Days Ahead of Iraqi Elections, Erdogan Meets with Sunni Rivals

An Iraqi woman walks past election posters in Baghdad (Reuters)
An Iraqi woman walks past election posters in Baghdad (Reuters)
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Days Ahead of Iraqi Elections, Erdogan Meets with Sunni Rivals

An Iraqi woman walks past election posters in Baghdad (Reuters)
An Iraqi woman walks past election posters in Baghdad (Reuters)

Unlike Iran and the US, Turkey is publicly intervening in political alliances formed ahead of elections in Iraq for the first time.

In the past four rounds of elections in Iraq (2005-2018), Iranian and US envoys and ambassadors had put the final touches on Shiite consensus selecting the candidate for the post of prime minister.

While accusations were leveled against several neighboring countries, especially Turkey, regarding the post of parliament speaker in Iraq, which is reserved for Sunnis in the country, Iraqi Sunnis have been largely in agreement and without any conflict until the 2018 elections.

The same applies to the post of President of Iraq, which must be filled by a Kurdish candidate according to political consensus in the country. Kurds, who are represented by two major parties, shared positions in Iraqi Kurdistan and Baghdad smoothly until the 2014 elections.

Shiites occupy the post of prime minister in Iraq.

Nevertheless, the 2018 elections changed the situation for everyone in Iraq. They, for the first time, produced two coalitions that included all Iraqi sects, ethnicities, and components.

However, these alliances failed in their first experience when agreeing to form the government, and a final agreement was reached between the Sairoon bloc supported by Muqtada al-Sadr and the Fatah bloc led by Hadi al-Amiri.

The justification given for this agreement was to avoid Shiites fighting among themselves.

Sunnis and Kurds also struggled with the positions of parliament speaker and President.

Now, in a scene that seemed surprising, the Turkish presidency distributed two different flyers.

The first showed Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan with the Speaker of Parliament and Mohammad al-Halbousi, while the second showed Erdogan with the leader of the Azm Alliance, Khamis al-Khanjar.

Neither the Turkish presidency nor al-Halbousi or al-Khanjar issued a statement or statement regarding both pictures.



Iraq Frustrated by Iran’s Reluctance to Rein in Militias

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani has cautioned leaders of the Coordination Framework about the threats facing Iraq due to the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran (X)
Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani has cautioned leaders of the Coordination Framework about the threats facing Iraq due to the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran (X)
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Iraq Frustrated by Iran’s Reluctance to Rein in Militias

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani has cautioned leaders of the Coordination Framework about the threats facing Iraq due to the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran (X)
Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani has cautioned leaders of the Coordination Framework about the threats facing Iraq due to the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran (X)

A senior government official said Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani has warned leaders of the Coordination Framework about the “risks to Iraq” from the growing conflict between Israel and Iran.

The official added that Iran is using “deception” when asked to distance its allied militias from the war.

Political and government figures are increasingly worried that Iraq could be hit, after two Israeli soldiers were killed in a drone strike on the Golan Heights early Friday.

Speaking anonymously to Asharq Al-Awsat, the official said al-Sudani is taking steps to keep Iraq out of the conflict.

These efforts include ramping up “political mediation” to persuade militias not to involve Iraq. The prime minister “informed Coordination Framework leaders of the risks” and urged them to “act quickly.”

The official also warned that an attack is still possible, saying intelligence shows the Iraqi militias launched the strike from outside Iraq, using weapons that came from Iraqi territory.

Al-Sudani’s Mediation Efforts

The Iraqi premier has chosen mediators, approved by Iran, to negotiate with militias about the conflict and conditions for de-escalation. These three individuals have previously acted as mediators in past crises.

Last week, Asharq Al-Awsat reported that al-Sudani asked three key Shiite figures to intervene and prevent militias from getting involved in the war between Hezbollah and Israel, after reports surfaced that Israel had identified 35 Iraqi targets.

Sources confirmed that Ammar al-Hakim is among the mediators, along with two other influential Shiite leaders whose names haven’t been disclosed.

However, two Iraqi militias—likely the al-Nujaba Movement led by Akram al-Kaabi and Kataib Hezbollah led by Abu Hussein al-Hamidawi—have refused to cooperate and continue launching rocket attacks on Israel.

The Iraqi official admitted that some militias are “stubborn,” but stressed that al-Sudani knows Iraq is “at the center of the storm.”

He reportedly told leaders of the Coordination Framework, “Iraq cannot avoid a military strike if it happens, so we must stay out of the war to protect the country.”

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, in a Friday sermon, stated that “Iran’s allies in the region won’t back down,” increasing concerns that Iraqi militias tied to Iran will continue attacking Israel.

Iraqi sources also reported that the Coordination Framework has reviewed an “intelligence report” on dozens of Iraqi targets that Israel might strike or assassinate.

Government Efforts to Prevent Escalation

Al-Sudani has blocked the flow of Iraqi funds into conflict zones, unlike previous leaders, according to the official.

He has worked closely with the US and its Treasury Department to strictly monitor financial movements, often insisting that Iran uses official channels to claim its dues from Iraq.

The official also said global auditing firms are now helping Iraq’s central bank oversee financial transactions, shutting down all previous routes for illicit money flows.

Since the Gaza war began on October 7, 2023, the US told Iraq it pressured Israel not to strike Iraq, as long as Iraq stays out of the conflict, the official added.

The US doesn’t oppose Iraq’s stance of condemning Israel, supporting Lebanon and Palestine, and sending aid.

But it “won’t accept any financial or military support to militias.”

Regarding Iran’s role, the official said Tehran claims militias act independently, dodging responsibility for reining them in.