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OPEC+ Expected to Stay the Course on Oil Output Plans

OPEC+ is expected to rubber stamp a planned output increase of 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December. Reuters
OPEC+ is expected to rubber stamp a planned output increase of 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December. Reuters
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OPEC+ Expected to Stay the Course on Oil Output Plans

OPEC+ is expected to rubber stamp a planned output increase of 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December. Reuters
OPEC+ is expected to rubber stamp a planned output increase of 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December. Reuters

An OPEC+ committee largely stuck to forecasts of a strong demand rebound this year and next ahead of a meeting next week, at which the group is expected to rubber stamp a planned output increase of 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December.

The Joint Technical Committee (JTC), which met on Thursday, now expects oil demand to grow by 5.7 million bpd in 2021, 120,000 bpd below OPEC's forecast in its latest monthly report, two OPEC+ sources told Reuters.

The JTC left its demand forecast for next year steady at 4.2 million bpd, one of the sources said.

That source said the revision for 2021 was "nothing to worry about" because it was an update of actual data and rounding.

OPEC+ forecasts are still higher than those of the International Energy Agency (IEA), which expects oil demand to grow by 5.5 million bpd in 2021 and 3.3 million bpd in 2022.

Ministers from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Russia and their allies - collectively known as OPEC+ - meet on Nov. 4 to decide output policy.

This week Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak told Reuters he expected OPEC+ to go ahead with its planned increase for December, as previously agreed.

"Demand (for oil) can decline as there is still uncertainty. We also see there is yet another pandemic wave spreading across the world," Novak said.

That view was echoed by other ministers in the group.

"The situation of the oil market indicates that the increase in December ... should not exceed 400,000 bpd," state news agency APS quoted Algerian Energy Minister Mohamed Arkab as saying on Thursday.

Oil prices were trading above $84 a barrel on Friday, within sight of a three-year high of $86.70 hit this week.

Saudi energy minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman twice dismissed calls this week by major consumer nations to speed the rate of OPEC+ production increases, saying the group does not expect crude oil shortages in the market.

"With OECD commercial oil inventories 5.4% below the five-year average and demand rapidly normalizing, OPEC+’s preference to keep production policy unchanged reflects an alliance that is significantly more tolerant of higher prices," JP Morgan said in a note.

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Saudi Arabia’s Mandatory List Boosts Local Companies in Government Procurement

A factory in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A factory in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia’s Mandatory List Boosts Local Companies in Government Procurement

A factory in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A factory in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia’s Mandatory List has emerged as a strategic lever to strengthen the role of local businesses in public sector procurement.

Designed to drive demand for Saudi-made products, the list not only expands market opportunities for domestic manufacturers but also ensures that government entities procure reliable goods that meet stringent quality standards.

Last year, government tenders that included items from the list surpassed 46,600, with a combined value of SAR67.6 billion ($18 billion).

The Local Content and Government Procurement Authority has been steadily updating the list, adding about 407 new products in 2024.

This week, officials announced a further expansion, introducing 105 additional products across seven key sectors: pharmaceuticals and medical supplies, construction, transportation and logistics, furniture, cybersecurity, and information technology.

Authorities say this effort underscores a broader commitment to make local content a cornerstone of Saudi Arabia’s future economy. By prioritizing Saudi products, the government aims to empower national industries, spur innovation, and increase job opportunities while reducing reliance on imports.

The latest update is also part of policies favoring small and medium enterprises (SMEs) and companies listed on the Saudi financial market.

The initiative seeks to strengthen local supply chains and raise the readiness of domestic factories to fulfill public sector demand.

According to the Authority, expected government spending on the newly added products exceeds SAR2.3 billion ($613 million). More than 100 Saudi factories are already equipped to meet this anticipated demand.

These measures form part of broader efforts to maximize the economic impact of public spending. In the second half of last year alone, a series of new policies, strategic agreements, and national programs contributed to economic gains exceeding SAR80 billion ($21.3 billion).

The Authority also integrated local content requirements into 54 privatization projects valued at SAR269 billion ($71.7 billion). Of these, 24 projects have already achieved their targets, representing overSAR 131 billion ($34.9 billion) in contracts aimed at boosting private sector participation and employment.