Algeria's Sonatrach: We Cannot Replace Russian Gas Deliveries

The logo of the state energy company Sonatrach is pictured at the headquarters in Algiers. (Reuters)
The logo of the state energy company Sonatrach is pictured at the headquarters in Algiers. (Reuters)
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Algeria's Sonatrach: We Cannot Replace Russian Gas Deliveries

The logo of the state energy company Sonatrach is pictured at the headquarters in Algiers. (Reuters)
The logo of the state energy company Sonatrach is pictured at the headquarters in Algiers. (Reuters)

Algeria's Sonatrach CEO Toufik Hakkar explained that Algeria currently has some billions of cubic meters of gas in surplus, but they are insufficient to replace Russian gas deliveries to meet Europe's gas needs.

He announced that Sonatrach discovered three oil fields this year.

This comes in parallel with mounting tension between the EU and Russia due to the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Russia exports about 40 percent of Europe's gas demand annually.

The role of Arab states to provide Europe with gas in substitution for the Russian gas has appeared clearly during this crisis.

Although gas and oil prices have soared after the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Algeria has decided to maintain “relatively appropriate” contractual prices with all of its customers, according to Hakkar.

However, Hakkar did not rule out “recalculating the gas price” destined for Spain, without providing further details.

Spain, which relies heavily on Algeria in gas supplies, made a radical change in its stance toward Western Sahara. The Spanish government expressed support for Morocco's plan to grant the Western Sahara autonomy.

The CEO of Algeria’s state-owned energy giant Sonatrach said on Friday that the company plans to invest 40 billion US dollars in oil and gas exploration and production between 2022 and 2026.

The year 2022 “bears promising prospects for Sonatrach’s oil exploration and production,” the Algeria Press Service quoted Hakkar as saying.

Algeria’s Ministry of Energy and Mines affirmed on Thursday that the country’s oil output will move from 1,002,000 barrels per day in April to 1,013,000 barrels per day in May based on the 27th OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting.



Oil Prices Set for Second Annual Loss in a Row, Stable Day on Day

FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
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Oil Prices Set for Second Annual Loss in a Row, Stable Day on Day

FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo

Oil prices were on track to end 2024 with a second consecutive year of losses on Tuesday, but were steady on the day as data showing an expansion in Chinese manufacturing was balanced by Nigeria targeting higher output next year.

Brent crude futures fell by 7 cents, or 0.09%, to $73.92 a barrel as of 1306 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude lost 4 cents, or 0.06%, to $70.95 a barrel.

At those levels, Brent was down around 4% from its final 2023 close price of $77.04, while WTI was down around 1% from where it settled on Dec. 29 last year at $71.65.

In September, Brent futures closed below $70 a barrel for the first time since December 2021, while their highest closing price of 2024 at $91.17 was also the lowest since 2021, as the impacts of a post-pandemic rebound in demand and price shocks from Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine began to fade.

According to Reuters, oil prices are likely to be constrained near $70 a barrel in 2025 as weak demand from China and rising global supplies are expected to cast a shadow on OPEC+-led efforts to shore up the market, a Reuters monthly poll showed on Tuesday.

A weaker demand outlook in China in particular forced both the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and the International Energy Agency (IEA) to cut their oil demand growth expectations for 2024 and 2025.

With non-OPEC supply also set to rise, the IEA sees the oil market going into 2025 in a state of surplus, even after OPEC and its allies delayed their plan to start raising output until April 2025 against a backdrop of falling prices.

Investors will also be watching the Federal Reserve's rate cut outlook for 2025 after central bank policymakers earlier this month projected a slower path due to stubbornly high inflation.

Lower interest rates generally incentivise borrowing and fuel growth, which in turn is expected to boost oil demand.

Markets are also gearing up for US President-elect Donald Trump's policies around looser regulation, tax cuts, tariff hikes and tighter immigration, as well as potential geopolitical shifts from Trump's calls for an immediate ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine war, as well as the possible re-imposition of the so-called "maximum pressure" policy towards Iran.

Prices were supported on Tuesday by data showing China's manufacturing activity expanded for a third straight month in December but at a slower pace, suggesting a blitz of fresh stimulus is helping to support the world's second-largest economy.

However, that was balanced out by potential for higher supply next year, as Nigeria said it is targeting national production of 3 million barrels per day (bpd) next year, up from its current level of around 1.8 million bpd.