Emir of Qatar Says Global Economy to Shrink by a Third

Sheikh Tamim delivers a speech at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum 2022. (QNA)
Sheikh Tamim delivers a speech at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum 2022. (QNA)
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Emir of Qatar Says Global Economy to Shrink by a Third

Sheikh Tamim delivers a speech at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum 2022. (QNA)
Sheikh Tamim delivers a speech at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum 2022. (QNA)

Emir of Qatar Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani warned on Tuesday of a wave of global economic stagnation and inflation that the world has not seen in 45 years, citing a slowdown of growth in the global economy by about a third this year.

Speaking at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum 2022, Sheikh Tamim said the economic forecasts indicating a slowdown of growth in the global economy could be a prelude to an inflationary recession the world has never seen since the period between 1976 and 1979, according to the world bank reports.

Back then, sharp rises in the interest rates to combat inflation led to the economic recession of the early 1980s.

International indicators

He said positive health indicators have risen after the lifting of coronavirus pandemic restrictions, recovery of trade flow, increase in public spending, and growth in global demand at all levels.

However, the confusion that has impacted the supply chains is still among the significant factors that are driving up prices, in addition to the devastating effects of the ongoing war in Ukraine.

"The pandemic has revealed the extent of the gap between the rich and poor nations and contributed to its expansion, especially during the faltering efforts to achieve development and reduce poverty," said Sheikh Tamim.

He called on the international community to adopt an approach to achieve equality in economic recovery between countries and save sustainable development goals.

Ukrainian crisis

Sheikh Tamim addressed the impact of the Ukrainian crisis and the rise in energy and grain prices, which have affected the global economy.

He warned of the immediate humanitarian repercussions resulting from the war in Ukraine on crises in Ethiopia, Yemen, and Syria, which "may immediately result in exposing hundreds of thousands of people to the risk of starvation."

He admitted that some issued had no economic solution, including the war and its devastating consequences on Ukraine and many other countries and peoples.

He proposed a politically-oriented solution, warning that the food crisis should neither be left to the law of supply and demand, nor should the issue of extreme poverty be left to developing countries to face alone.

Qatar's economy

Sheikh Tamim tackled economic growth in his country, saying Qatar's gross domestic product growth outlook in 2022 is forecasted to be 4.9 percent.

He attributed this growth to the rise in energy prices and the positive impact of the policies and procedures adopted by the government to support the economic sectors, boosting the private sector's production capacity and adapting to regional and global variables.

He recalled the measures taken by the authorities in economic diversification, noting that some legislative amendments were introduced to facilitate commercial transactions, bolster competition, protect the consumer, encourage the industrial and technological sector, support the national products' competitiveness and increase the foreign direct investment by allowing full foreign investors ownership of companies.

Sheikh Tamim noted that these efforts led to a significant increase in domestic and foreign investment volume in recent years, especially in foreign direct investment, which increased by 27 percent during 2021 compared to 2020.

"We hope this growth will continue to rise in the coming years in accordance with the adopted plans."

Qatari-Egyptian relationship

Meanwhile, Minister of Finance Ali al-Kuwari announced at the Forum that Qatar would continue its investments in Egypt, describing the relations between Doha and Cairo as "brotherly and historic".

He stressed that Qatar also wants to get investment returns in Egypt.

Egypt's Minister of Trade and Industry Nevine Gamea revealed that both countries are discussing ways of increasing investment volume and expanding them in new areas.

Qatar and Egypt agreed to launch a joint business council which will consist of businessmen who will work on boosting economic relations, investment, and trade between the two countries.

ExxonMobil

Meanwhile, QatarEnergy signed an agreement with the US company, ExxonMobil, to further develop Qatar's North Field East project, the world's largest liquefied natural gas (LNG) project.

The Qatar News Agency stated that ExxonMobil boasts a 6.2 percent share in the $30 billion North East Field expansion project.

Qatar, the world's largest exporter of liquefied natural gas, has partnered with several international companies to participate in the project, which will boost Doha's position as the biggest LNG exporter in the world.

The North Field expansion includes six LNG trains that will increase Qatar's annual LNG capacity from 77 million tons per year to 110 million tons by 2026, cementing its position as the world's largest producer.



Iraq Says International Firms in Kurdistan Obliged to Transfer Crude Under Deal

A handout picture released by Iraq's Prime Minister's Media Office on January 2, 2025, shows a partial view of the oil refinery of Baiji north of Baghdad, during the inauguration ceremony of the fourth and fifth units. (Iraqi Prime Minister's Media Office / AFP)
A handout picture released by Iraq's Prime Minister's Media Office on January 2, 2025, shows a partial view of the oil refinery of Baiji north of Baghdad, during the inauguration ceremony of the fourth and fifth units. (Iraqi Prime Minister's Media Office / AFP)
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Iraq Says International Firms in Kurdistan Obliged to Transfer Crude Under Deal

A handout picture released by Iraq's Prime Minister's Media Office on January 2, 2025, shows a partial view of the oil refinery of Baiji north of Baghdad, during the inauguration ceremony of the fourth and fifth units. (Iraqi Prime Minister's Media Office / AFP)
A handout picture released by Iraq's Prime Minister's Media Office on January 2, 2025, shows a partial view of the oil refinery of Baiji north of Baghdad, during the inauguration ceremony of the fourth and fifth units. (Iraqi Prime Minister's Media Office / AFP)

Iraq’s state oil marketer SOMO said on Sunday international producers in Kurdistan were still obliged to send it their crude under a September export agreement, after Norway's DNO said it would not take part in the agreement. 

SOMO said its statement was in response to a Reuters report in ‌September which ‌quoted DNO as ‌saying ⁠it would ‌sell directly to the Kurdish region and had no immediate plans to ship through the Iraq-Türkiye pipeline. 

The September deal between Iraq's oil ministry, Kurdistan's ministry of natural resources and producing companies stipulated that SOMO ⁠will export crude from Kurdish oil fields through ‌the Türkiye pipeline. 

At the ‍time, DNO - the ‍largest international oil producer active in ‍Kurdistan - welcomed the deal but did not sign it, saying it wanted more clarity on how outstanding debts would be paid. 

It said it would continue to sell directly to the semi-autonomous region of ⁠Kurdistan. 

SOMO said on Sunday the Kurdistan ministry of natural resources had reaffirmed its commitment to the deal "under which all international companies engaged in extraction and production in the region's fields are required to deliver the quantities of crude oil they produce in the region to SOMO, except for the quantities allocated ‌for local consumption in the region." 


How 2025 Decisions Redrew the Future of Riyadh’s Real Estate Market

Construction is seen at a real estate project in Riyadh. (SPA)
Construction is seen at a real estate project in Riyadh. (SPA)
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How 2025 Decisions Redrew the Future of Riyadh’s Real Estate Market

Construction is seen at a real estate project in Riyadh. (SPA)
Construction is seen at a real estate project in Riyadh. (SPA)

The Saudi capital underwent an unprecedented structural shift in its real estate market in 2025, driven by a forward-looking agenda led by Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Crown Prince and Prime Minister. Far from incremental regulation, the year’s measures amounted to a deep corrective overhaul aimed at dismantling long-standing distortions, breaking land hoarding, expanding affordable housing supply, and firmly rebalancing landlord-tenant relations.

Together, the decisions ended years of speculation fueled by artificial scarcity and pushed the market toward maturity, one grounded in real demand, fair pricing, and transparency.

Observers dubbed 2025 a “white revolution” for Saudi real estate. The reforms severed the link between property and short-term speculation, restoring housing as a sustainable residential and investment product. Below is a detailed outline of the most significant of these historic decisions:

1- Unlocking land, boosting supply

In March, authorities lifted restrictions on sale, subdivision, development permits, and planning approvals for 81 million square meters north of Riyadh. A similar decision in October freed another 33.24 million square meters to the west.

The Royal Commission for Riyadh City was also mandated to deliver 10,000 - 40,000 fully serviced plots annually at subsidized prices capped at SAR 1,500 per square meter, curbing price manipulation and offering real alternatives for citizens.

2- Rent controls and contractual fairness

To stabilize households and businesses, the government froze annual rent increases for residential and commercial leases in Riyadh for five years starting in September. Enforced through the upgraded “Ejar” platform, the move halted arbitrary hikes while aligning growth with residents’ quality of life.

3- Tougher fees

An improved White Land Tax took effect in August, extending beyond vacant plots to include unoccupied built properties. Annual fees rose to as much as 10% of land value for parcels of 5,000 square meters or more within urban limits, raising the cost of land hoarding and incentivizing prompt development.

4- Investment openness and digital governance

A revised foreign ownership regime allowed non-Saudis - individuals and companies - to own property in designated zones under strict criteria, injecting international liquidity. Transparency was reinforced by the launch of the “Real Estate Balance” platform, providing real-time price indicators based on actual transactions and curbing phantom pricing.

5- Quality and urban standards

Policy shifted from quantity to quality with mandatory application of the Saudi Building Code and sustainability standards for all new developments, ensuring long-term operational value and preventing low-quality sprawl.

Structural shift

Sector specialists told Asharq Al-Awsat the measures represent a qualitative leap in market management, moving Riyadh from a scarcity and speculation-led cycle to a balanced market governed by genuine demand, efficient land use, disciplined contracts, and transparent indicators.

Khaled Al-Mobid, CEO of Menassat Realty Co., said the reforms were timely and corrective after years of rapid price escalation. He noted early positives: slowing price growth, a return to realistic negotiations, increased supply in some districts, and better-quality offerings focused on intrinsic value rather than quick appreciation.

Abdullah Al-Moussa, a real estate expert and broker, described the steps as addressing root causes, not symptoms.

He observed a behavioral shift, especially in northern Riyadh, from “hold and wait” to reassessment, alongside calmer price momentum, renewed interest in actual development, and clearer rental dynamics.

Saqr Al-Zahrani, another market expert, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the reforms tackled structural imbalances by breaking artificial scarcity created by undeveloped land banks.

Opening vast tracts north and west and introducing market-wide indicators restored “organized abundance,” aligning prices with real demand and purchasing power without heavy-handed intervention, he remarked.

He added that recent months have seen weaker demand for raw land and stalled auctions, contrasted with rising interest in off-plan sales and partnerships with developers.

Banks, too, have reprioritized toward projects with operational viability, lifting overall supply quality despite a temporary slowdown in some transactions.

Consumers, meanwhile, are showing greater patience and interest in self-build options, signaling a maturing market awareness.

Outlook

Experts expect the effects to continue through 2027, delivering broad price stability with limited corrections in overheated locations rather than sharp declines.

Homeownership, especially among young buyers, is projected to rise as capital shifts from land speculation to long-term development.

The 2025 decisions were not short-term fixes but the launch of a new social and economic trajectory for Riyadh’s property market, redefining real estate as a housing service and value-adding investment, not a speculative vessel.

As Riyadh advances toward becoming one of the world’s ten largest city economies, its real estate reset offers a model for aligning regulation with quality of life, transparency, and sustainable growth.


Deal to Export Oil from Kurdish Region to Continue with No Issues, Kurdish Rudaw Reports

A staff at an oilfield holds the flag of Kurdistan. (X)
A staff at an oilfield holds the flag of Kurdistan. (X)
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Deal to Export Oil from Kurdish Region to Continue with No Issues, Kurdish Rudaw Reports

A staff at an oilfield holds the flag of Kurdistan. (X)
A staff at an oilfield holds the flag of Kurdistan. (X)

Kurdistan broadcaster Rudaw quoted the ​vice president of Iraq's state oil company SOMO as saying ‌on Saturday that ‌the ‌oil ⁠export ​deal ‌between Baghdad and Erbil is set to be renewed with ⁠out issues, Reuters reported.

In September, ‌Iraq restarted ‍the ‍export of ‍oil from its Kurdish region to Türkiye after ​an interruption of more ⁠than two years following a deal between Baghdad and the Kurdish regional government.