Tunisia’s Economy Grows 2.8% Despite Difficulties

A general view of Tunis, Tunisia. (Reuters)
A general view of Tunis, Tunisia. (Reuters)
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Tunisia’s Economy Grows 2.8% Despite Difficulties

A general view of Tunis, Tunisia. (Reuters)
A general view of Tunis, Tunisia. (Reuters)

The Tunisian economy grew 2.8 percent during the second quarter of 2022 annually, according to the National Institute of Statistics.

The Institute said the growth is due to the high value-added growth rate in the services sector, which amounted to 5.2 percent annually.

However, compared to the growth rate in the first quarter, the gross domestic product (GDP) fell by 1.0 percent due to the decline in the construction and the industrial sector.

Tunisia has been facing a political crisis after President Kais Saied suspended most of the constitutional institutions and put a new constitution to a referendum on July 25.

The country seeks to establish a margin of stability to implement reforms demanded by international financial institutions.

After months of technical consultations, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) announced its willingness to start formal negotiations with Tunisia for a lending program.

Meanwhile, the Tunisian trade balance recorded a deficit of $4.3 billion during the first seven months, compared to $2.7 billion during the same period in 2021, according to the National Institute.

Tunisian exports saw a 23.1 percent increase, and imports rose 31.6 percent.

The Institute revealed a decline in the unemployment rate in the country during the second quarter of this year to 15.3 percent.

The unemployment rate was 16.1 percent in the first quarter of this year and 16.2 percent in the last quarter of 2021.

Thousands of Tunisians leave the country each year due to the difficult economic situation, the faltering political transition since 2011, and the lack of job opportunities.

During the second quarter of 2022, over 626,000 Tunisians were unemployed, a third of whom are graduates, according to the National Institute of Statistics.

The Tunisian National Observatory of Migration estimates that 36,000 individuals leave the country each year due to a lack of job opportunities and low wages.



Turkish Stocks Jump as PKK Disbandment Adds to Trade Relief

 People walk on a small street leads that to the historical Galata Tower in Istanbul, Türkiye, April 25, 2025. (Reuters)
People walk on a small street leads that to the historical Galata Tower in Istanbul, Türkiye, April 25, 2025. (Reuters)
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Turkish Stocks Jump as PKK Disbandment Adds to Trade Relief

 People walk on a small street leads that to the historical Galata Tower in Istanbul, Türkiye, April 25, 2025. (Reuters)
People walk on a small street leads that to the historical Galata Tower in Istanbul, Türkiye, April 25, 2025. (Reuters)

Turkish stocks jumped on Monday, bonds climbed and the lira rallied against the euro as news the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) militant group was ending its four decade-long insurgency in the country added to US-China trade cheer.

Global share markets were enjoying a strong surge after the US and China agreed to slash tariffs, but Turkish equities outstripped most other bourses as they jumped more than 3%.

A PKK member said it was ceasing all military operations "immediately" following the group's decision to disband, a move that could boost NATO member Türkiye's political and economic stability.

The lira was up 1.3% against the euro and steady against the dollar, while its international market bonds, which have been losing ground for the last six months, were up nearly 0.7 cents.

The PKK decision followed an appeal from its jailed leader Abdullah Ocalan in February to disband. It is set to have far-reaching political and security consequences for the region, including in neighboring Iraq and also in Syria, where Kurdish forces are allied with US forces.

Omer Celik, spokesperson for President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's ruling AK Party, said the PKK's decision to dissolve was "an important step toward a terror-free Türkiye".

There have been intermittent peace efforts over the years, most notably a ceasefire between 2013 and 2015 that ultimately collapsed.

The PKK's move should now give Erdogan the opportunity to boost spending in the mainly Kurdish southeast of Türkiye, where the insurgency has handicapped the regional economy for decades.

Analysts welcomed the PKK move but added a note of caution.

"It can only be good news," said Christopher Granville, managing director of EMEA & Global Political Research at investment advisory firm TS Lombard. "But is it decisive for the difficult Turkish investment case?"

He said the PKK issue was ultimately "secondary" to questions about Türkiye's recent arrest of Erdogan's main political rival, Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, and the broader direction of its macroeconomic policy.

Those concerns have weighed on Turkish markets this year.

MSCI's Türkiye equities index is down more than 13% compared to a near 8% rise in its pan-emerging market index., while lira-denominated government bonds have cost investors more than 8% on a total returns basis.

The cost of insuring Ankara's government debt using Credit Default Swaps (CDS) has also shot up, although Monday's rally saw that ease back.

"A continuation of the pullback (in CDS levels) ... may support banking stocks, which have been the negatively differentiated sector in BIST (Turkish stocks index) in the last 2 months," Garanti BBVA Yatirim's Director Ozgur Yurtdasseven said.

Turkish banking stocks were up 3.8% on the day, but remain more than 16% down on the year in lira terms and more than 20% in dollar terms.