Turkish Lira Pares Losses after Touching All-Time Low Near 11 to the Dollar

A file photo shows a money changer uses a machine to count Turkish liras in the border city of Hatay, Turkey. (Reuters)
A file photo shows a money changer uses a machine to count Turkish liras in the border city of Hatay, Turkey. (Reuters)
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Turkish Lira Pares Losses after Touching All-Time Low Near 11 to the Dollar

A file photo shows a money changer uses a machine to count Turkish liras in the border city of Hatay, Turkey. (Reuters)
A file photo shows a money changer uses a machine to count Turkish liras in the border city of Hatay, Turkey. (Reuters)

Turkey's lira sank to an all-time low of near 11 to the dollar on Thursday before paring losses, ahead of a central bank meeting that is expected to cut rates further even as the currency falls sharply and inflation remains near 20%.

The lira stood 10.85 against the dollar at 0408 GMT, after earlier declining as much as 10.98, bringing its losses since Tuesday's close to more than 5.7%, Reuters reported.

The currency's decline in recent weeks over concerns of further easing from the central bank were exacerbated on Wednesday by President Tayyip Erdogan's comments that he will continue his battle against interest rate "to the end".

Erdogan's insistence on cutting rates and his frequent overhauls of the central bank's leadership, partly over policy disagreements, have severely damaged the central bank's ncredibility over the years, battering the lira.

The central bank, which says price pressures are temporary, began giving dovish messages in September and embarked on an easing cycle later that month. It has since slashed its policy rate by 300 basis points to 16%.

The aggressive easing bucked expectations and left Turkey virtually alone in a world of policy tightening. But it delivered stimulus long sought by Erdogan.

"Even a hold (or a rate hike) may only provide short-term relief for the currency as much will then depend on the president's reaction and whether he decides to part ways with another central bank governor," said Jason Tuvey, senior emerging markets economist at Capital Economics.

The lira is down more than 32% against the dollar this year and its decline pushes prices higher in Turkey via imports.



Trump Exempts Mexico Goods from Tariffs for a Month, but Doesn’t Mention Canada

Construction workers are seen on the site of a new development in Long Beach, California, March 5, 2025. (AFP)
Construction workers are seen on the site of a new development in Long Beach, California, March 5, 2025. (AFP)
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Trump Exempts Mexico Goods from Tariffs for a Month, but Doesn’t Mention Canada

Construction workers are seen on the site of a new development in Long Beach, California, March 5, 2025. (AFP)
Construction workers are seen on the site of a new development in Long Beach, California, March 5, 2025. (AFP)

US President Donald Trump on Thursday said Mexico won't be required to pay tariffs on any goods that fall under the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement on trade until April 2, but made no mention of a reprieve for Canada despite his Commerce secretary saying a comparable exemption was likely.

"After speaking with President Claudia Sheinbaum of Mexico, I have agreed that Mexico will not be required to pay Tariffs on anything that falls under the USMCA Agreement," Trump wrote on Truth Social. "This Agreement is until April 2nd."

Earlier on Thursday, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said the one-month reprieve on hefty tariffs on goods imported from Mexico and Canada that has been granted to automotive products is likely to be extended to all products that comply with the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement on trade.

Lutnick told CNBC he expected Trump to announce that extension on Thursday, a day after exempting automotive goods from the 25% tariffs he slapped on imports from Canada and Mexico earlier in the week.

Trump "is going to decide this today," Lutnick said, adding "it's likely that it will cover all USMCA-compliant goods and services."

"So if you think about it this way, if you lived under Donald Trump's US-Mexico-Canada agreement, you will get a reprieve from these tariffs now. If you chose to go outside of that, you did so at your own risk, and today is when that reckoning comes," he said.

Nonetheless, Trump's social media post made no mention of a reprieve for Canada, the other party to the USMCA deal that Trump negotiated during his first term as president.

Lutnick said his "off the cuff" estimate was that more than 50% of the goods imported from the two US neighbors - also its largest two trading partners - were compliant with the USMCA deal that Trump negotiated during his first term as president.

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau called Lutnick's comments "promising" in remarks to reporters in Canada.

"That aligns with some of the conversations that we have been having with administration officials, but I'm going to wait for an official agreement to talk about Canadian response and look at the details of it," Trudeau said. "But it is a promising sign. But I will highlight that it means that the tariffs remain in place, and therefore our response will remain in place."

Lutnick emphasized that the reprieve would only last until April 2, when he said the administration plans to move ahead with reciprocal tariffs under which the US will impose levies that match those imposed by trading partners.

In the meantime, he said, the current hiatus is about getting fentanyl deaths down, which is the initial justification Trump used for the tariffs on Mexico and Canada and levies on Chinese goods that have now risen to 20%.

"On April 2, we're going to move with the reciprocal tariffs, and hopefully Mexico and Canada will have done a good enough job on fentanyl that this part of the conversation will be off the table, and we'll move just to the reciprocal tariff conversation," Lutnick said. "But if they haven't, this will stay on."

Indeed, Trudeau is expecting the US and Canada to remain in a trade war.

"I can confirm that we will continue to be in a trade war that was launched by the United States for the foreseeable future," he told reporters in Ottawa.