High Interest Rates to Boost Profitability of Saudi Banks

Saudi Arabia is working to create the appropriate environment to ensure the durability of financial banks and the diversity of their products (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Saudi Arabia is working to create the appropriate environment to ensure the durability of financial banks and the diversity of their products (Asharq Al-Awsat)
TT

High Interest Rates to Boost Profitability of Saudi Banks

Saudi Arabia is working to create the appropriate environment to ensure the durability of financial banks and the diversity of their products (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Saudi Arabia is working to create the appropriate environment to ensure the durability of financial banks and the diversity of their products (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Fitch Ratings predicted that higher oil prices and interest rates will enhance the profitability of Saudi banks during 2022-2023.

This comes at a time when the loan-to-deposit ratio of Saudi banks is at its highest level in 15 years.

Fitch said that a 200bp increase in interest rates would boost Fitch-rated Saudi banks’ operating profit by 14%.

Fitch also expected that the costs of financing Saudi banks will decline after SAMA pumped 50 billion riyals into the banking system last June.

In other news, Saudi Arabia’s finance companies have demonstrated outstanding performance as their total assets reached SR67 billion ($17.85 billion) in 2021, a 26 % increase from 2020, according to a report by the Saudi Central Bank, also known as SAMA.

Aggregate capital surged 37% to SR19.6 billion in 2021 from SR14.3 billion in 2020.

Net profits also skyrocketed by 114% in 2021, achieving SR1.9 billion, the report stated.

The credit portfolio stood at SR68.1 billion at the end of 2021, a 26 % rise from its value in 2020.

New financing provided during 2021 amounted to SR25.4 billion, a 47 % increase from 2020.

Shareholder’s equity increased 30% to SR25.5 billion in 2021 compared to SR19.6 billion in 2020, the report added.

Looking at net profits breakdown by type of finance company, the non-real-estate ones have recorded SR1.4 billion while real estate finance companies received a net profit of SR0.4 billion in 2021.

Moreover, the share of non-real-estate finance companies in the total credit portfolio was 62% versus 38% for real estate finance ones.

The breakdown of credit portfolio by customer segment is 75% for retail customers, 22% for micro, small and medium enterprises, and 3% for corporates.

In the case of credit portfolios as per primary sectors, residential real estate made up 32%, followed by auto-finance loans at 27% and personal credit at 21%.

Evaluating the credit portfolio breakdown by economic activity, the top three sectors with the highest shares were trade at 21%, construction at 20%, services at 14%, and transportation and telecommunications at 9%.



Firm Dollar Keeps Pound, Euro and Yen Under Pressure

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
TT

Firm Dollar Keeps Pound, Euro and Yen Under Pressure

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo

The US dollar charged ahead on Thursday, underpinned by rising Treasury yields, putting the yen, sterling and euro under pressure near multi-month lows amid the shifting threat of tariffs.

The focus for markets in 2025 has been on US President-elect Donald Trump's agenda as he steps back into the White House on Jan. 20, with analysts expecting his policies to both bolster growth and add to price pressures, according to Reuters.

CNN on Wednesday reported that Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to provide legal justification for a series of universal tariffs on allies and adversaries. On Monday, the Washington Post said Trump was looking at more nuanced tariffs, which he later denied.

Concerns that policies introduced by the Trump administration could reignite inflation has led bond yields higher, with the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note hitting 4.73% on Wednesday, its highest since April 25. It was at 4.6709% on Thursday.

"Trump's shifting narrative on tariffs has undoubtedly had an effect on USD. It seems this capriciousness is something markets will have to adapt to over the coming four years," said Kieran Williams, head of Asia FX at InTouch Capital Markets.

The bond market selloff has left the dollar standing tall and casting a shadow on the currency market.

Among the most affected was the pound, which was headed for its biggest three-day drop in nearly two years.

Sterling slid to $1.2239 on Thursday, its weakest since November 2023, even as British government bond yields hit multi-year highs.

Ordinarily, higher gilt yields would support the pound, but not in this case.

The sell-off in UK government bond markets resumed on Thursday, with 10-year and 30-year gilt yields jumping again in early trading, as confidence in Britain's fiscal outlook deteriorates.

"Such a simultaneous sell-off in currency and bonds is rather unusual for a G10 country," said Michael Pfister, FX analyst at Commerzbank.

"It seems to be the culmination of a development that began several months ago. The new Labour government's approval ratings are at record lows just a few months after the election, and business and consumer sentiment is severely depressed."

Sterling was last down about 0.69% at $1.2282.

The euro also eased, albeit less than the pound, to $1.0302, lurking close to the two-year low it hit last week as investors remain worried the single currency may fall to the key $1 mark this year due to tariff uncertainties.

The yen hovered near the key 160 per dollar mark that led to Tokyo intervening in the market last July, after it touched a near six-month low of 158.55 on Wednesday.

Though it strengthened a bit on the day and was last at 158.15 per dollar. That all left the dollar index, which measures the US currency against six other units, up 0.15% and at 109.18, just shy of the two-year high it touched last week.

Also in the mix were the Federal Reserve minutes of its December meeting, released on Wednesday, which showed the central bank flagged new inflation concerns and officials saw a rising risk the incoming administration's plans may slow economic growth and raise unemployment.

With US markets closed on Thursday, the spotlight will be on Friday's payrolls report as investors parse through data to gauge when the Fed will next cut rates.