Saudi Arabia Tops Hydrocarbon Producers in Oil, Gas Emissions

Mining is one of the sectors targeted to attract investments and diversify sources of income in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Mining is one of the sectors targeted to attract investments and diversify sources of income in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia Tops Hydrocarbon Producers in Oil, Gas Emissions

Mining is one of the sectors targeted to attract investments and diversify sources of income in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Mining is one of the sectors targeted to attract investments and diversify sources of income in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia has been able to score higher than other hydrocarbon producers in many indicators related to the emissions performance of the oil and gas sector.

Over the past year, the six Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries have updated their medium-term greenhouse gas emissions targets by submitting revised nationally determined contributions (NDCs) under the Paris Agreement.

The Kingdom, the UAE, and Bahrain announced their targets for zero-emissions neutrality in the middle of the century.

A recent study issued by the King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center (KAPSARC) focused on how the GCC countries manage their energy and emissions and how they are in a position to advance towards circular economies of carbon or zero neutrality.

The study indicated that the first version of the Circular Carbon Economy Index (CCE) showed that the GCC countries’ ranks range from the twelfth to the twenty-seventh, with the UAE ranking the highest and Oman the lowest.

The study found that although each country will have its unique pathway to net-zero and CCEs, the GCC countries share several structural and other similarities, which create opportunities for both sharing lessons and cooperating on the road to net-zero emissions.

The paper found that, although as a group, the GCC countries outperform their non-OECD peers and neighbors in the Middle East and Africa region in most areas measured by the CCE Index, they should undertake further efforts if they wish to improve their position in the global CCE transition.

A Fellow II in the Climate and Sustainability Program, and a co-author of the paper, Mari Luomi, said that using the circular carbon economy concept can help countries increase their ambition in their climate goals and targeted actions.

Luomi noted that it broadens the scope of the available technology options.

She indicated that the circular carbon economy in the Gulf region could help achieve buy-ins from many industries with limited and cost-effective options to decarbonize without using fossil fuels.

Fatih Yilmaz, another co-author, noted that a critical enabler of circular carbon economies, the GCC countries’ average is higher than their non-industrialized peers but lower than those of the world’s top 20 oil producers.

The third co-author, Thamir al-Shehri, stressed that Saudi Arabia achieves higher scores than other hydrocarbon producers in many indicators of the oil and gas sector’s emissions performance.

The Kingdom’s exports of hydrocarbons will enjoy a competitive advantage as the country pursues full circularity, or net-zero emissions, according to Shehri.

Meanwhile, Saudi Industrial Production Index (IPI) increased by 17.7 percent compared to July 2021 in light of favorable growth rates due to the high production in mining & quarrying, manufacturing activity, and electricity and gas supply.

The General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT) issued Sunday its monthly bulletin for July, showing that mining and quarrying grew by 14.1 percent compared to July 2021 as Saudi Arabia increased its oil production to its highest level by more than 10 million barrels per day in July 2022.

The manufacturing activity increased by 32.6 percent compared to the same month of the previous year. The electricity and gas supplies rose by 5 percent.

Compared to June 2022, the overall IPI increased by 1.6 percent mining and quarrying showed a month-on-month growth rate of 1.6 percent, while the manufacturing sector grew 0.3 percent, and electricity and gas supplies saw a 14.6 rise.

The impact of growth in the electricity and gas supplies index on the IPI was limited due to its small weight in the index.

The General Authority for Statistics issues several statistical products related to the industry, including the Industrial Production Index (IPI).

The IPI is an economic indicator that reflects the relative changes in the volume of industrial output. It is calculated based on the industrial production survey.

The IPI data is based on the International Standard Industrial Classification of Economic Activities (ISIC 4), and the index is published monthly.



Trump's Greenland Threat Puts Europe Inc back in Tariff Crosshairs

A worker adjusts European Union and US flags at the EU Commission headquarters in Brussels, November 11, 2013.
A worker adjusts European Union and US flags at the EU Commission headquarters in Brussels, November 11, 2013.
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Trump's Greenland Threat Puts Europe Inc back in Tariff Crosshairs

A worker adjusts European Union and US flags at the EU Commission headquarters in Brussels, November 11, 2013.
A worker adjusts European Union and US flags at the EU Commission headquarters in Brussels, November 11, 2013.

Just as European companies were getting used to last year's hard-won US trade tariff deals, President Donald Trump has put them back in his ​crosshairs with an explosive threat to place levies on nations that oppose his planned takeover of Greenland.

Trump on Saturday said he would put rising tariffs from February 1 on goods imported from EU members Denmark, Sweden, France, Germany, the Netherlands and Finland, along with Britain and Norway, until the US is allowed to buy Greenland, a step major EU states decried as blackmail.

On Sunday, European Union ambassadors reached broad agreement to intensify efforts to dissuade Trump from imposing those tariffs, while also readying a package of retaliatory measures should the duties go ahead, EU diplomats said.

The shock move has rattled through industry and sent shockwaves through markets amid fears of a return to the volatility of last year's trade war, which was only eased with tariff deals reached in the middle of the year.

"This is a very serious situation, the scale of which is unknown," Gabriel Picard, ‌chairman of the French ‌wine and spirits export lobby FEVS, told Reuters.

He said the industry had already seen a ‌20% ⁠to ​25% hit ‌to US activity in the second half of last year from previous trade measures, and new tariffs would bring a "material" impact.

But he said what was happening went far beyond sectoral issues. "It is more a matter of political contacts and political intent that must be taken to the highest level in Europe, so that Europe, once again, is united, coordinated, and if possible speaks with one voice."

STAND-OFF COULD BRING BACK LAST YEAR'S TRADE WAR

In a post on Truth Social, Trump said additional 10% import tariffs would take effect next month on goods from the listed European nations — all already subject to tariffs imposed by the US president last year of between 10% and 15%.

The bloc - which had an estimated $1.5 trillion in goods and services trade with the US in 2024 - looks set ⁠to fight back. Europe has major carmakers in Germany, drugmakers in Denmark and Ireland, and consumer and luxury goods firms from Italy to France.

EU leaders are set to discuss options at an emergency ‌summit in Brussels on Thursday, including a 93 billion euro ($107.7 billion) package of tariffs on ‍US imports that could automatically kick in on February 6 after a ‍six-month pause.

The other is the so far never used "Anti-Coercion Instrument" (ACI), which could limit access to public tenders, investments or banking activity or restrict ‍trade in services, in which the US has a surplus with the bloc.

Analysts said the key question was how Europe responded - with a more "classic" trade war tit-for-tat tariff retaliation, or an even tougher approach.

"The most likely way forward is a return to the trade war that was put on hold in high-level US agreements with the UK and the EU in summer," said Carsten Nickel, deputy director of research at Teneo in London.

COMPANIES WILL LOOK TO TRADE WITH 'LESS PROBLEMATIC NATIONS'

German submarine maker ​TKMS CEO Oliver Burkhard said the Greenland threat was perhaps the jolt that Europe needed to toughen its approach and focus on developing its own joint programmes to be more independent from the US.

"It is probably necessary... to get ⁠a kick in the shin to realise that we may have to suit up differently in the future," he told Reuters.

Susannah Streeter, chief investment strategist at Wealth Club, said the new threat created "another layer" of complexity for firms grappling with an already "chaotic" US market. Firms had little capacity to soak up new tariffs, she added.

"A trade war only creates losers," said Christophe Aufrere, director general of French autos association the PFA.

An official at a French industry association that represents the country's largest firms added the Greenland issue was turning tariffs into a "tool for political pressure", and called for the region to reduce its dependency on the US market.

Neil Shearing, group chief economist at Capital Economics, pointed out that some EU countries - Spain, Italy and others - were not on the tariff list, which would likely see "re-routing" of trade within the EU free trade bloc to avoid the taxes.

Analysts added the new tariffs - if imposed - would likely hurt Trump. They would push up US prices and lead to front-loading of exports before the tariffs kicked in, while encouraging companies to seek new markets.

"For Europe, this is a bad geopolitical headache and a moderately significant economic problem. But it could also backfire for Trump," said Holger Schmieding, London-based chief economist at Berenberg.

"Logic ‌still points to an outcome that respects Greenland's right to self-determination, strengthens security in the Arctic for NATO as a whole, and largely avoids economic damage for Europe and the US."


IMF Upgrades Outlook for Surprisingly Resilient World Economy to 3.3% Growth this Year

FILE PHOTO: A view of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo at its headquarters in Washington, D.C., US, November 24, 2024. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier//File Photo/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo at its headquarters in Washington, D.C., US, November 24, 2024. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier//File Photo/File Photo
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IMF Upgrades Outlook for Surprisingly Resilient World Economy to 3.3% Growth this Year

FILE PHOTO: A view of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo at its headquarters in Washington, D.C., US, November 24, 2024. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier//File Photo/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo at its headquarters in Washington, D.C., US, November 24, 2024. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier//File Photo/File Photo

An unexpectedly sturdy world economy is likely to shrug off President Donald Trump's protectionist trade policies this year, thanks partly to a surge of investment in artificial intelligence in North America and Asia, the International Monetary Fund said in a report out Monday.

The 191-nation lending organization expects that global growth will come in at 3.3% this year, same as in 2025 but up from the 3.1% it had forecast for 2026 back in October, The Associated Press reported.

The world economy "continues to show notable resilience despite significant US-led trade disruptions and heightened uncertainty,'' IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas and his colleague Tobias Adrian wrote in a blog post accompanying the latest update to the fund's World Economic Outlook.

The US economy, benefiting from the strongest pace of technology investment since 2001, is forecast to expand 2.4% this year, an upgrade on the fund's October forecast and on expected 2025 growth — both 2.1%.

China — the world's second-largest economy — is forecast to see 4.5% growth, an improvement on the 4.2% the IMF had predicted October, partly because a trade truce with the United States has reduced American tariffs on Chinese exports.

India, which has supplanted China as the world's fastest-growing major economy, is expected to see growth decelerate from 7.3% last year (when it was juiced by an unexpectedly strong second half) to a still-healthy 6.4% in 2026.


France Says Still Loyal to Syria Kurds, Hails Ceasefire

Syrian army personnel celebrate as government forces enter Raqqa city following the withdrawal of Syrian Democratic Forces, in Raqqa, Syria, January 18, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri
Syrian army personnel celebrate as government forces enter Raqqa city following the withdrawal of Syrian Democratic Forces, in Raqqa, Syria, January 18, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri
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France Says Still Loyal to Syria Kurds, Hails Ceasefire

Syrian army personnel celebrate as government forces enter Raqqa city following the withdrawal of Syrian Democratic Forces, in Raqqa, Syria, January 18, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri
Syrian army personnel celebrate as government forces enter Raqqa city following the withdrawal of Syrian Democratic Forces, in Raqqa, Syria, January 18, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri

France on Monday welcomed a ceasefire between the Syrian government and Kurdish-led forces and stressed it remained loyal to the latter who spearheaded the battle against the ISIS group.

"France is faithful to its allies," the foreign ministry said, urging all sides to respect the ceasefire deal, which will also see the Kurdish administration and forces integrate into the state after months of stalled negotiations.