Egypt Demands Intl Support, Ethiopia Insists on African Solution to GERD Dispute

Egypt’s Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry during the fifth Cairo Water Week (Egyptian government)
Egypt’s Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry during the fifth Cairo Water Week (Egyptian government)
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Egypt Demands Intl Support, Ethiopia Insists on African Solution to GERD Dispute

Egypt’s Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry during the fifth Cairo Water Week (Egyptian government)
Egypt’s Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry during the fifth Cairo Water Week (Egyptian government)

The difference in views between Ethiopia and Egypt on how to break the deadlock in talks on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) has once again emerged.

While Addis Ababa wants the African Union’s “unproductive” sponsorship of the negotiations, Egypt demands the support of the international community to resolve the matter in a way that achieves all parties’ interests.

The massive $4.2 billion dam, set to be the largest hydro-electric scheme in Africa, has been at the center of a regional dispute ever since Ethiopia broke ground on the project in 2011.

Cairo has reiterated its demand that Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan reach a legally-binding agreement to fill and operate the dam.

As part of its efforts to mobilize international support for its “existential” issue, Egypt organized the fifth Cairo Water Week during the period between Oct 16 and 19.

Representatives of 70 countries, including 16 ministerial delegations, 54 official delegations, and 66 international organizations are taking part in the event, with a total of more than a thousand participants.

The conference focuses on water crises across the world and ways to address them.

According to Egypt’s President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, the country’s water resources are no longer able to meet the population’s needs.

He explained in his opening speech on Sunday that his country is facing three intertwined challenges, namely water, food security, and climate change.

“Egypt is one the world’s most arid countries and relies almost exclusively on the Nile River for its renewable water resources, about 80% of which are used by the agriculture sector,” Sisi stated, noting that the sector represents the source of livelihood for more than 60 million people (half of Egypt’s population).

Sisi stated that although Cairo has adopted a policy to rationalize water consumption by reusing irrigation water, making the overall efficiency rate in Egypt one of the highest in Africa, yet it is still unable to meet its people’s needs.

He pointed out that the impact of climate change exacerbates water scarcity on the country’s agricultural lands, which are affected by the adverse consequences of climate change within its borders and throughout the Nile Basin countries, as Egypt is a downstream country.

“Given all this, it was necessary for Egypt to adopt a comprehensive approach to successfully address water and food security challenges that are associated with climate change, considering it a matter of national security.”

At the regional level, Sisi affirmed that Cairo has always been a pioneer in advancing the rules and principles of international law regarding shared watercourses, primarily cooperation and consultation to avoid causing harm.

He said it comes in line with the management of transboundary water resources, adding that these are the absolute rules and principles to ensure the equitable and shared utilization of these resources.

“Egypt’s entrenched vision is to work together with a focus on establishing and sharing prosperity, instead of competition and rivalry, which lead to sharing impoverishment and instability.”

Realizing the gravity of the issue and given its existential importance to Cairo, Sisi renewed his country’s commitment to exerting utmost efforts to settle the dam dispute in a manner that achieves the interests of all parties.

He further called on the international community to exert maximum and concerted efforts to achieve this just goal.

The last round of talks between the three countries in Kinshasa ended in early April 2021 with no progress made, prompting Cairo to protest to the UN Security Council and demand international partners to pressure Addis Ababa to agree to sign an agreement that guarantees the rights of the downstream countries.

Addis Ababa deems GERD essential for the electrification and development of Africa's second most populous country.

But Cairo and Khartoum fear it could threaten their access to vital Nile waters and have demanded a written agreement between the three countries on the dam's filling and operation.

Head of Sudan’s Transitional Sovereign Council Abdel Fattah al-Burhan held talks on Saturday with Ethiopia’s Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed.

Burhan announced at the end of the talks that reaching an agreement with Ethiopia on GERD is “possible.”

Ahmed, for his part, stressed that the GERD project will yield great benefits to Sudan and underlined his country's commitment to addressing the issue within the African framework



Lebanon at Risk as Iran Uses Its Airspace, Israel Responds

Passengers stranded in the departure hall of Rafik Hariri International Airport following flight delays (DPA)
Passengers stranded in the departure hall of Rafik Hariri International Airport following flight delays (DPA)
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Lebanon at Risk as Iran Uses Its Airspace, Israel Responds

Passengers stranded in the departure hall of Rafik Hariri International Airport following flight delays (DPA)
Passengers stranded in the departure hall of Rafik Hariri International Airport following flight delays (DPA)

Lebanon found itself entangled in the latest flare-up between Israel and Iran, as its skies became a battleground for Iranian missiles and drones, and Israeli interceptor rockets throughout Friday night and into Saturday morning.

Residents across several towns and cities endured a tense and sleepless night, fearing the fallout of missiles potentially crashing into populated areas.

The country’s airspace, which was shut down Friday evening as a security precaution, was reopened at 10 a.m. on Saturday.

Minister of Public Works and Transport, Fayez Rasamny, speaking from Beirut’s international airport during an inspection visit, said the facility would remain open “unless an emergency beyond our control arises”.

The Ministry of Public Works said in a statement that the airspace closure and accompanying emergency measures were taken “strictly for security reasons,” stressing that “the safety of passengers and airport facilities remains a top priority.”

Middle East Airlines (MEA), Lebanon’s national carrier, rescheduled several flights to and from Beirut after passengers were left stranded overnight at the airport due to cancellations and delays.

Lebanon’s skies have become a corridor for conflict in the intensifying Israeli-Iranian standoff, sparking growing fears among Lebanese officials and analysts who warn the country is losing control over its own airspace - and may be paying the price.

Beirut lacks the leverage to deter Iran from using its airspace to launch attacks on Israel, nor can it stop Israeli forces from intercepting drones and missiles mid-flight over Lebanese territory.

With Iranian projectiles and Israeli countermeasures crossing through the same skies, experts warn Lebanon faces mounting military and civilian risks as long as it remains entangled in the regional confrontation.

“The passage of Iranian missiles and drones through Lebanese airspace toward Israel presents serious military and security threats on multiple levels,” retired Brigadier General Saeed Al-Qazaz told Asharq Al-Awsat.

He warned that turning Lebanon into a de facto battleground increases the risk of missiles falling into populated areas -- as seen in the Bekaa Valley during the overnight bombardment between Friday and Saturday.

“Israeli attempts to intercept these threats over Lebanon could result in casualties on the ground, whether due to guidance malfunctions or fuel depletion. The fragmentation of these weapons is just as dangerous as a direct hit,” explained Al-Qazaz.

One missile reportedly landed late Friday in the outskirts of Beit Shama, west of Baalbek, sending shockwaves through the valley and stoking fears of further fallout.

Airspace Safety and Legal Concerns

Al-Qazaz also voiced grave concern over aviation safety, saying Lebanon’s crowded airspace could become a deadly zone for civilian aircraft.

“There is an immediate threat to air navigation, and the risk of a commercial aircraft being struck is real. That justifies the need to close the airspace entirely in such circumstances,” he said.

Using the airspace of a sovereign nation without consent, he added, constitutes “a flagrant violation of international law,” citing the 1944 Chicago Convention on International Civil Aviation, which affirms a state’s sovereignty over its own skies.

He stressed that the Lebanese government bears responsibility and “must not allow missiles and drones to pass through its airspace without taking action”. International legal liability could arise if any damage is caused to third countries by these aerial operations.

At the same time, Al-Qazaz pointed out a double standard: “While Israel uses the airspace of Lebanon, Syria, and Iraq without consequence, these countries fail to respond or prevent such actions. Jordan, however, has recently intercepted projectiles to avoid international accountability”.

Calls for International Action

Despite Lebanon’s limited capacity to influence either side in the conflict, Al-Qazaz said the government could still lodge a formal complaint with the UN Security Council over repeated airspace violations.

“Lebanon can protest to the international community over the use of its skies by both Israel and Iran, even if no concrete outcome is expected,” he said.

“But remaining silent while missiles continue to pass overhead exposes Lebanon to greater danger, undermines its sovereignty, and drags it further into a military confrontation it did not choose”.

As tensions simmer and skies remain contested, Lebanon finds itself navigating a high-stakes crisis with few tools to shield its people, or its sovereignty.