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Fitch Cuts China's 2022 GDP Forecast on COVID Hit

People line up for PCR tests in Bejing, China. Reuters
People line up for PCR tests in Bejing, China. Reuters
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Fitch Cuts China's 2022 GDP Forecast on COVID Hit

People line up for PCR tests in Bejing, China. Reuters
People line up for PCR tests in Bejing, China. Reuters

Fitch said on Tuesday it has cut China's GDP growth forecast for 2022 to 4.3% from 4.8%, saying pandemic-related disruptions have had an impact on the country's economy in the first two quarters of the year.

The rating agency said it stills expects a quarter-over-quarter GDP contraction in the second quarter, before the economy starts to recover.

Fitch raised its 2023 growth forecast for the country slightly higher to 5.2% from 5.1%.

Meanwhile, an official said at a press briefing on Tuesday Beijing will postpone school reopening for at least one week after the labor day holiday.

The date when schools can resume will be decided after studying the COVID situation in the city, Li Yi, spokesperson with Beijing municipal education commission, said.

Some of Shanghai's 25 million people came out for brief walks and grocery shopping after enduring more than a month under a COVID lockdown, while Beijing embarked on another round of mass testing to control a nascent outbreak.

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Saudi Arabia Reviews Arbitration Law to Boost Commercial Competitiveness

King Abdullah Financial Center in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
King Abdullah Financial Center in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia Reviews Arbitration Law to Boost Commercial Competitiveness

King Abdullah Financial Center in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
King Abdullah Financial Center in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)

In a move to strengthen its commercial environment and align with international best practices, Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Commerce is undertaking a comprehensive review of the Kingdom’s current arbitration law.
According to information available to Asharq Al-Awsat, the initiative is part of broader legislative reforms aimed at enhancing legal certainty and investor confidence in Saudi Arabia’s business landscape.
Arbitration—an alternative dispute resolution mechanism where parties agree to settle disputes through neutral arbitrators rather than traditional courts—is commonly used in commercial and civil cases, excluding personal status matters.

According to sources familiar with the matter, the ministry is actively engaging with stakeholders from the private sector, including investors and entrepreneurs, to solicit feedback on the current arbitration framework. The goal is to identify key challenges and practical gaps, and to ensure that the updated legislation is responsive to real-world commercial needs.

The review covers a wide range of issues within the existing arbitration system. Among the ministry’s priorities is assessing whether the current legal text is sufficiently clear and whether it adequately defines key terms used in arbitration proceedings. Officials are also examining the scope of the law’s applicability, particularly in international disputes, and evaluating whether existing criteria for cross-border arbitration have posed implementation challenges.

The ministry is seeking insights on the clarity of mandatory versus supplementary legal provisions, judicial jurisdiction over nullification claims, and the effectiveness of procedural regulations. Feedback is also being collected on the legal capacity of corporate entities to enter into arbitration agreements, as well as the validity of arbitration clauses included in contracts or signed post-dispute.

Another area of focus is the process for determining and agreeing on arbitrators’ fees. The Ministry is exploring ways to streamline this process and address practical issues related to arbitrator challenges and disqualifications.
Established in 2014 by a Cabinet decision, the Saudi Center for Commercial Arbitration (SCCA) serves as the Kingdom’s primary institutional body for overseeing arbitration and mediation. It operates as a non-profit entity governed by recognized judicial and commercial principles.

The SCCA has reported a notable uptick in caseload: in 2024, the center registered 120 new cases—a 30 percent increase over the previous year. Arbitration cases alone surged 59 percent, rising from 46 to 73. The total value of disputes reached SAR 1.1 billion ($293 million), while the average time to resolve a case remained under six months.