US Says Window for Talks with Iran is ‘Very, Very Short’

Part of the Vienna nuclear negotiations with Iran last December (Reuters)
Part of the Vienna nuclear negotiations with Iran last December (Reuters)
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US Says Window for Talks with Iran is ‘Very, Very Short’

Part of the Vienna nuclear negotiations with Iran last December (Reuters)
Part of the Vienna nuclear negotiations with Iran last December (Reuters)

The Biden administration is blaming the former Trump administration for triggering Iran’s decision to enrich more uranium to a higher degree of purity by pulling out from the Iran nuclear deal in 2017.

Ned Price, a US State Department spokesman, made the justification after a “barrage of criticism” launched by Senator Bob Menendez, a Democrat from New Jersey, and the Chairman of the Senate Foreign Affairs Committee.

Menendez had criticized the Biden administration’s approach in handling Iran and its policy at negotiations in Vienna.

In a press briefing at the US State Department, Price told Asharq Al-Awsat that concerns regarding Iran expanding its nuclear program could be traced back to the Trump administration’s decision to pull out from the 2015 deal.

“These are advancements that Iran has been in a position to make ever since the last administration decided to leave the Iran deal, a deal that was verifiably and permanently preventing Iran from ever obtaining a nuclear weapon,” said Price.

“When the Iran deal was fully implemented, the so-called breakout time to which you refer was one year, meaning that it would take Iran one year to accumulate the fissile material necessary for a nuclear weapon if it chose to do so,” he added.

Nevertheless, Senator Menendez had warned that the breakout time could take place in three to four weeks.

“Now, that is separate and apart from the weaponization process. We’re very concerned with both of these processes. But purely from an enrichment standpoint, that breakout time was a year,” stated Price.

“Now – my colleague alluded to this a couple days ago – that breakout time is significantly less. And that is precisely because of the decision to leave the JCPOA that was working to elongate that breakout time,” he explained.

Price moves on to note that the Biden administration finds itself facing an unfortunate set of circumstances, which means that the window to reach a nuclear deal with Iran is closing fast.

That window is very, very short precisely because once Iran reaches the point where its nuclear advances have obviated the nonproliferation benefits that the nuclear deal conveyed, that’s a point at which it will no longer make sense to pursue a mutual return to compliance with the agreement.

Price warned that if a joint return to compliance fails, the US national security interest and the national security interest of allies and partners around the world would mean that the US needs to “pursue another course.”

“The reason the breakout time is – can be measured in weeks instead of months is precisely because Iran did not feel encumbered by the deal that the previous administration chose to abandon,” noted the spokesman.

Moreover, an official source at the US State Department confirmed to Asharq Al-Awsat that Robert Malley, the US special envoy to Iran, will return to Vienna on Friday to discuss mutual return to compliance with the deal with the participating parties (P5+1) and Iran.

The source stated that the proposal that Malley and the negotiating team will carry to Vienna has not changed, which stipulates the complete return to compliance with the deal.

Iran must “take many steps to show serious commitment to reach the agreement and make negotiations succeed.”

Next Wednesday, the Senate Foreign Relations Committee is scheduled to hold a closed-door hearing, in the presence of Malley, who will brief the body on the negotiations in Vienna.

It is noteworthy that the US administration faces many criticisms in Congress due to its handling of the Iranian nuclear file, the negotiations in Vienna, and the resignations in the ranks of the US negotiating team.

Many observers believe that the resignations were a result of the divisions between Malley and his team members beginning to surface.

In a Senate speech earlier this week, Menendez openly criticized the Biden administration for its insistence to stick to nuclear negotiations in Vienna, despite Tehran’s grave proximity to owning a nuclear weapon.

He stressed that the breakout time is three to four weeks, according to experts.

The prominent senator called on the Biden administration and international partners to pressure Iran to confront its nuclear and missile program and its dangerous behavior in the Middle East, including attacks against US and US interests in the region.



Iran to Launch 'Advanced Centrifuges' in Response to IAEA Censure

Western countries successfully moved a resolution at the IAEA to censure Iran over its nuclear program - AFP
Western countries successfully moved a resolution at the IAEA to censure Iran over its nuclear program - AFP
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Iran to Launch 'Advanced Centrifuges' in Response to IAEA Censure

Western countries successfully moved a resolution at the IAEA to censure Iran over its nuclear program - AFP
Western countries successfully moved a resolution at the IAEA to censure Iran over its nuclear program - AFP

Iran said Friday it would launch a series of "new and advanced" centrifuges in response to a resolution adopted by the UN nuclear watchdog that censures Tehran for what the agency called lack of cooperation.

The censure motion brought by Britain, France, Germany, and the United States at the 35-nation board of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) follows a similar one in June.

It came as tensions run high over Iran's atomic program, with critics fearing that Tehran is attempting to develop a nuclear weapon -- a claim the Islamic Republic has repeatedly denied.

The resolution -- which China, Russia and Burkina Faso voted against -- carried with 19 votes in favor, 12 abstentions and Venezuela not participating, two diplomats told AFP.

"The head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran issued an order to take effective measures, including launching a significant series of new and advanced centrifuges of various types," a joint statement by the organization and Iran's foreign ministry said.

Centrifuges are the machines that enrich uranium transformed into gas by rotating it at very high speed, increasing the proportion of fissile isotope material (U-235).

"At the same time, technical and safeguards cooperation with the IAEA will continue, as in the past" and within the framework of agreements made by Iran, the joint Iranian statement added.

Behrouz Kamalvandi, Iran's atomic energy organization spokesman, on Friday said the new measures are mostly related to uranium enrichment.

"We will substantially increase the enrichment capacity with the utilisation of different types of advanced machines," he told state TV.

Iran's retaliatory measures "are reversible if this (Western) hostile action is withdrawn or negotiations are opened," Tehran-based political analyst Hadi Mohammadi told AFP.

- 'Legal obligations' -

The confidential resolution seen by AFP says it is "essential and urgent" for Iran to "act to fulfil its legal obligations" under the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) ratified in 1970.

The text also calls on Tehran to provide "technically credible explanations" for the presence of uranium particles found at two undeclared locations in Iran.

In addition, Western powers are asking for a "comprehensive report" to be issued by the IAEA on Iran's nuclear efforts "at the latest" by spring 2025.

The resolution comes after the IAEA's head Rafael Grossi returned from a trip to Tehran last week, where he appeared to have made headway.

During the visit, Iran agreed to an IAEA demand to cap its sensitive stock of near weapons-grade uranium enriched up to 60 percent purity.

- 'Cycle of provocation' -

"Iran did not start the cycle of provocation -- the Western side could, without passing a resolution... create the atmosphere for negotiations if it really was after talks," the analyst Mohammadi said.

In 2015, Iran and world powers reached an agreement that saw the easing of international sanctions on Tehran in exchange for curbs on its nuclear program.

But the United States unilaterally withdrew from the accord in 2018 under then-president Donald Trump and reimposed biting economic sanctions, which prompted Iran to begin rolling back on its own commitments.

On Thursday, Iran's deputy foreign minister for legal and international affairs Kazem Gharibabadi warned of Iran's potential next step.

"Iran had announced in an official letter to European countries that it would withdraw from the NPT if the snapback mechanism was activated, and the Security Council sanctions were reinstated," Gharibabadi said in a late-night interview with state TV.

The 2015 deal contains a "snapback" mechanism that can be triggered in case of "significant non-performance" of commitments by Iran.

This would allow many sanctions to be reimposed.

Tehran has since 2021 decreased its cooperation with the agency by deactivating surveillance devices monitoring the nuclear program and barring UN inspectors.

At the same time, it has ramped up its nuclear activities, including by increasing its stockpiles of enriched uranium and the level of enrichment to 60 percent.

That level is close, according to the IAEA, to the 90 percent-plus threshold required for a nuclear warhead and substantially higher than the 3.67 percent limit it agreed to in 2015.