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Saudi Crude Oil Exports Hit 2-Year High

A drilling rig in the Hasba field, located 150 km north of Jubail Industrial City on the coast of the Arab Gulf (Saudi Aramco)
A drilling rig in the Hasba field, located 150 km north of Jubail Industrial City on the coast of the Arab Gulf (Saudi Aramco)
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Saudi Crude Oil Exports Hit 2-Year High

A drilling rig in the Hasba field, located 150 km north of Jubail Industrial City on the coast of the Arab Gulf (Saudi Aramco)
A drilling rig in the Hasba field, located 150 km north of Jubail Industrial City on the coast of the Arab Gulf (Saudi Aramco)

Saudi Arabia’s crude oil exports hit a more than two-year high of 7.6 million barrels per day in August, according to data from the Joint Organization Data Initiative.

The Kingdom saw a 3% rise from July, recording its highest volume since April 2020.

It was also the third month in a row to register a rise.

The data also showed that crude production in Saudi Arabia broke the 10.815 million bpd cap for the third time in the country’s history in August, reaching 11.051 million bpd.

Domestic crude refinery output increased by 38,000 bpd to reach 2.8 million bpd, whereas its direct crude burn increased by 3,000 bpd to reach 664,000 bpd in August.

Earlier this month, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, termed OPEC+, decided to cut their output target by 2 million bpd.

The decision by OPEC+ was met with US criticism. Many fear that the cut may impact gas prices in the US ahead of upcoming elections.

Despite US disapproval, the decision was met with support from Arab countries and OPEC members.

On Sunday evening, Saudi King Salman bin Abdulaziz stressed that the Kingdom's strategy in the global oil sector is based on supporting market “stability and balance.”

“Our country is working hard, within its energy strategy, to support the stability and balance of global oil markets, as oil is an important element in supporting the growth of the global economy,” King Salman told the Shura Council.

Iraq, Kuwait, Bahrain, Oman, and Algeria, joined by the UAE and Egypt, expressed their support for the decision amid the uncertainty and potential recession surrounding the global economy.

UAE Energy Minister Suhail Al-Mazroui tweeted: “The latest unanimously approved OPEC+ decision is a purely technical decision with no political intention whatsoever.”

His comments follow statements from Iraq’s state oil marketer SOMO.

“There is complete consensus among OPEC+ members that the optimal approach is … a pre-emptive approach that supports market stability and provides necessary guidance for the future,” a SOMO statement said.

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Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices were little changed on Thursday as investors weighed firm winter fuel demand expectations against large US fuel inventories and macroeconomic concerns.

Brent crude futures were down 3 cents at $76.13 a barrel by 1003 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures dipped 10 cents to $73.22.

Both benchmarks fell more than 1% on Wednesday as a stronger dollar and a bigger than expected rise in US fuel stockpiles pressured prices.

"The oil market is still grappling with opposite forces - seasonal demand to support the bulls and macro data that supports a stronger US dollar in the medium term ... that can put a ceiling to prevent the bulls from advancing further," said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.

JPMorgan analysts expect oil demand for January to expand by 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd) year on year to 101.4 million bpd, primarily driven by increased use of heating fuels in the Northern Hemisphere.

"Global oil demand is expected to remain strong throughout January, fuelled by colder than normal winter conditions that are boosting heating fuel consumption, as well as an earlier onset of travel activities in China for the Lunar New Year holidays," the analysts said.

The market structure in Brent futures is also indicating that traders are becoming more concerned about supply tightening at the same time demand is increasing.

The premium of the front-month Brent contract over the six-month contract reached its widest since August on Wednesday. A widening of this backwardation, when futures for prompt delivery are higher than for later delivery, typically indicates that supply is declining or demand is increasing.

Nevertheless, official Energy Information Administration (EIA) data showed rising gasoline and distillates stockpiles in the United States last week.

The dollar strengthened further on Thursday, underpinned by rising Treasury yields ahead of US President-elect Donald Trump's entrance into the White House on Jan. 20.

Looking ahead, WTI crude oil is expected to oscillate within a range of $67.55 to $77.95 into February as the market awaits more clarity on Trump's administration policies and fresh fiscal stimulus measures out of China, OANDA's Wong said.