Egypt to Increase GDP Growth to 5.4%

A factory employee carries cloth in a thread spinning factory in Cairo, Egypt July 5, 2018. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany
A factory employee carries cloth in a thread spinning factory in Cairo, Egypt July 5, 2018. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany
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Egypt to Increase GDP Growth to 5.4%

A factory employee carries cloth in a thread spinning factory in Cairo, Egypt July 5, 2018. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany
A factory employee carries cloth in a thread spinning factory in Cairo, Egypt July 5, 2018. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany

Egypt’s Minister of Finance Mohamed Maait said that the country aims to reduce the budget deficit to 6.7 percent and increase the GDP growth to 5.4 percent.

On the sidelines of the 2021 International Monetary Fund and World Bank fall meetings, the minister said that the government adopts a financial policy balancing between maintaining financial stability, supporting manufacturing and export activities, and strengthening social protection networks.

During the fiscal year 2020/2021, Egypt posted a gross domestic product growth of 3.3 percent, a primary surplus of 1.45 percent of GDP, and an overall budget deficit of 7.4 percent, according to the minister.

For the current fiscal year, the government targets to achieve a GDP growth of 5.4 percent, a primary surplus of 1.5 percent, and an overall budget deficit of 6.7 percent.

Egypt's government debt to the GDP reached 91 percent at the end of the past year, and the purpose is to reduce it to less than 90 percent during the current fiscal year, Maait added.

In another context, Egypt's oil minister said on Sunday that foreign investments in the sector fell 26.02% to $5.4 billion in the financial year 2020-21, versus $7.3 billion a year earlier.

"The coronavirus crisis led to a slowdown in investments from international oil companies worldwide," Tarek El Molla said in a speech to the Egyptian Petroleum Association.

Molla said that Egypt's arrears to foreign oil firms decreased to $845 million by the end of the financial year 2020-2021, from $850 million a year earlier.



Oil Recovers from Multi-year Low but Brent Remains below $70

FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
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Oil Recovers from Multi-year Low but Brent Remains below $70

FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo

Oil prices were steady on Thursday, recovering slightly from a multi-year low, though Brent was still below $70 under pressure from trade tariffs between the US, Canada, Mexico and China and OPEC+ plans to raise output.

Those factors and a larger than expected build in US crude inventories had sent Brent as low as $68.33 on Wednesday, its weakest since December 2021. Brent futures were up 28 cents, or 0.4%, at $69.58 a barrel by 0957 GMT on Thursday while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures gained 32 cents, or 0.5%, to $66.63.

"The US President's intention seems to be for a lower oil price," said John Evans at oil broker PVM, adding that questions remain around whether crude is being oversold, Reuters reported.

Prices had fallen after the US enacted tariffs on Canadian and Mexican goods, including energy imports, at the same time major producers decided to raise output quotas for the first time since 2022.

Oil recovered and stabilized somewhat after the US said it will make automakers exempt from the 25% tariffs.

A source familiar with the discussions said that US President Donald Trump could eliminate the 10% tariff on Canadian energy imports, such as crude oil and gasoline, that comply with existing trade agreements.

"Trump's trade measures are threatening to reduce global energy demand and disrupt trade flows in the global oil market," ANZ commodity strategist Daniel Hynes said in a note.

The OPEC+ producer group, comprising the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia, decided on Monday to increase output for the first time since 2022.

The resulting retreat in prices was then exacerbated on Wednesday by a rise in US crude inventories, said ANZ's Hynes.

Crude stockpiles in the US, the world's biggest oil consumer, rose more than expected last week, buoyed by seasonal refinery maintenance, while gasoline and distillate inventories fell because of a hike in exports, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday.

There are further signs of weakness in American oil demand, with US waterborne crude oil imports dropping to a four-year low in February, driven by a fall in Canadian barrels shipped to the East Coast, ship tracking data shows. Demand was subdued by refinery maintenance including a long turnaround at the largest plant in the region.

Tariffs also remain in effect on US imports of Mexican crude, a smaller supply stream than Canadian crude but an important one for US refineries on the Gulf Coast.

Meanwhile, Chinese officials have flagged that more stimulus is possible if economic growth slows, seeking to support consumption and cushion the impact of an escalating trade war with the United States.