Saudi Arabia Pushes for Oil Market Balance, Stability

General view of Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura oil refinery and oil terminal in Saudi Arabia. (Reuters file photo)
General view of Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura oil refinery and oil terminal in Saudi Arabia. (Reuters file photo)
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Saudi Arabia Pushes for Oil Market Balance, Stability

General view of Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura oil refinery and oil terminal in Saudi Arabia. (Reuters file photo)
General view of Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura oil refinery and oil terminal in Saudi Arabia. (Reuters file photo)

Saudi Arabia is exerting strenuous efforts to achieve the stability of the oil sector in the global economy, experts told Asharq Al-Awsat.

Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques King Salman bin Abdulaziz stressed, during a telephone call with US President Joe Biden on Wednesday, the importance of maintaining the balance and stability of oil markets and the role of the OPEC+ agreement in this regard.

The experts noted that Saudi Arabia has strengthened the collective decision-making within the OPEC+ alliance, in order to increase production if required and to address the main problems with a long-term vision, emphasizing the Kingdom’s role as a global energy safety valve.

Dr. Mohammad Al-Sabban, former senior advisor to the Saudi Minister of Oil, told Asharq Al-Awsat that King Salman’s statements reaffirmed Saudi efforts to maintain balance and stability in oil markets, noting that the OPEC+ agreement was historic and relied on the collective decision of the alliance members.

Al-Sabban indicated that in the event of a shortage in market supplies, OPEC+ would perform its role with the required long-term response, because short and intermittent solutions would not meet the objective to face the rise in prices.

Energy expert Mohammed al-Dhabi told Asharq Al-Awsat that the Kingdom assumed a historical and strategic role in maintaining the balance of energy markets and was aware of the importance of the price stability on the global economy and on producing and importing countries.

Saudi Arabia has on many occasions proven that it is the most important influencer in the oil markets, he underlined. In addition to its production capabilities and huge surpluses, the Kingdom has the ability to lead agreements that ensure the safety of markets.

According to al-Dhabi, these capabilities have given the oil markets a strategic depth as the Kingdom has a production surplus of more than 3 million barrels per day and is able to pump it to the markets in the event of a supply shortfall for any reason. It can also reduce production in large quantities in case of a supply glut, without affecting its economy.

The expert also stated that during the Covid-19 crisis and its severe impact on the global economy, Saudi Arabia confirmed its role as a world energy safety valve.



Dollar Strengthens on Elevated US Bond Yields, Tariff Talks

A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
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Dollar Strengthens on Elevated US Bond Yields, Tariff Talks

A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo

The dollar rose for a second day on Wednesday on higher US bond yields, sending other major currencies to multi-month lows, with a report that Donald Trump was mulling emergency measures to allow for a new tariff program also lending support.

The already-firm dollar climbed higher on Wednesday after CNN reported that President-elect Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency as legal justification for a large swath of universal tariffs on allies and adversaries.

The dollar index was last up 0.5% at 109.24, not far from the two-year peak of 109.58 it hit last week, Reuters reported.

Its gains were broad-based, with the euro down 0.43% at $1.0293 and Britain's pound under particular pressure, down 1.09% at $1.2342.

Data on Tuesday showed US job openings unexpectedly rose in November and layoffs were low, while a separate survey showed US services sector activity accelerated in December and a measure of input prices hit a two-year high - a possible inflation warning.

Bond markets reacted by sending 10-year Treasury yields up more than eight basis points on Tuesday, with the yield climbing to 4.728% on Wednesday.

"We're getting very strong US numbers... which has rates going up," said Bart Wakabayashi, Tokyo branch manager at State Street, pushing expectations of Fed rate cuts out to the northern summer or beyond.

"There's even the discussion about, will they cut, or may they even hike? The narrative has changed quite significantly."

Markets are now pricing in just 36 basis points of easing from the Fed this year, with a first cut in July.

US private payrolls data due later in the session will be eyed for further clues on the likely path of US rates.

Traders are jittery ahead of key US labor data on Friday and the inauguration of Donald Trump on Jan. 20, with his second US presidency expected to begin with a flurry of policy announcements and executive orders.

The move in the pound drew particular attention, as it came alongside a sharp sell-off in British stocks and government bonds. The 10-year gilt yield is at its highest since 2008.

Higher yields in general are more likely to lead to a stronger currency, but not in this case.

"With a non-data driven rise in yields that is not driven by any positive news - and the trigger seems to be inflation concern in the US, and Treasuries are selling off - the correlation inverts," said Francesco Pesole, currency analyst at ING.

"That doesn't happen for every currency, but the pound remains more sensitive than most other currencies to a rise in yields, likely because there's still this lack of confidence in the sustainability of budget measures."

Markets did not welcome the budget from Britain's new Labor government late last year.

Elsewhere, the yen sagged close to the 160 per dollar level that drew intervention last year, touching 158.55, its weakest on the dollar for nearly six months.

Japan's consumer sentiment deteriorated in December, a government survey showed, casting doubt on the central bank's view that solid household spending will underpin the economy and justify a rise in interest rates.

China's yuan hit 7.3322 per dollar, the lowest level since September 2023.