World Bank Upgrades Saudi Arabia’s Growth Forecast in 21/22

File photo of The World Bank logo (Reuters)
File photo of The World Bank logo (Reuters)
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World Bank Upgrades Saudi Arabia’s Growth Forecast in 21/22

File photo of The World Bank logo (Reuters)
File photo of The World Bank logo (Reuters)

Saudi Arabia is forecast to grow 2.4 percent this year and 3.3 percent in 2022, according to a World Bank report.

Previous estimates suggested that the Saudi economy was set to grow 2 percent in 2021 and 2.2 percent in 2022.

The report explained that its forecast changed following positive developments that took place during the pandemic, in addition to higher oil prices and tapering oil production cuts, and the start of a new government investment program.

The World Bank believes that in Saudi Arabia, “additional oil production cuts deepened the contraction in the oil sector but was offset by improving growth momentum in the non-oil sector.”

The World Bank stated that in oil exporters, higher oil prices will support growth and government revenue recoveries.

“Oil prices are expected to average $62 per barrel in 2021 and 2022.”

Meanwhile, the Regional Economic Outlook report issued by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), estimates the growth of non-oil GDP of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries to hit 3.5 percent in 2021, and then 3.4 percent in 2022.

Regarding Saudi Arabia, it expects the Kingdom's economy to grow 2.9 percent in 2021, while it is expected to reach 4 percent in 2022.

For its part, the Institute of International Finance (IIF) announced in its latest report that the Kingdom’s GDP will grow 2.4 percent this year, while it will jump to 3.1 percent in 2022.

The Saudi Central Bank (Sama) reported in its recent data an increase in the value of point of sales (POS), which expresses the volume of direct individual consumption in the country. It increased 3 percent last week to reach SR9.4 billion, compared to SR9.17 billion during the previous week.



Gold Hits Four-week Peak on Safe-haven Demand

A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
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Gold Hits Four-week Peak on Safe-haven Demand

A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk

Gold prices rose to a near four-week high on Thursday, supported by safe-haven demand, while investors weighed how US President-elect Donald Trump's policies would impact the economy and inflation.

Spot gold inched up 0.4% to $2,672.18 per ounce, as of 0918 a.m. ET (1418 GMT). US gold futures rose 0.7% to $2,691.80.

"Safe-haven demand is modestly supporting gold, offsetting downside pressure coming from a stronger dollar and higher rates," UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.

The dollar index hovered near a one-week high, making gold less appealing for holders of other currencies, while the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield stayed near eight-month peaks, Reuters reported.

"Market uncertainty is likely to persist with the upcoming inauguration of Donald Trump as the next US president," Staunovo said.

Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to provide legal justification for a series of universal tariffs on allies and adversaries, CNN reported on Wednesday, citing sources familiar with the matter.

Trump will take office on Jan. 20 and his proposed tariffs could potentially ignite trade wars and inflation. In such a scenario, gold, considered a hedge against inflation, is likely to perform well.

Investors' focus now shifts to Friday's US nonfarm payrolls due at 08:30 a.m. ET for further clarity on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path.

Non-farm payrolls likely rose by 160,000 jobs in December after surging by 227,000 in November, a Reuters survey showed.

Gold hit a near four-week high on Wednesday after a weaker-than-expected US private employment report hinted that the Fed may be less cautious about easing rates this year.

However, minutes of the Fed's December policy meeting showed officials' concern that Trump's proposed tariffs and immigration policies may prolong the fight against rising prices.

High rates reduce the non-yielding asset's appeal.

The World Gold Council on Wednesday said physically-backed gold exchange-traded funds registered their first inflow in four years.

Spot silver rose 0.7% to $30.32 per ounce, platinum fell 0.8% to $948.55 and palladium shed 1.4% to $915.75.