Libya's 5+5 Commission Meeting Kicks Off in Cairo

Head of the United Nations Support Mission in Libya Jan Kubis (UNSMIL)
Head of the United Nations Support Mission in Libya Jan Kubis (UNSMIL)
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Libya's 5+5 Commission Meeting Kicks Off in Cairo

Head of the United Nations Support Mission in Libya Jan Kubis (UNSMIL)
Head of the United Nations Support Mission in Libya Jan Kubis (UNSMIL)

Libya's 5+5 Joint Military Commission (JMC) launched on Saturday a new round of UN-sponsored talks in Egypt's capital Cairo to discuss plans for the pullout of foreign forces from the countries neighboring Libya, Sudan, Niger, and Chad.

During the opening session, head of the United Nations Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL), Jan Kubis, expressed his appreciation for the willingness of the representatives of Chad, Niger, and Sudan to work with the 5+5 JMC on the withdrawal of mercenaries and foreign fighters from Libya, in a way that does not affect the stability in their countries and the region.

Kubis pointed out that the UN mission will continue to help Libya restore its stability, unity, and full sovereignty.

He lauded the "tireless efforts" of the JMC to implement the ceasefire agreement, starting with maintaining its continuity, opening the airspace, exchanging detainees, making a joint effort to secure the artificial river, and opening the coastal road.

Kubis said that the comprehensive Action Plan, signed by the JMC during its recent meeting in Geneva, will serve as the cornerstone for the gradual, balanced, and sequenced withdrawal of mercenaries, foreign fighters, and foreign forces from Libyan territory.

The official stressed that the action plan is a Libyan plan approved by the JMC and enjoys the support of the Libyan authorities, adding that it is also a plan-led and nationally owned, carrying tangible ideas and determinants of implementation.

He added that the plan is essential for a long path towards peace, stability, security and cooperation, and sustainable development in Libya and the region.

Kubis explained that the meeting, and all subsequent meetings, are only the first steps in preparing a concrete implementation plan for the withdrawal of all mercenaries, foreign fighters, and forces from Libya, which is also crucial in light of the upcoming parliamentary and presidential elections.

"I would like to express my hope that your meeting in Cairo will result in a mutual understanding of major building blocks and coordination mechanisms necessary for the withdrawal and will enable agreeing on the first steps of the withdrawal process that will take fully into account the needs and concerns of Libya and its neighbors," said Kubis.

"I count on your full cooperation as well as the support of the African Union in this noble and critically important endeavor."

Meanwhile, Libyan Foreign Minister Najla al-Manqoush warned of the "real threat" of a civil war erupting after the upcoming presidential and parliamentary elections.

Speaking to BBC, Maqoush hoped "free and fair" elections would be held despite the security issues, which she trusted won't affect the electoral process.

The war will bring the country back to square one, which means the presence of weapons and foreign influence affecting the elections, said the minister, noting that "there is always hope."

She urged all parties to participate in the democratic process, expecting Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar, the commander-in-chief of the Libyan National Army (LNA), to accept the elections' results.

Haftar is in the country's east and temporarily retired from his position in preparation for the upcoming presidential elections.



Franjieh Withdraws from Lebanon’s Presidential Race, Backs Army Commander

 People look at a ballot box displayed inside the parliament building, a day ahead of Lebanon's parliament's attempt to elect a new head of state in downtown Beirut, Lebanon, January 8, 2025. (Reuters)
People look at a ballot box displayed inside the parliament building, a day ahead of Lebanon's parliament's attempt to elect a new head of state in downtown Beirut, Lebanon, January 8, 2025. (Reuters)
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Franjieh Withdraws from Lebanon’s Presidential Race, Backs Army Commander

 People look at a ballot box displayed inside the parliament building, a day ahead of Lebanon's parliament's attempt to elect a new head of state in downtown Beirut, Lebanon, January 8, 2025. (Reuters)
People look at a ballot box displayed inside the parliament building, a day ahead of Lebanon's parliament's attempt to elect a new head of state in downtown Beirut, Lebanon, January 8, 2025. (Reuters)

Head of the Marada Movement Suleiman Franjieh announced on Wednesday that he was withdrawing from Lebanon’s presidential election and backing the candidacy of army commander Joseph Aoun.

Lebanon is holding the much-awaited election on Thursday.

In a post on the X platform, Franjieh said: "Now that the conditions are ripe for the election of a president tomorrow, I am withdrawing my candidacy, which has never been an obstacle in the electoral process."

He added that Aoun "enjoys the qualities that would preserve the standing of the country’s top post."

He hoped "the nation would overcome this stage with unity, diligence and responsibility."

Parliament will try to elect a president on Thursday, with officials seeing better chances of success in a political landscape shaken by Israel's war with Hezbollah and the toppling of the group's ally Bashar al-Assad in neighboring Syria.

The post, reserved for a Maronite Christian in the country's sectarian power-sharing system, has been vacant since Michel Aoun's term ended in October 2022. The former president is not related to army commander Aoun.

None of the political groups in the 128-seat parliament have enough seats to impose their choice, and they have so far been unable to agree on a consensus candidate. The vote marks the first test of Lebanon's power balance since the Iran-backed Shiite group Hezbollah - which propelled its then Christian ally Aoun to the presidency in 2016 - emerged badly pummeled from the war with Israel.

The Lebanese parliament building a day before a session to elect the Lebanese president, in Beirut, Lebanon, 08 January 2025. (EPA)

It takes place against a backdrop of historic change in the wider Middle East, where the Assad-led Syrian state exercised sway over Lebanon for decades, both directly and through allies such as Hezbollah.

Before Franjieh withdrew from the race and reflecting the shifts, Hezbollah and its ally the Shiite Amal Movement led by parliament Speaker Nabih Berri dropped their insistence on Franjieh, their declared candidate for the last two years, and said they are ready to go with a less divisive figure, three senior sources familiar with their thinking said.

Candidates in focus include army commander General Joseph Aoun - said by Lebanese politicians to enjoy US approval - Jihad Azour, a senior International Monetary Fund official who formerly served as finance minister, and Major-General Elias al-Baysari - head of General Security, a state security agency.

Caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati said he felt happy because "God willing, tomorrow we will have a new president", according to a statement from his office.

French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot also expressed hope in comments to France Inter radio, saying the election was "a prerequisite for the continuation of this dynamic of peace" and also for Lebanon's economic and social recovery.

However, two of the sources and an analyst cautioned that it was not yet certain any candidate would be elected. To win, a candidate must secure 86 votes in a first round, or 65 in a second round.

Rice is thrown on Newly-appointed General Joseph Aoun (C) as army commander, upon his arrival at his family's house in Sin El Fil, northeast of Beirut, Lebanon March 8, 2017. (Reuters)

‘National awakening’

Joseph Aoun would still need 86 votes because his election requires a constitutional amendment, as he is a still-serving state employee, Berri has said.

A State Department spokesperson said it was "up to Lebanon to choose its next president, not the United States or any external actor".

"We have been consistent in our efforts to press Lebanon to elect a new president, which we see as important to strengthening Lebanon’s political institutions," the spokesperson said.

Hezbollah official Wafiq Safa said last week there was "no veto" on Aoun. But the sources said Hezbollah, designated a terrorist group by the United States, will not support him.

Aoun has a key role in shoring up the ceasefire brokered by Washington and Paris in November. The terms require the Lebanese military to deploy into south Lebanon as Israeli troops and Hezbollah withdraw forces.

Still reeling from a financial collapse in 2019, Lebanon desperately needs foreign aid to rebuild. Much of the damage is in Shiite majority areas.

Hezbollah, its supply line to Iran severed by Assad's ousting, has urged Arab and international support for Lebanon.

Lebanon's Maronite Bishops called on lawmakers to elect a president, urging a "national awakening".