Egypt Inflation Climbs to 7.3% in Jan from 5.9% in Dec

Egypt's annual urban consumer price inflation quickened to 7.3% year-on-year in January - Reuters
Egypt's annual urban consumer price inflation quickened to 7.3% year-on-year in January - Reuters
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Egypt Inflation Climbs to 7.3% in Jan from 5.9% in Dec

Egypt's annual urban consumer price inflation quickened to 7.3% year-on-year in January - Reuters
Egypt's annual urban consumer price inflation quickened to 7.3% year-on-year in January - Reuters

Egypt's annual urban consumer price inflation quickened to 7.3% year-on-year in January, its highest since August 2019, from 5.9% in December, data from the country's statistics agency CAPMAS showed on Thursday.

Prices climbed 0.9% month-on-month compared to a 0.08% drop in December, the agency said.

The annual rate puts inflation near the higher end of the 5-9% target range set by the central bank, which kept its key interest rates unchanged during a regular monetary policy committee meeting on Feb. 3, according to Reuters.

The headline inflation number reflected "unfavorable base effects and rising food prices," EFG Hermes's Mohamed Abu Basha said in a note.

"Monthly inflation trends showed food inflation jumped 2.1%, reflecting a broad increase in most food items."

Inflation dynamics nonetheless remain weak in the absence of demand pressures, he wrote.

"We therefore expect the acceleration in the headline number not to push the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) to hike rates in the near term, though we are clearly seeing rising risks," Abu Basha said. Egypt's economy has bounced back since the worst of the coronavirus pandemic. Gross domestic product shot up by 9.8% year-on-year in the July-September quarter, up from 0.7% a year earlier, planning ministry data showed.



Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices were little changed on Thursday as investors weighed firm winter fuel demand expectations against large US fuel inventories and macroeconomic concerns.

Brent crude futures were down 3 cents at $76.13 a barrel by 1003 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures dipped 10 cents to $73.22.

Both benchmarks fell more than 1% on Wednesday as a stronger dollar and a bigger than expected rise in US fuel stockpiles pressured prices.

"The oil market is still grappling with opposite forces - seasonal demand to support the bulls and macro data that supports a stronger US dollar in the medium term ... that can put a ceiling to prevent the bulls from advancing further," said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.

JPMorgan analysts expect oil demand for January to expand by 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd) year on year to 101.4 million bpd, primarily driven by increased use of heating fuels in the Northern Hemisphere.

"Global oil demand is expected to remain strong throughout January, fuelled by colder than normal winter conditions that are boosting heating fuel consumption, as well as an earlier onset of travel activities in China for the Lunar New Year holidays," the analysts said.

The market structure in Brent futures is also indicating that traders are becoming more concerned about supply tightening at the same time demand is increasing.

The premium of the front-month Brent contract over the six-month contract reached its widest since August on Wednesday. A widening of this backwardation, when futures for prompt delivery are higher than for later delivery, typically indicates that supply is declining or demand is increasing.

Nevertheless, official Energy Information Administration (EIA) data showed rising gasoline and distillates stockpiles in the United States last week.

The dollar strengthened further on Thursday, underpinned by rising Treasury yields ahead of US President-elect Donald Trump's entrance into the White House on Jan. 20.

Looking ahead, WTI crude oil is expected to oscillate within a range of $67.55 to $77.95 into February as the market awaits more clarity on Trump's administration policies and fresh fiscal stimulus measures out of China, OANDA's Wong said.