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OPEC+ Expected to Stay the Course on Oil Output Plans

OPEC+ is expected to rubber stamp a planned output increase of 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December. Reuters
OPEC+ is expected to rubber stamp a planned output increase of 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December. Reuters
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OPEC+ Expected to Stay the Course on Oil Output Plans

OPEC+ is expected to rubber stamp a planned output increase of 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December. Reuters
OPEC+ is expected to rubber stamp a planned output increase of 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December. Reuters

An OPEC+ committee largely stuck to forecasts of a strong demand rebound this year and next ahead of a meeting next week, at which the group is expected to rubber stamp a planned output increase of 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December.

The Joint Technical Committee (JTC), which met on Thursday, now expects oil demand to grow by 5.7 million bpd in 2021, 120,000 bpd below OPEC's forecast in its latest monthly report, two OPEC+ sources told Reuters.

The JTC left its demand forecast for next year steady at 4.2 million bpd, one of the sources said.

That source said the revision for 2021 was "nothing to worry about" because it was an update of actual data and rounding.

OPEC+ forecasts are still higher than those of the International Energy Agency (IEA), which expects oil demand to grow by 5.5 million bpd in 2021 and 3.3 million bpd in 2022.

Ministers from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Russia and their allies - collectively known as OPEC+ - meet on Nov. 4 to decide output policy.

This week Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak told Reuters he expected OPEC+ to go ahead with its planned increase for December, as previously agreed.

"Demand (for oil) can decline as there is still uncertainty. We also see there is yet another pandemic wave spreading across the world," Novak said.

That view was echoed by other ministers in the group.

"The situation of the oil market indicates that the increase in December ... should not exceed 400,000 bpd," state news agency APS quoted Algerian Energy Minister Mohamed Arkab as saying on Thursday.

Oil prices were trading above $84 a barrel on Friday, within sight of a three-year high of $86.70 hit this week.

Saudi energy minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman twice dismissed calls this week by major consumer nations to speed the rate of OPEC+ production increases, saying the group does not expect crude oil shortages in the market.

"With OECD commercial oil inventories 5.4% below the five-year average and demand rapidly normalizing, OPEC+’s preference to keep production policy unchanged reflects an alliance that is significantly more tolerant of higher prices," JP Morgan said in a note.

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Saudi Role Pivotal as Syria Hosts Investment Forum in Damascus

The Syria-Saudi Investment Forum in Damascus (SANA) 
The Syria-Saudi Investment Forum in Damascus (SANA) 
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Saudi Role Pivotal as Syria Hosts Investment Forum in Damascus

The Syria-Saudi Investment Forum in Damascus (SANA) 
The Syria-Saudi Investment Forum in Damascus (SANA) 

In a symbolic and strategic move, Syria and Saudi Arabia took a major step toward deepening economic ties this week with the launch of the Syrian-Saudi Investment Forum 2025, held at the People’s Palace in Damascus. The event brought together top officials from both countries, including Syrian President Ahmad Al-Sharaa and Saudi Minister of Investment Khalid Al-Falih, along with over 120 Saudi investors and business leaders.

The forum marks the most significant Saudi economic delegation to visit Syria in over a decade, and comes amid a broader push by Damascus to attract regional and international investment to rebuild the war-torn country.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat, Osama Qadi, Senior Advisor to Syria’s Ministry of Economy and Industry, described the forum as a turning point.

“Saudi Arabia is helping to write a new chapter in Syria’s economic history,” he said. “The Kingdom is not only a political and security partner, it will be remembered as the driving force behind what could become Syria’s economic miracle.”

Qadi said Saudi Arabia’s presence signaled deep trust in Syria’s post-conflict potential. “This initial delegation of over 120 Saudi business leaders is just the beginning,” he noted. “Minister Al-Falih has committed to encouraging investment not only from the Kingdom but from countries across the globe.”

According to Qadi, Saudi investments send a powerful signal to the international business community that Syria is stable and open for investment.

“The presence of Saudi capital builds trust,” he said. “It shows that Syria is safe, serious about reform, and prepared to welcome global partnerships.”

He emphasized that the large-scale destruction resulting from years of conflict has created opportunities in reconstruction, particularly for real estate developers, contractors, and urban planners.

In this context, he said: “The ruins can be rebuilt into a modern Syria... Before 2011, Syria already had widespread informal housing. Now, we have the opportunity to design cities with green spaces, modern infrastructure, and sustainable architecture - all while preserving local heritage.”

Qadi added that the Syrian government sees this as a chance to rebuild in line with global standards.

“Together with our partners, we can build a Syria of 2025, with smart cities, environmentally friendly construction, and livable communities for the next generation,” he underlined.

The timing of the forum, he noted, sends a strong political message to skeptics.

“Even as some areas of the country, like Sweida, remain unstable and US lawmakers debate the future of the Caesar Act sanctions, this forum shows that serious investors believe in Syria’s future,” he remarked.

Qadi expressed hope that Saudi engagement would trigger a ripple effect, saying: “Together with the Kingdom, we can attract the largest number of investors, companies, and projects. This will create jobs and help Syria become one of the region’s most attractive investment destinations.”

At a press conference Wednesday night, Syrian Minister of Information Hamza Al-Mustafa officially launched the forum under the auspices of the Supreme Council for Economic Development and in partnership with the Syrian Investment Agency. Al-Mustafa praised Saudi Arabia’s role as “a key player in the Arab regional order and a very important global actor.”

He also highlighted the strong historical and cultural ties between the two countries.

“Saudi Arabia holds a special place in the hearts of all Syrians. That’s why President Al-Sharaa’s first official visit abroad was to Riyadh. Syria received a warm welcome and a clear signal of Saudi commitment to our recovery,” the minister stated.

Al-Mustafa further said the forum reflects Syria’s readiness to turn the page.

“After decades of authoritarian rule and economic stagnation, Damascus is now presenting itself as a serious opportunity for investors. The soil is fertile, the environment is right, and we welcome all those who want to be part of Syria’s renewal,” he affirmed.