Saudi Arabia Posts Highest Economic Growth Since 2011

A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
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Saudi Arabia Posts Highest Economic Growth Since 2011

A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)

The Saudi General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT) revealed on Sunday that the Kingdom’s real gross domestic product (GDP) jumped by 11.8 % year-on-year (YoY) in the second quarter of 2022.

The announcement countered International Monetary Fund projections that the economy will grow at 7.6% this year, the highest growth among world economies for 2022.

The jump is the highest recorded since 2011.

According to GASTAT, Saudi economic growth was driven by a significant increase in oil activities by 23.1 % YoY and 5.4 % rise in non-oil activities. Meanwhile, government activities increased by 2.2 % YoY.

Moreover, the seasonally adjusted real GDP increased by 1.8 % in the second quarter of 2022, compared to the first quarter of this year.

Economists told Asharq Al-Awsat that the figures are a testament to Saudi efforts in supporting economic growth, such as structuring the economy, reinforcing natural economic components, and stimulating productive sectors.

The Kingdom has also exerted efforts in creating new sectors, diversifying the economy, implementing digital and economic transformation, and promoting technical industrial diversity.

Member of the Saudi Shura Council Fadel al-Buainain believes that the 11.8% GDP jump by the Kingdom’s economy points to the efficacy of the economic reforms initiated by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman under Vision 2030.

“Certainly, significant development in the oil sector as a direct result of the rise in oil prices contributed to achieving economic growth, but the achievement of the non-oil economy also played a remarkable role,” al-Buainain told Asharq Al-Awsat.

He noted that there are new sectors that have contributed to the growth of the non-oil sector, such as tourism, mining, and military industries.

He highlighted the mega projects, like NEOM and The Line, providing a qualitative addition to the Saudi economy. He said those projects promote promising sectors that include tourism, renewable energy, technology, and modern industries.



Saudi Arabia Sees Highest Level of Non-oil Private Sector Activity in 4 Months

The 1.5-point increase in the PMI reflects a larger expansion in both output and new orders. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The 1.5-point increase in the PMI reflects a larger expansion in both output and new orders. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia Sees Highest Level of Non-oil Private Sector Activity in 4 Months

The 1.5-point increase in the PMI reflects a larger expansion in both output and new orders. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The 1.5-point increase in the PMI reflects a larger expansion in both output and new orders. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Business activity in Saudi Arabia's non-oil sector accelerated to a four-month high in September, driven by strong demand, which led to faster growth in new orders. The Riyad Bank Saudi Arabia Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), adjusted for seasonal factors, rose to 56.3 points from 54.8 in August, marking the highest reading since May and further distancing itself from the 50.0 level that indicates growth.

The 1.5-point increase in the PMI reflects a larger expansion in both output and new orders, alongside challenges in supply. The improvement in business conditions contributed to a significant rise in employment opportunities, although difficulties in finding skilled workers led to a shortage in production capacity.

At the same time, concerns over increasing competition caused a decline in future output expectations. According to the PMI statement, inventories of production inputs remained in good condition, which encouraged some companies to reduce their purchasing efforts.

Growth was strong overall and widespread across all non-oil sectors under study. Dr. Naif Al-Ghaith, Senior Economist at Riyad Bank, said that the rise in Saudi Arabia's PMI points to a notable acceleration in the growth of the non-oil private sector, primarily driven by increased production and new orders, reflecting the sector’s expansionary activity.

Al-Ghaith added that companies responded to the rise in domestic demand, which plays a crucial role in reducing the Kingdom's reliance on oil revenues. The upward trend also indicates improved business confidence, pointing to a healthy environment for increased investment, job creation, and overall economic stability.

He emphasized that this growth in the non-oil sector is particularly important given the current context of reduced oil production and falling global oil prices. With oil revenues under pressure, the strong performance of the non-oil private sector acts as a buffer, helping mitigate the potential impact on the country's economic conditions.

Al-Ghaith continued, noting that diversifying income sources is essential to maintaining growth amid the volatility of oil markets. He explained that increased production levels not only enhance the competitiveness of Saudi companies but also encourage developments aimed at expanding the private sector's participation in the economy.

This shift, he said, provides a more stable foundation for long-term growth, making the economy less susceptible to oil price fluctuations.