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Saudi Crude Oil Exports Hit 2-Year High

A drilling rig in the Hasba field, located 150 km north of Jubail Industrial City on the coast of the Arab Gulf (Saudi Aramco)
A drilling rig in the Hasba field, located 150 km north of Jubail Industrial City on the coast of the Arab Gulf (Saudi Aramco)
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Saudi Crude Oil Exports Hit 2-Year High

A drilling rig in the Hasba field, located 150 km north of Jubail Industrial City on the coast of the Arab Gulf (Saudi Aramco)
A drilling rig in the Hasba field, located 150 km north of Jubail Industrial City on the coast of the Arab Gulf (Saudi Aramco)

Saudi Arabia’s crude oil exports hit a more than two-year high of 7.6 million barrels per day in August, according to data from the Joint Organization Data Initiative.

The Kingdom saw a 3% rise from July, recording its highest volume since April 2020.

It was also the third month in a row to register a rise.

The data also showed that crude production in Saudi Arabia broke the 10.815 million bpd cap for the third time in the country’s history in August, reaching 11.051 million bpd.

Domestic crude refinery output increased by 38,000 bpd to reach 2.8 million bpd, whereas its direct crude burn increased by 3,000 bpd to reach 664,000 bpd in August.

Earlier this month, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, termed OPEC+, decided to cut their output target by 2 million bpd.

The decision by OPEC+ was met with US criticism. Many fear that the cut may impact gas prices in the US ahead of upcoming elections.

Despite US disapproval, the decision was met with support from Arab countries and OPEC members.

On Sunday evening, Saudi King Salman bin Abdulaziz stressed that the Kingdom's strategy in the global oil sector is based on supporting market “stability and balance.”

“Our country is working hard, within its energy strategy, to support the stability and balance of global oil markets, as oil is an important element in supporting the growth of the global economy,” King Salman told the Shura Council.

Iraq, Kuwait, Bahrain, Oman, and Algeria, joined by the UAE and Egypt, expressed their support for the decision amid the uncertainty and potential recession surrounding the global economy.

UAE Energy Minister Suhail Al-Mazroui tweeted: “The latest unanimously approved OPEC+ decision is a purely technical decision with no political intention whatsoever.”

His comments follow statements from Iraq’s state oil marketer SOMO.

“There is complete consensus among OPEC+ members that the optimal approach is … a pre-emptive approach that supports market stability and provides necessary guidance for the future,” a SOMO statement said.

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Firm Dollar Keeps Pound, Euro and Yen Under Pressure

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
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Firm Dollar Keeps Pound, Euro and Yen Under Pressure

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo

The US dollar charged ahead on Thursday, underpinned by rising Treasury yields, putting the yen, sterling and euro under pressure near multi-month lows amid the shifting threat of tariffs.

The focus for markets in 2025 has been on US President-elect Donald Trump's agenda as he steps back into the White House on Jan. 20, with analysts expecting his policies to both bolster growth and add to price pressures, according to Reuters.

CNN on Wednesday reported that Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to provide legal justification for a series of universal tariffs on allies and adversaries. On Monday, the Washington Post said Trump was looking at more nuanced tariffs, which he later denied.

Concerns that policies introduced by the Trump administration could reignite inflation has led bond yields higher, with the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note hitting 4.73% on Wednesday, its highest since April 25. It was at 4.6709% on Thursday.

"Trump's shifting narrative on tariffs has undoubtedly had an effect on USD. It seems this capriciousness is something markets will have to adapt to over the coming four years," said Kieran Williams, head of Asia FX at InTouch Capital Markets.

The bond market selloff has left the dollar standing tall and casting a shadow on the currency market.

Among the most affected was the pound, which was headed for its biggest three-day drop in nearly two years.

Sterling slid to $1.2239 on Thursday, its weakest since November 2023, even as British government bond yields hit multi-year highs.

Ordinarily, higher gilt yields would support the pound, but not in this case.

The sell-off in UK government bond markets resumed on Thursday, with 10-year and 30-year gilt yields jumping again in early trading, as confidence in Britain's fiscal outlook deteriorates.

"Such a simultaneous sell-off in currency and bonds is rather unusual for a G10 country," said Michael Pfister, FX analyst at Commerzbank.

"It seems to be the culmination of a development that began several months ago. The new Labour government's approval ratings are at record lows just a few months after the election, and business and consumer sentiment is severely depressed."

Sterling was last down about 0.69% at $1.2282.

The euro also eased, albeit less than the pound, to $1.0302, lurking close to the two-year low it hit last week as investors remain worried the single currency may fall to the key $1 mark this year due to tariff uncertainties.

The yen hovered near the key 160 per dollar mark that led to Tokyo intervening in the market last July, after it touched a near six-month low of 158.55 on Wednesday.

Though it strengthened a bit on the day and was last at 158.15 per dollar. That all left the dollar index, which measures the US currency against six other units, up 0.15% and at 109.18, just shy of the two-year high it touched last week.

Also in the mix were the Federal Reserve minutes of its December meeting, released on Wednesday, which showed the central bank flagged new inflation concerns and officials saw a rising risk the incoming administration's plans may slow economic growth and raise unemployment.

With US markets closed on Thursday, the spotlight will be on Friday's payrolls report as investors parse through data to gauge when the Fed will next cut rates.