100-Mln-Barrel Oil Reserve Discovered in Egypt’s Gulf of Suez

Egyptian Minister of Petroleum Tarek El Molla meets the Secretary-General of OPEC, Mohammad Barkindo (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Egyptian Minister of Petroleum Tarek El Molla meets the Secretary-General of OPEC, Mohammad Barkindo (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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100-Mln-Barrel Oil Reserve Discovered in Egypt’s Gulf of Suez

Egyptian Minister of Petroleum Tarek El Molla meets the Secretary-General of OPEC, Mohammad Barkindo (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Egyptian Minister of Petroleum Tarek El Molla meets the Secretary-General of OPEC, Mohammad Barkindo (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Egypt announced on Tuesday finding an oil reserve of around 100 million barrels in the Gulf of Suez, the biggest oil discovery in the area in over two decades.

The Egyptian Ministry of Petroleum and Mineral Resources said that the initial expected oil stock is about 100 million barrels found northeast of the Gulf of Suez. It predicted that the oil reserve might include more barrels that could be discovered and extracted after kickstarting a development plan.

In a statement reviewed by Asharq Al-Awsat, the ministry said that the oil reserve is one of the first discoveries made by Dubai-based Dragon Oil Ltd after it had completed the purchase of BP’s BP.L oil concessions in Egypt’s Gulf of Suez.

Egyptian Minister of Petroleum Tarek El Molla met on Tuesday with Dragon Oil president Ali Al Jarwan, on the sidelines of the EGYPS (Egypt Petroleum Show) 2022 conference, underway in Cairo.

Molla held bilateral meetings with the Secretary-General of OPEC Mohammad Barkindo and Executive Director of the International Energy Agency (IEA) Fatih Birol.

During the meeting with Birol, Molla discussed ways to support joint cooperation between Egypt and IEA in the fields of clean energy in light of the global energy map shift and the impact of new supply and demand patterns, amid calls to rely on cleaner energy sources.

Molla stressed that the IEA has a long experience in the fields of research, development, and improvement of energy efficiency and its uses, and has valuable publications concerned with global energy issues.

For his part, Barkindo praised Egypt’s achievements in the energy field over the years.

During the meeting, Barkindo also highlighted Egypt’s strategic location among oil-producing and consuming countries.

Barkindo expressed pleasure at his participation in the activities of the fifth edition of EGYPS.

Molla said that the discussions reviewed the current situation of the global oil markets, the successive developments and significant challenges being witnessed.

His talks with Barkindo also tackled available opportunities to achieve a state of balance between supply and demand for oil, as well as the opportunities of the global energy sector to launch a new phase in the transition to clean energy and climate change.



US Tariffs Could Slow China's Growth to 4.5% in 2025

People walk past a billboard which reads I love Beijing, Happy New Year at 798 art district, ahead of the upcoming Lunar New Year, marking the Year of the Snake, in Beijing on January 14, 2025. (Photo by JADE GAO / AFP)
People walk past a billboard which reads I love Beijing, Happy New Year at 798 art district, ahead of the upcoming Lunar New Year, marking the Year of the Snake, in Beijing on January 14, 2025. (Photo by JADE GAO / AFP)
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US Tariffs Could Slow China's Growth to 4.5% in 2025

People walk past a billboard which reads I love Beijing, Happy New Year at 798 art district, ahead of the upcoming Lunar New Year, marking the Year of the Snake, in Beijing on January 14, 2025. (Photo by JADE GAO / AFP)
People walk past a billboard which reads I love Beijing, Happy New Year at 798 art district, ahead of the upcoming Lunar New Year, marking the Year of the Snake, in Beijing on January 14, 2025. (Photo by JADE GAO / AFP)

China's economic growth is likely to slow to 4.5% in 2025 and cool further to 4.2% in 2026, a Reuters poll showed, with policymakers poised to roll out fresh stimulus measures to soften the blow from impending US tariff hikes.

Gross domestic product (GDP) likely grew 4.9% in 2024 - largely meeting the government's annual growth target of around 5%, helped by stimulus measures and strong exports, according to the median forecasts of 64 economists polled by Reuters.

But the world's second-largest economy faces heightened trade tensions with the United States as President-elect Donald Trump, who has proposed hefty tariffs on Chinese goods, is set to return to the White House next week.

“Potential US tariff hikes are the biggest headwind for China's growth this year, and could affect exports, corporate capex and household consumption,” analysts at UBS said in a note.

“We (also) foresee property activity continuing to fall in 2025, though with a smaller drag on growth.”

Growth likely improved to 5.0% in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, quickening from the third-quarter's 4.6% pace as a flurry of support measures began to kick in, the poll showed.

On a quarterly basis, the economy is forecast to grow 1.6% in the fourth quarter, compared with 0.9% in July-September, the poll showed.

The government is due to release fourth-quarter and full-year GDP data, along with December activity data, on Friday.

China's economy has struggled for traction since a post-pandemic rebound quickly fizzled out, with a protracted property crisis, weak demand and high local government debt levels weighing heavily on activity, souring both business and consumer confidence.

Policymakers have unveiled a blitz of stimulus measures since September, including cuts in interest rates and banks' reserve requirements ratios (RRR) and a 10 trillion yuan ($1.36 trillion) municipal debt package.

They have also expanded a trade-in scheme for consumer goods such as appliances and autos, helping to revive retail sales.

Analysts expect more stimulus to be rolled out this year, but say the scope and size of China's moves may depend on how quickly and aggressively Trump implements tariffs or other punitive measures.

More stimulus on the cards

At an agenda-setting meeting in December, Chinese leaders pledged to increase the budget deficit, issue more debt and loosen monetary policy to support economic growth in 2025.

Leaders have agreed to maintain an annual growth target of around 5% for this year, backed by a record high budget deficit ratio of 4% and 3 trillion yuan in special treasury bonds, Reuters has reported, citing sources.

The government is expected to unveil growth targets and stimulus plans during the annual parliament meeting in March.

Faced with mounting economic risks and deflationary pressures, top leaders in December ditched their 14-year-old “prudent” monetary policy stance for a “moderately loose” posture.

China's central bank is expected to deploy its most aggressive monetary tactics in a decade this year as it tries to revive the economy, but in doing so it risks quickly exhausting its firepower. It has already had to repeatedly shore up its defense of the yuan currency as downward pressure pushes it to 16-month lows.

Analysts polled by Reuters expected the central bank to cut the seven-day reverse repo rate, its key policy rate, by 10 basis points in the first quarter, leading to a same cut in the one-year loan prime rate (LPR) - the benchmark lending rate.

The PBOC may also cut the weighted average reserve requirement ratio (RRR) for banks by at least 25 basis points in the first quarter, the poll showed, after two cuts in 2024.

Consumer inflation will likely pick up to 0.8% in 2025 from 0.2% in 2024, and rise further to 1.4% in 2026, the poll showed.