to overcome the budget deficit and imbalances in the economic sectors.

During her statement to the parliament, the minister pointed out that Egypt’s inflation rate fell to 7.3 percent in the first quarter of FY 20/21, compared to 9.6 percent in Q4 of FY 19/20, while the annual unemployment rate dropped from 13 percent in 2014 to 7.9 percent in 2019.

Said confirmed the decrease in Egypt’s poverty rate to 29.7 percent, for the first time since 1999, compared to 32.5 percent in FY 2017/18, as the poverty rate declined across the country.

The decline was greater in rural areas of Lower Egypt, reflecting a decrease of 4.73 percent, followed by the rural areas of Upper Egypt at 3.79 percent.

“This is one of the fruits of the serious reform steps taken by the Egyptian state,” Said noted, adding that since November 2016, this has strengthened the Egyptian economy and its ability to confront crises.

Public investments increased by 66 percent in general during FY 18/19-20/21 compared to the previous three years, which resulted in the implementation of many development initiatives, according to the minister.

Public investments in major sectors, such as infrastructure, transportation and electricity, amounted to about EGP 500 billion, 32 percent of public investments and 20 percent growth compared to the three preceding years.

The minister added that a growth rate of 5.6 percent was achieved in the first half of 19/20 before the repercussions of the novel coronavirus pandemic were felt.

Despite the crisis, the economy achieved a growth rate of 3.6 percent during FY 19/20, making Egypt one of a limited number of countries that achieved positive growth amid the pandemic. It was projected to achieve a growth rate of 5.8 percent in FY 19/20 and 6 percent in FY 20/21, she revealed.



Israeli-Iranian Escalation Rattles Arab Markets, Egypt Hit Hardest

A trader at the Egyptian stock exchange in Cairo (Reuters)
A trader at the Egyptian stock exchange in Cairo (Reuters)
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Israeli-Iranian Escalation Rattles Arab Markets, Egypt Hit Hardest

A trader at the Egyptian stock exchange in Cairo (Reuters)
A trader at the Egyptian stock exchange in Cairo (Reuters)

The escalating conflict between Israel and Iran cast a heavy shadow over Arab financial markets on Sunday, triggering sharp selloffs, particularly in the Gulf. Investors fled risk amid fears of a prolonged confrontation, though some analysts pointed to potential recoveries in select regional markets should oil prices continue to rise.

Oil surged on Friday as Israel launched strikes against Iranian targets, with prices jumping as much as 13%. Global financial institutions now expect further increases if hostilities persist. JPMorgan forecasts oil could hit $130 per barrel, while Rystad Energy projects prices may soar to $150.

Israel’s strikes reportedly targeted nuclear facilities and ballistic missile factories inside Iran. Tehran retaliated with attacks on Israeli territory and canceled nuclear talks slated for Sunday, negotiations that the US described as the only viable path to halting Israel’s bombing campaign.

Gulf stock markets reacted immediately. The Saudi market, the region’s largest, fell 1%, hitting a 12-month low, with bank stocks leading the decline. Al Rajhi Bank dropped 1.5%, dragging the main index lower. The market had initially plunged by nearly 3.8% before trimming losses after Aramco shares rose 2%.

Qatar’s benchmark index tumbled 3.2%, its steepest one-day drop since April, with every listed company ending in the red. Qatar National Bank, the Gulf’s largest lender, declined 4.2%, while Qatar Gas Transport Company lost 3.3%.

Kuwait’s stock exchange posted its worst daily performance since April, with the premier market index sliding 3.9%, its sharpest drop since April 6.

Markets in the UAE, which operate on Fridays, were among the first to react to the conflict. Abu Dhabi’s index fell 1.34%, while Dubai’s dropped 1.87% during Friday trading. Oman’s Muscat Stock Exchange declined 0.87%, and Bahrain’s bourse slid 0.81%.

Egypt, already grappling with economic challenges, saw its main index plummet 7% at the start of Sunday’s session before paring losses to close down 4.6%. The sharp decline was driven by a wave of regional selling as investors assessed the broader implications of a potential war in the Middle East.