IMF Calls for Structural Economic Reforms in Tunisia

Tunisians buying fruits in Tunis (File photo: Reuters)
Tunisians buying fruits in Tunis (File photo: Reuters)
TT

IMF Calls for Structural Economic Reforms in Tunisia

Tunisians buying fruits in Tunis (File photo: Reuters)
Tunisians buying fruits in Tunis (File photo: Reuters)

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) mission concluded virtual talks on Tunisia by calling on the authorities to implement structural economic reforms.

Tunisian sources reported that the Fund stressed the need to reduce subsidies on essential goods such as petrol and staple foods, adding that state resources should be invested in education, health, and infrastructure.

IMF representatives conducted virtual discussions between Feb. 14 and 22 with Finance Minister Sihem Boughdiri, Central Bank Governor Marouane Abbasi, and concerned officials to implement needed economic reforms.

The IMF mission held extensive meetings over a week with the officials and ministers to reach an agreement on the financial support program between the two parties.

However, evidence and the few statements issued after the sessions were discouraging, indicating difficulty reaching an agreement.

The Tunisian authorities did not adhere to the Fund's recommendations and conditions.

Meanwhile, the IMF will hold another meeting to determine its position on the Tunisian financial program.

It called on the Tunisian authorities to implement reforms on subsidiaries, urging for better control on wages of state employees. These demands could complicate negotiations between the two parties, given the possibly severe repercussions on the social and economic levels.

The sessions touched on the need to reduce the fiscal deficit at the state budget level, enhance tax fairness, encourage the participation of the private sector in investment, and implement wide-ranging reforms for public institutions, most of which suffer from severe financial difficulties.

Minister of Economy Samir Said denied reports claiming subsidies would be canceled in Tunisia, despite it being one of the IMF's primary conditions for financing the Tunisian economy and obtaining a financial loan of about $4 billion.

IMF envoy to Tunisia Jerome Vacher confirmed that Tunis sought international funding after the economic recession, which reached unprecedented levels.

Vacher described the situation as the "worst recession since independence" in 1956.

"The country had pre-existing problems, in particular budget deficits and public debt, which have worsened," he said.

Its GDP plunged by almost nine percent in 2020, the worst rate in North Africa, only modestly offset by a three percent bounce back last year.

That is "quite weak and far from enough" to create jobs to counteract an unemployment rate of 18 percent, Vacher said.



Firm Dollar Keeps Pound, Euro and Yen Under Pressure

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
TT

Firm Dollar Keeps Pound, Euro and Yen Under Pressure

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo

The US dollar charged ahead on Thursday, underpinned by rising Treasury yields, putting the yen, sterling and euro under pressure near multi-month lows amid the shifting threat of tariffs.

The focus for markets in 2025 has been on US President-elect Donald Trump's agenda as he steps back into the White House on Jan. 20, with analysts expecting his policies to both bolster growth and add to price pressures, according to Reuters.

CNN on Wednesday reported that Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to provide legal justification for a series of universal tariffs on allies and adversaries. On Monday, the Washington Post said Trump was looking at more nuanced tariffs, which he later denied.

Concerns that policies introduced by the Trump administration could reignite inflation has led bond yields higher, with the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note hitting 4.73% on Wednesday, its highest since April 25. It was at 4.6709% on Thursday.

"Trump's shifting narrative on tariffs has undoubtedly had an effect on USD. It seems this capriciousness is something markets will have to adapt to over the coming four years," said Kieran Williams, head of Asia FX at InTouch Capital Markets.

The bond market selloff has left the dollar standing tall and casting a shadow on the currency market.

Among the most affected was the pound, which was headed for its biggest three-day drop in nearly two years.

Sterling slid to $1.2239 on Thursday, its weakest since November 2023, even as British government bond yields hit multi-year highs.

Ordinarily, higher gilt yields would support the pound, but not in this case.

The sell-off in UK government bond markets resumed on Thursday, with 10-year and 30-year gilt yields jumping again in early trading, as confidence in Britain's fiscal outlook deteriorates.

"Such a simultaneous sell-off in currency and bonds is rather unusual for a G10 country," said Michael Pfister, FX analyst at Commerzbank.

"It seems to be the culmination of a development that began several months ago. The new Labour government's approval ratings are at record lows just a few months after the election, and business and consumer sentiment is severely depressed."

Sterling was last down about 0.69% at $1.2282.

The euro also eased, albeit less than the pound, to $1.0302, lurking close to the two-year low it hit last week as investors remain worried the single currency may fall to the key $1 mark this year due to tariff uncertainties.

The yen hovered near the key 160 per dollar mark that led to Tokyo intervening in the market last July, after it touched a near six-month low of 158.55 on Wednesday.

Though it strengthened a bit on the day and was last at 158.15 per dollar. That all left the dollar index, which measures the US currency against six other units, up 0.15% and at 109.18, just shy of the two-year high it touched last week.

Also in the mix were the Federal Reserve minutes of its December meeting, released on Wednesday, which showed the central bank flagged new inflation concerns and officials saw a rising risk the incoming administration's plans may slow economic growth and raise unemployment.

With US markets closed on Thursday, the spotlight will be on Friday's payrolls report as investors parse through data to gauge when the Fed will next cut rates.