Saudi Arabia Pushes for Oil Market Balance, Stability

General view of Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura oil refinery and oil terminal in Saudi Arabia. (Reuters file photo)
General view of Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura oil refinery and oil terminal in Saudi Arabia. (Reuters file photo)
TT

Saudi Arabia Pushes for Oil Market Balance, Stability

General view of Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura oil refinery and oil terminal in Saudi Arabia. (Reuters file photo)
General view of Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura oil refinery and oil terminal in Saudi Arabia. (Reuters file photo)

Saudi Arabia is exerting strenuous efforts to achieve the stability of the oil sector in the global economy, experts told Asharq Al-Awsat.

Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques King Salman bin Abdulaziz stressed, during a telephone call with US President Joe Biden on Wednesday, the importance of maintaining the balance and stability of oil markets and the role of the OPEC+ agreement in this regard.

The experts noted that Saudi Arabia has strengthened the collective decision-making within the OPEC+ alliance, in order to increase production if required and to address the main problems with a long-term vision, emphasizing the Kingdom’s role as a global energy safety valve.

Dr. Mohammad Al-Sabban, former senior advisor to the Saudi Minister of Oil, told Asharq Al-Awsat that King Salman’s statements reaffirmed Saudi efforts to maintain balance and stability in oil markets, noting that the OPEC+ agreement was historic and relied on the collective decision of the alliance members.

Al-Sabban indicated that in the event of a shortage in market supplies, OPEC+ would perform its role with the required long-term response, because short and intermittent solutions would not meet the objective to face the rise in prices.

Energy expert Mohammed al-Dhabi told Asharq Al-Awsat that the Kingdom assumed a historical and strategic role in maintaining the balance of energy markets and was aware of the importance of the price stability on the global economy and on producing and importing countries.

Saudi Arabia has on many occasions proven that it is the most important influencer in the oil markets, he underlined. In addition to its production capabilities and huge surpluses, the Kingdom has the ability to lead agreements that ensure the safety of markets.

According to al-Dhabi, these capabilities have given the oil markets a strategic depth as the Kingdom has a production surplus of more than 3 million barrels per day and is able to pump it to the markets in the event of a supply shortfall for any reason. It can also reduce production in large quantities in case of a supply glut, without affecting its economy.

The expert also stated that during the Covid-19 crisis and its severe impact on the global economy, Saudi Arabia confirmed its role as a world energy safety valve.



Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
TT

Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices were little changed on Thursday as investors weighed firm winter fuel demand expectations against large US fuel inventories and macroeconomic concerns.

Brent crude futures were down 3 cents at $76.13 a barrel by 1003 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures dipped 10 cents to $73.22.

Both benchmarks fell more than 1% on Wednesday as a stronger dollar and a bigger than expected rise in US fuel stockpiles pressured prices.

"The oil market is still grappling with opposite forces - seasonal demand to support the bulls and macro data that supports a stronger US dollar in the medium term ... that can put a ceiling to prevent the bulls from advancing further," said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.

JPMorgan analysts expect oil demand for January to expand by 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd) year on year to 101.4 million bpd, primarily driven by increased use of heating fuels in the Northern Hemisphere.

"Global oil demand is expected to remain strong throughout January, fuelled by colder than normal winter conditions that are boosting heating fuel consumption, as well as an earlier onset of travel activities in China for the Lunar New Year holidays," the analysts said.

The market structure in Brent futures is also indicating that traders are becoming more concerned about supply tightening at the same time demand is increasing.

The premium of the front-month Brent contract over the six-month contract reached its widest since August on Wednesday. A widening of this backwardation, when futures for prompt delivery are higher than for later delivery, typically indicates that supply is declining or demand is increasing.

Nevertheless, official Energy Information Administration (EIA) data showed rising gasoline and distillates stockpiles in the United States last week.

The dollar strengthened further on Thursday, underpinned by rising Treasury yields ahead of US President-elect Donald Trump's entrance into the White House on Jan. 20.

Looking ahead, WTI crude oil is expected to oscillate within a range of $67.55 to $77.95 into February as the market awaits more clarity on Trump's administration policies and fresh fiscal stimulus measures out of China, OANDA's Wong said.