IMF Confirms Saudi Economy’s Growth Forecast in Coming Years

Saudi economy continues to grow and maintains IMF predictions (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Saudi economy continues to grow and maintains IMF predictions (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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IMF Confirms Saudi Economy’s Growth Forecast in Coming Years

Saudi economy continues to grow and maintains IMF predictions (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Saudi economy continues to grow and maintains IMF predictions (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) confirmed its economic growth forecast for Saudi Arabia for the current year at 7.6 percent, the exact forecasts for July and April.

Earlier, the Fund increased its expectations twice for the Saudi economy in 2022, making the Kingdom the only country among the G20 whose growth expectations have been raised twice.

The Kingdom's 2023 predictions remained unchanged at 3.7 percent growth year-on-year.

The IMF predicts that the inflation rate for the consumer price index in Saudi Arabia will reach 2.7 percent this year, compared to 3.1 percent in 2021, and the inflation rate is expected to slow down to 2.2 percent in 2023.

According to the IMF's growth predictions, Saudi Arabia remained at a 7.6 percent output increase in 2022, with a 3.7 percent output increase the following year.

Saudi Arabia's real gross domestic product is forecast to rise 3.4 percent annually by the end of this year to reach 7.6 percent, showed the IMF data.

The Fund confirmed that Saudi Arabia could contain the inflation, despite the high prices of imported goods, pointing out that inflation in the Kingdom will remain limited to 2.8 percent during the current year.

Earlier, Saudi Arabia concluded a memorandum of understanding with the IMF to establish a regional office in Riyadh, which would boost its presence in the region and provide its economic recommendations to the countries of the Gulf and the region.

Saudi Minister of Finance Mohammed al-Jadaan signed the MoU with IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva in Riyadh. Several Gulf finance ministers and officials were present at the event.

Georgieva’s meeting with the Saudi ministers and officials tackled opportunities to address the food insecurity that has had consequences on the economies of some countries.

Georgieva said her meeting with the ministers tackled global issues and was instrumental in further deepening the cooperation between the IMF and Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states, especially in responding to the global series of shocks, including food insecurity.

She added that the talks focused on the importance of achieving sustainability, diversifying income sources, and weighing other countries' aid needs.

Georgieva stressed that Saudi Arabia would become one of the fastest-growing economies in the world, noting that maintaining the reform momentum to diversify the economy further will be pivotal for longer-term prosperity.



Saudi Arabia: Rising Demand for Housing Units Drives Property Prices Higher

Residential and commercial real estate in the Saudi capital, Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Residential and commercial real estate in the Saudi capital, Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia: Rising Demand for Housing Units Drives Property Prices Higher

Residential and commercial real estate in the Saudi capital, Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Residential and commercial real estate in the Saudi capital, Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Real estate experts have attributed the ongoing rise in Saudi Arabia’s property price index, over 16 consecutive quarters, to significant and growing demand for housing units.

This trend is supported by the success of government-backed housing projects in attracting consumer interest, the evolution of financing mechanisms, and flexible credit facilities and subsidized financing programs offered by banks.

Experts predict that property price increases, particularly in major cities, will persist through the upcoming quarters of 2025 if the launch of new housing projects continues. The real estate price index saw a 3.6% year-on-year increase in the fourth quarter of 2024, marking the fastest growth since the first quarter of 2021.

According to the General Authority for Statistics’ quarterly report on property prices for the fourth quarter of 2024, the index was primarily driven by a 3.1% rise in residential property prices, a 5.0% increase in commercial property prices, and a 2.8% rise in agricultural property prices. On a quarterly basis, the property price index rose by 1.6% in the fourth quarter compared to the third quarter, with residential property prices increasing by 1.0%, commercial prices by 2.7%, and agricultural property prices by a significant 9.8%.

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, Khaled Al-Mobid, CEO of Menassat Realty Co., attributed the price surge to heightened demand for housing units and the success of government-subsidized housing projects, which have attracted significant consumer interest. He noted that these factors have boosted property prices, especially in neighborhoods hosting large housing projects such as those in eastern and western Riyadh.

Previously low-priced properties in these suburban areas have experienced sharp price hikes due to increased demand. Al-Mubid believes that if the momentum of housing projects continues in major cities, coupled with strong consumer purchasing power and ongoing growth in the real estate sector, property prices will likely continue to rise through mid-2025, or at the very least, stabilize without declining.

Abdullah Al-Mousa, a real estate expert and marketer, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the sustained rise in property prices is linked to economic and investment growth driven by Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 initiatives.

He pointed out that large-scale investments in infrastructure and city development, particularly in major cities like Riyadh and Jeddah, have boosted demand for real estate.

Mega projects such as Qiddiya and developments in entertainment and hospitality have also increased the value of surrounding areas and attracted interest from buyers and investors.

Al-Mousa highlighted that population growth, combined with government initiatives like the “Sakani” program, rising income levels, and stronger purchasing power, have intensified demand for residential properties. Families are increasingly seeking larger spaces and greater privacy, leading to a shift in demand toward villas and spacious apartments.

The evolution of financing mechanisms, including flexible credit facilities and subsidized loan programs, has improved homeownership accessibility. Al-Mousa noted that lower global interest rates have made borrowing more attractive, accelerating purchasing decisions and increasing activity in the real estate market. The expansion of luxury housing projects and developments targeting middle- and high-income families has further driven competitiveness and property price growth.

Real estate marketer Saqr Al-Zahrani noted that Saudi property prices have shown a marked acceleration in the fourth quarter of 2024. He attributed the rise in the general index to the complex interplay of supply and demand dynamics in the market, supported by Saudi Arabia’s recent economic and structural transformations and the influence of foreign investments.